Stirling (UK Parliament constituency)

Stirling was a county constituency of the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom. It elected one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election.

Stirling
Former County constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of Stirling in Scotland
Subdivisions of ScotlandStirling
Major settlementsBridge of Allan, Crianlarich, Dunblane, Stirling, Tyndrum
19832024
SeatsOne
Created fromStirling, Falkirk & Grangemouth, Stirlingshire West and Kinross & West Perthshire[1]

Further to the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, the seat was abolished. From the 2024 general election, it will be reformed as Stirling and Strathallan and expanded into Strathallan in Perth and Kinross council.[2]

Boundaries

Map of boundaries 2005-2024

1983–1997: The Stirling District electoral divisions of Airthrey, Bannockburn, Castle, Dounebraes, Menteith, Queensland, St Ninians, Strathendrick, Viewforth, and Wallace.

1997–2005: The Stirling District electoral divisions of Bannockburn, Castle, Dounebraes, Menteith, Queensland, St Ninians, Strathendrick, Viewforth, and Wallace.

2005–2024: The Stirling council area.

The constituency covered the whole of the Stirling council area. Most of the area is rural, which has tended to vote Conservative, but there are some large towns in the East, most notably Stirling itself, which used to vote Labour, but has now moved towards SNP. A similar constituency, also called Stirling, is used by the Scottish Parliament.

History

The area covered by the modern constituency was first represented in the British House of Commons in consequence of the Act of Union 1707 in 1708. The county town of Stirling was represented as part of Stirling Burghs and the county was represented by Stirlingshire, each returning one member.

In 1918, Stirling Burghs was abolished and Stirling was then represented by the Stirling & Falkirk Burghs and from 1974 Stirling, Falkirk & Grangemouth constituencies. Along with Clackmannanshire the county was meanwhile represented by Clackmannan and Eastern Stirlingshire and Stirling and Clackmannan Western (later Stirlingshire West).

A modern constituency of Stirling was established in 1983. In 2005 the west portion of Ochil was moved into Stirling.

Constituency profile and voting patterns

Constituency profile

The seat was large, in Central Scotland and covered the Stirling council area.

Its population was concentrated around the historic City of Stirling and surrounding areas of Bannockburn, Bridge of Allan and Dunblane on its eastern fringes around the River Forth and its lower tributaries. This area consisted of a mixture of Conservative-leaning suburbs to the north and west, such as Bridge of Allan and Dunblane and the Stirling suburbs of Cambusbarron, Kings Park and Torbrex, and somewhat more secessionist and poorer SNP or Labour-voting areas such as Raploch and south-east Stirling, in addition to Bannockburn, and the villages of Cowie, Fallin and Plean south-east of the city.

Boundaries stretched up to the west following the Valleys of the River Forth and Teith, running up into the wooded glens of the Trossachs on the eastern side of the Loch Lomond and The Trossachs National Park, such as the more sparsely populated eastern shore of Loch Lomond, and it contained a variety of freshwater lochs, such as Loch Katrine and Loch Venachar.

A number of small villages dot the corridors of the A84, A85 and A811 roads, including Callander, widely recognised as the gateway to the Loch Lomond and The Trossachs National Park, and more widely as the gateway to the Scottish Highlands. These scenic areas have proven especially rich territory for successful Conservative candidates and campaigns, hosting many retirees and wealthy investors.

Voting patterns

When the Stirling constituency was first created for the 1983 general election, combining northern elements of the West Stirlingshire constituency with the town of Stirling from the Stirling, Falkirk and Grangemouth constituency and southern elements of the old Kinross and West Perthshire constituency it was thought of as a fairly safe Conservative seat, with Michael Forsyth winning the seat with a majority of 5,133 votes. It became a tight Labour-Conservative marginal in 1987, and again in 1992, being retained by Michael Forsyth with less than 1,000 votes at both elections.

Labour gained Stirling as part of their landslide victory in 1997, then held the seat and it's coterminous constituency of Stirling in the Scottish Parliament, usually with a majority of over 10% of the vote; until the SNP's breakthrough ten years later in 2007. Stirling remained under Labour's control at the 2010 general election; however, it was gained by Steven Paterson of the Scottish National Party in what was landslide victory for the SNP across Scotland in 2015. More recently, the Conservative Party have made gains in the area, coming second in the overlapping constituency of Stirling in the Scottish Parliament, and taking more votes than the SNP at the 2017 Stirling Council election. At the 2017 general election, Stephen Kerr of the Conservatives defeated Paterson by a narrow majority of 148 votes, becoming the first elected Conservative MP for Stirling in 25 years.[3] Kerr was subsequently defeated by Alyn Smith in 2019.[4][5]

Stirling voted against Scottish independence in 2014 on an above-average margin of 59.8% "No" 40.2% "Yes". At the European Union membership referendum on 23 June 2016, an above-average margin of 67.7% of the electorate in Stirling voted for the United Kingdom to remain a member of the European Union with 32.3% voting for the United Kingdom to leave the European Union.

