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2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election

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The 2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election was a special election held on October 4, 2011 to fill the office of the West Virginia Governor, which became vacant upon the resignation of Joe Manchin, who resigned after he won a U.S. Senate special election. Lieutenant Governor and Senate President Earl Ray Tomblin, first in the line of succession to the Governorship, subsequently became acting governor. On January 18, 2011, the West Virginia Supreme Court of Appeals ruled that a special election for the Governorship must be held so a new governor can be in place by November 15, 2011, exactly one year after Manchin resigned.[1] The primary election was held on May 14. Tomblin and Republican Bill Maloney won their respective primaries.[2]

2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election
← 2008October 4, 2011 (2011-10-04)2012 →
 
NomineeEarl Ray TomblinBill Maloney
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote149,202141,656
Percentage49.55%47.05%
County results
Tomblin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Maloney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Earl Ray Tomblin (acting)
Democratic

Elected Governor

Earl Ray Tomblin
Democratic

Tomblin defeated William Maloney by a slim margin, notably winning over 90% of the vote in his home county of Logan County. Tomblin was declared the winner of the election by the Associated Press on October 4, 2011 and was inaugurated on November 13, 2011.[3][4] With a margin of 2.5%, the special election was the closest race of the 2011 gubernatorial election cycle. Tomblin was re-elected Governor in 2012 in a rematch with Maloney.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Jeff
Kessler		Arne
Moltis		John
Perdue		Natalie
Tennant		Rick
Thompson		Earl Ray
Tomblin		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 11–12, 2011742± 3.6%4%1%11%17%20%33%12%
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011590± 4.0%5%1%17%16%15%32%14%

Primary results

Democratic primary results by county:
  Tomblin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   80–90%
  Thompson
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Tennant
  •   30–40%
  Perdue
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Kessler
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEarl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 51,348 40.4%
DemocraticRick Thompson30,63124.1%
DemocraticNatalie Tennant22,10617.4%
DemocraticJohn Perdue15,99512.6%
DemocraticJeff Kessler6,6655.2%
DemocraticArne Moltis4810.4%
Total votes127,111 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Clark
Barnes		Mitch
Carmichael		Ralph
Clark		Cliff
Ellis		Larry
Faircloth		Betty
Ireland		Bill
Maloney		Mark
Sorsaia		Other/
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 11–12, 2011314± 5.5%8%4%1%0%6%31%32%4%14%
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011274± 5.9%8%8%2%1%2%31%17%4%28%

Primary results

  Maloney
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Ireland
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  Faircloth
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Maloney 27,871 45.0%
RepublicanBetty Ireland19,02730.7%
RepublicanClark Barnes5,8919.5%
RepublicanMark Sorsaia3,1775.1%
RepublicanLarry Faircloth2,4003.9%
RepublicanMitch Carmichael2,0733.3%
RepublicanRalph Clark1,1641.9%
RepublicanCliff Ellis2830.5%
Total votes61,886 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Rothenberg Political Report[25]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Governing[26]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Cook[27]Lean DNovember 4, 2011
Sabato[28]Likely DNovember 4, 2011

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Earl Ray
Tomblin (D)		Bill
Maloney (R)		Undecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 30 – October 2, 2011932± 3.2%47%46%7%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 1–4, 2011708± 3.7%46%40%14%
Public Policy PollingMay 11–12, 2011723± 3.6%45%30%25%
Public Policy PollingApril 21–24, 2011850± 3.4%56%23%21%

Results

West Virginia gubernatorial special election official results, 2011[29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticEarl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 149,202 49.55% -20.26
RepublicanBill Maloney141,65647.05%+21.32
MountainBob Henry Baber6,0832.02%-2.44
IndependentMarla Ingels2,8750.95%
American Third PositionHarry Bertram1,1110.37%+0.37
write-in candidatePhil Hudok760.03%
write-in candidateDonald Lee Underwood540.02%
write-in candidateJohn R. "Rick" Bartlett270.01%
Margin of victory7,5462.51%-41.57%
Total votes301,084 100.00%
Democratic holdSwing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

Campaign websites (Archived)
Information
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