2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota

The 2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Dakota, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held June 14.

2016 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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NomineeJohn HoevenEliot Glassheim
PartyRepublicanDemocratic–NPL
Popular vote268,78858,116
Percentage78.48%16.97%

Hoeven:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Glassheim:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. senator before election

John Hoeven
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hoeven
Republican

Incumbent Republican Senator John Hoeven won re-election to a second term with 78.5% of the vote, the largest margin in the state's history.[1] Hoeven became the first Republican senator to be re-elected from North Dakota since 1974.

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Hoeven (incumbent) 103,677 99.57%
RepublicanWrite-in4450.43%
Total votes104,122 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

Candidates

Results

Democratic-NPL primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic–NPLEliot Glassheim 17,243 99.72%
Democratic–NPLWrite-in480.28%
Total votes17,291 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

  • Robert Marquette[4]
Libertarian primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
LibertarianRobert Marquette 1,089 99.54%
LibertarianWrite-in50.46%
Total votes1,094 100.00%

General election

Debates

DatesLocationHoevenGlassheimMarquetteLink
October 13, 2016Bismarck, North DakotaParticipantParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[5]Safe RNovember 2, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6]Safe RNovember 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[7]Safe RNovember 3, 2016
Daily Kos[8]Safe RNovember 8, 2016
Real Clear Politics[9]Safe RNovember 7, 2016

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hoeven (R)
Eliot
Glassheim (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkeyNovember 1–7, 2016313± 4.6%74%23%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 31–November 6, 2016288± 4.6%73%24%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 28–November 3, 2016276± 4.6%74%24%2%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 27–November 2, 2016260± 4.6%72%24%4%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 26–November 1, 2016254± 4.6%72%25%3%
SurveyMonkeyOctober 25–31, 2016279± 4.6%71%27%2%

Results

United States Senate election in North Dakota, 2016[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanJohn Hoeven (incumbent) 268,788 78.48% +2.40%
Democratic–NPLEliot Glassheim58,11616.97%-5.20%
LibertarianRobert Marquette10,5563.08%+1.45%
IndependentJames Germalic4,6751.36%N/A
Write-in3660.11%N/A
Total votes342,501 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

References

Official campaign websites