Sefton Central (UK Parliament constituency)

Sefton Central is a constituency represented by Bill Esterson of the Labour Party since 2010.[n 1] [n 2]

Sefton Central
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Map of constituency
Boundary of Sefton Central in North West England
CountyMerseyside
Electorate67,696 (December 2010)[1]
Major settlementsCrosby and Formby
Current constituency
Created2010
Member of ParliamentBill Esterson (Labour)
SeatsOne
Created fromCrosby
Knowsley North & Sefton East

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries
History of boundaries

The constituency was created for the 2010 general election, replacing much of Crosby along with part of Knowsley North and Sefton East. As of the 2024 United Kingdom general election, the constituency covers Merseyside northern residential suburban areas of Crosby, Blundellsands, Brighton-Le-Sands, Little Crosby, Thornton, and Hightown, Formby, Ainsdale, Maghull and the villages and localities of Carr Houses, Freshfield, Ince Blundell, Kennessee Green, Lady Green, Little Altcar, Lunt, Lydiate, Melling, Sefton, and Waddicar, in the Metropolitan Borough of Sefton. The constituency has electoral wards:[2]

Proposed

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, from the 2024 general election, the constituency will be composed of the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Sefton (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

  • Ainsdale; Blundellsands; Harington; Manor; Molyneux (polling districts C1, C2 and C3); Park; Ravenmeols; Sudell.[3]

The Ainsdale ward will transferred from Southport, offset by the loss of the Aintree district in the Molyneux ward to Liverpool Walton.

History

This seat was fought for the first time at the 2010 general election.[4]

At the time, eleven of the constituency's twenty-one councillors were Conservatives followed by the Liberal Democrats who had ten,[n 3] whereas analysis by Rallings and Thrasher indicated that had the Sefton Central constituency existed in 2005, the result would have been: Labour 45.6%, Conservative 33.6%, LibDem 19.2%, giving a Labour majority of 4,950. The Labour Party candidate's majority was 3,862 suggesting a moderate two-party swing.[4]

The area covered by this seat and its immediate predecessor Crosby was historically a strong area for the Conservatives. However, since Labour gained that seat in the 1997 election, they have held it with fairly comfortable margins for 20 years. In 2015, an 8.1% swing to Labour saw them take the area with their biggest ever majority of 11,846 votes (24.2%),[4] in accordance with the significant swing to Labour in Merseyside compared to 2010; this margin was surpassed in 2017, as Labour won more than 60% of the vote in the seat and a majority of over 30% for the first time. This suggests that since 2010, Sefton Central has changed from a key marginal between the major parties to a Labour safe seat.

Constituency profile

The constituency has a working population whose income is close to the national average, and close to average reliance on social housing.[5] At the end of 2012, the unemployment rate in the constituency stood as 2.4% of the population claiming Jobseeker's Allowance, compared to the regional average of 4.2%.[6] The borough contributing to the seat has a medium 28.5% of its population without a car, 25.1% of the population without any qualifications and a 24.1% with Level 4 qualifications or above. In terms of tenure, 70.5% of homes are owned outright or on a mortgage as at the 2011 UK Census across the district.[7]

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember[8]Party
2010Bill EstersonLabour

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Sefton Central [9][10]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourBill Esterson 26,772 56.4 +3.8
ConservativeMarcus Bleasdale8,49017.9-16.4
Reform UKNagender Chindam5,76712.2+8.6
GreenKieran Dams3,2946.9+4.8
Liberal DemocratsGareth Lloyd-Johnson2,6305.5-1.1
IndependentRalph James4961.0new
Majority18,28238.5+20.3
Turnout47,44964-12.5
Labour holdSwing+10.1

Changes are from the notional 2019 results on the 2024 boundaries[11].

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Sefton Central[12][13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourBill Esterson 29,254 57.5 –5.5
ConservativeWazz Mughal14,13227.8–5.2
Liberal DemocratsKeith Cawdron3,3866.7+4.0
Brexit PartyPaul Lomas2,4254.8New
GreenAlison Gibbon1,2612.5+1.2
LiberalAngela Preston2850.6New
RenewCarla Burns1370.3New
Majority15,12229.7–0.3
Turnout50,88072.9–2.6
Labour holdSwing–0.1
General election 2017: Sefton Central[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourBill Esterson 32,830 63.0 +9.2
ConservativeJade Marsden17,21233.0+3.4
Liberal DemocratsDaniel Lewis1,3812.7–1.6
GreenMike Carter6561.3–1.1
Majority15,61830.0+5.8
Turnout52,07975.5+3.1
Labour holdSwing+2.9
General election 2015: Sefton Central[15][16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourBill Esterson 26,359 53.8 +11.9
ConservativeValerie Allen14,51329.6–4.3
UKIPTim Power4,87910.0+5.8
Liberal DemocratsPaula Keaveney2,0864.3–15.6
GreenLindsay Melia1,1842.4New
Majority11,84624.2+16.2
Turnout49,02172.4+0.6
Labour holdSwing+8.1
General election 2010: Sefton Central[17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourBill Esterson 20,307 41.9 –3.7
ConservativeDebi Jones16,44533.9+0.4
Liberal DemocratsRichard Clein9,65619.9+0.7
UKIPPeter Harper2,0554.2+3.5
Majority3,8628.0-4.1
Turnout48,46371.8+11.0
Labour holdSwing+2.0

See also

Notes

References

53°31′23″N 2°59′06″W / 53.523°N 2.985°W / 53.523; -2.985