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember[6]Party
1983Michael ForsythConservative
1997Dame Anne McGuireLabour
2015Steven PatersonSNP
2017Stephen KerrConservative
2019Alyn SmithSNP

Elections

Elections of the 2010s

General election 2019: Stirling[4][5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
SNPAlyn Smith 26,895 51.1 +14.3
ConservativeStephen Kerr17,64133.5−3.6
LabourMary-Kate Ross4,2758.1−14.0
Liberal DemocratsFayzan Rehman2,8675.4+2.0
Scottish GreenBryan Quinn9421.8New
Majority9,25417.6N/A
Turnout52,62076.8+2.5
SNP gain from ConservativeSwing+9.0

This was the largest increase in the SNP's vote share at the 2019 general election.[7]

General election 2017: Stirling
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeStephen Kerr[8] 18,291 37.1 +14.0
SNPSteven Paterson[9]18,14336.8−8.8
LabourChris Kane10,90222.1−3.4
Liberal DemocratsWendy Chamberlain1,6833.4+0.7
Women's EqualityKirstein Rummery[10]3370.7New
Majority1480.3N/A
Turnout49,35674.3−3.2
Conservative gain from SNPSwing+11.4
General election 2015: Stirling[11][12]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
SNPSteven Paterson 23,783 45.6 +28.3
LabourJohanna Boyd13,30325.5−16.3
ConservativeStephen Kerr12,05123.1−0.8
Scottish GreenMark Ruskell1,6063.1+1.5
Liberal DemocratsElisabeth Wilson1,3922.7−11.8
Majority10,48020.1N/A
Turnout52,13577.5+6.7
SNP gain from LabourSwing+22.3
General election 2010: Stirling[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourAnne McGuire 19,558 41.8 +5.8
ConservativeBob H. Dalrymple11,20423.9−1.2
SNPAlison J. Lindsay8,09117.3+4.7
Liberal DemocratsGraham Reed6,79714.5−6.2
Scottish GreenMark Ruskell7461.6−1.4
UKIPPaul Henke3950.8+0.3
Majority8,35417.9+7.0
Turnout46,79170.8+3.1
Labour holdSwing+3.5

Elections of the 2000s

General election 2005: Stirling[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourAnne McGuire 15,729 36.0 −7.0
ConservativeStephen Kerr10,96225.1+1.4
Liberal DemocratsKelvin Holdsworth9,05220.7+9.2
SNPFrances McGlinchey5,50312.6−4.5
Scottish GreenRichard Illingworth1,3023.0+0.9
Scottish SocialistRowland Sheret4581.0−1.7
IndependentJames McDonald2610.6New
Christian VoteMichael Willis2150.5New
UKIPMatthew Desmond2090.5New
Majority4,76710.9-6.5
Turnout43,69167.7+2.8
Labour holdSwing−4.2
General election 2001: Stirling[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourAnne McGuire 15,175 42.2 −5.2
ConservativeGeoff Mawdsley8,90124.8−7.7
SNPFiona Macaulay5,87716.4+3.0
Liberal DemocratsClive Freeman4,20811.7+5.5
Scottish SocialistCharles Mullen1,0122.8New
Scottish GreenMark Ruskell7572.1New
Majority6,27417.4+2.5
Turnout35,93067.7−14.1
Labour holdSwing+1.2

Elections of the 1990s

General election 1997: Stirling[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourAnne McGuire 20,382 47.4 +8.8
ConservativeMichael Forsyth13,97132.5−6.7
SNPEwan Dow5,75213.4−1.1
Liberal DemocratsAlistair Tough2,6756.2+0.5
UKIPWilliam McMurdo1540.4New
Majority6,41114.9N/A
Turnout42,95881.8−0.5
Labour gain from ConservativeSwing+7.8
General election 1992: Stirling[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeMichael Forsyth 19,174 40.0 +1.7
LabourCatherine Phillips18,47138.5+2.3
SNPGerald Fisher6,55813.7+3.0
Liberal DemocratsWilliam Robertson3,3377.0−7.8
Scottish GreenWilliam Thomson3420.7New
Monster Raving LoonyRoss Sharp680.1New
Majority7031.5-0.6
Turnout47,95082.3+2.9
Conservative holdSwing

Elections of the 1980s

General election 1987: Stirling[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeMichael Forsyth 17,591 38.3 −1.7
LabourMichael Connarty16,64336.2+8.3
LiberalIan McFarlane6,80414.8−9.1
SNPIain Lawson4,89710.7+2.5
Majority9482.1-10.0
Turnout45,93579.4+3.7
Conservative holdSwing
General election 1983: Stirling[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeMichael Forsyth 17,039 40.0 +2.8
LabourMichael Connarty11,90627.9-7.7
LiberalRoss Finnie10,17423.9+12.6
SNPWilliam Houston3,4888.2-7.7
Majority5,13312.1+10.5
Turnout42,60775.7
Conservative win (new seat)

References

56°07′08″N 4°04′55″W / 56.119°N 4.082°W / 56.119; -4.082