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2018 Vermont gubernatorial election

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The 2018 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Vermont, concurrently with the election of Vermont's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott, who was first elected in 2016, was re-elected to a second term in office.[1] Hallquist's 40.3% was also the worst performance for a Democratic Party candidate since 2008. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won in the 2016 presidential election.

2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
← 2016November 6, 20182020 →
Turnout55.6%
 
NomineePhil ScottChristine Hallquist
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote151,261110,335
Percentage55.19%40.25%
Scott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hallquist:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Phil Scott
Republican

Elected Governor

Phil Scott
Republican

Despite initial expectations of a potentially close race due to national blue wave, Scott easily won reelection in what became a difficult year for Republicans, winning by 15 percentage points. As of 2022, this election marked the last time a Democratic candidate won a county in a gubernatorial election in Vermont.

Background

Along with New Hampshire, Vermont is one of only two states where governors are elected to two-year terms. Republican Phil Scott was elected in the 2016 election.[1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Debates and forums

Results

Results by county:
  Scott—70–80%
  Scott—60–70%
  Scott—50–60%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPhil Scott (incumbent) 24,042 66.67
RepublicanKeith Stern11,61732.22
RepublicanWrite-ins4011.11
Total votes36,060 100.0
RepublicanBlank votes700
RepublicanOvervotes20

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • James Ehlers, executive director of Lake Champlain International and environmentalist[5]
  • John S. Rodgers, current State Senator from Essex County, former State Representative, and construction business owner[6] (write-in candidate)
  • Brenda Siegel, opioid epidemic and Brattleboro hurricane relief activist and worker, former community organizer for Bernie Sanders, southern Vermont nonprofit executive and founding director[7] (also ran in Progressive primary)
  • Ethan Sonneborn, freshman in high school[8] who began his campaign when he was 13 years old.[9] The election was held a few weeks before he entered his freshman year of high school.[10] His campaign was focused on healthcare for all, the environment, economy, and education.[11] Had he won, he would have been the youngest governor in American history.[11] Vermont (as well as Kansas) does not have a minimum age requirement for governor.

Endorsements

James Ehlers
Organizations
  • AFL-CIO
People
Brenda Siegel
Statewide and local politicians
Businesses
  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
Organizations
  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork
People
  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT[14]

Debates and forums

Results

Results by county:
  Hallquist—60–70%
  Hallquist—50–60%
  Hallquist—40–50%
  Hallquist—30–40%
  Siegel—40–50%
Democratic primary results[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChristine Hallquist 27,622 45.07
DemocraticJames Ehlers12,66820.67
DemocraticBrenda Siegel12,26020.01
DemocraticEthan Sonneborn4,6967.66
DemocraticJohn S. Rodgers (write-in)9501.55
DemocraticWrite-ins (other)3,0745.02
Total votes61,279 100.0
DemocraticBlank votes7,997
DemocraticOvervotes68

With this result, Christine Hallquist became the first openly transgender candidate for governor nominated by a major political party in the United States.[16][17]

Progressive primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary

Write-in
  • Brenda Siegel (also ran in Democratic primary)

Endorsements

Brenda Siegel
Statewide and local politicians
  • Mike Mrowicki, State Representative
  • Tommy Walz, State Representative
Businesses
  • Vermont Green Grow Wellness Center
Organizations
  • Emerge Vermont
  • SolutionsToWork
People
  • Mark Hughes, executive director of Justice for All, organizer of Poor Peoples Campaign VT

Debates and forums

Results

[18]
Vermont Progressive Party primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
ProgressiveBrenda Siegel (write-in)358.75
ProgressiveWrite-ins (other)36591.2
Total votes400 100.0
ProgressiveBlank votes199

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Withdrawn

Liberty Union nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Emily Peyton, candidate for governor in 2014[20]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Write-in

Withdrawn

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[27]Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post[28]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[29]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[30]Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[31]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[32]Likely RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos[33]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[34][a]Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico[35]Lean RNovember 5, 2018
Governing[36]Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes

Endorsements

Christine Hallquist (D)
US Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials
US Senators
US Representatives
Statewide and local politicians
  • Martin O'Malley, former Governor of Maryland[41]
  • Claire Ayer, state senator[42]
  • Chris Bray, state senator[42]
  • Joey Donovan, state representative[42]
  • Alice Emmons, state representative[42]
  • Helen Head, state representative[42]
  • Matt Hill, state representative[42]
  • Warren Kitzmiller, state representative[42]
  • Gabe Lucke, state representative[42]
  • Curt McCormack, state representative[42]
  • Dick McCormack, state senator[42]
  • Mary Sullivan, state representative[42]
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Phil Scott (R)
Statewide and local politicians
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Phil
Scott (R)		Christine
Hallquist (D)		OtherUndecided
Gravis MarketingOctober 30 – November 1, 2018885± 3.3%49%39%–12%
Braun ResearchOctober 5–14, 2018495± 4.4%42%28%7%[53]22%
Tulchin Research (D-Vermont Democratic Party) Archived 2018-10-02 at the Wayback MachineSeptember 23–26, 2018406± 4.9%50%42%––

Results

2018 Vermont gubernatorial election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanPhil Scott (incumbent) 151,261 55.19% +2.28%
DemocraticChristine Hallquist110,33540.25%-3.91%
IndependentTrevor Barlow3,2661.19%N/A
IndependentCharles Laramie2,2870.83%N/A
MarijuanaCris Ericson2,1290.78%N/A
Earth RightsStephen Marx1,8550.68%N/A
Liberty UnionEmily Peyton1,8390.66%-2.17%
Write-in1,1150.41%-0.31%
Total votes274,087 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

Official campaign websites
Retrieved from "https:https://www.search.com.vn/wiki/index.php?lang=en&q=2018_Vermont_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1221271938"
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