2022 California gubernatorial election

2022 California gubernatorial election
Turnout	50.80% 12.48pp
	Newsom: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Dahle: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Governor before election; Gavin Newsom; Democratic	Elected Governor ; Gavin Newsom; Democratic

The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.^[1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.

The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available.^[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.^[3]

Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the first time the Democratic candidate failed to win 60% of the vote since 2010. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake, Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014.^[4] Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Gavin Newsom, incumbent governor^[5]

Eliminated in primary

Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner^[6]
Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]
Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidate^[a]^[6]

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Brian Dahle, state senator from the 1st district and former Minority Leader of the California State Assembly^[7]

Eliminated in primary

Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman^[6]
Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)^[8]
Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney^[9]
Ron Jones, former police officer^[6]
Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]
David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]
Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for California's 25th congressional district in 2020^[6]
Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive^[6]
Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]
Lonnie Sortor, business owner^[6]
Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[10]
Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election^[11]
Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]

Declined

Larry Elder, conservative talk show host, author, and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[12]
Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego (2014–2020) and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[13]
Kimberly Guilfoyle, television personality, former advisor to Donald Trump and ex-wife of Gavin Newsom^[14]
Kevin Kiley, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2016–present) and candidate in the 2021 recall election (running for CA-03)^[15]

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

Heather Collins, small business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election^[6]
Luis J. Rodriguez, poet, novelist, and candidate for governor in 2014^[16]^[6]

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

Jeff Scott (write-in)^[8]

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Serge Fiankan, small business owner^[6]
James G. Hanink, former Loyola Marymount University philosophy professor and candidate in the 2021 recall election^{[note 1]}^[6]
Woodrow Sanders III, entrepreneur and engineer^[6]
Frederic C. Schultz, attorney^[6]
Reinette Senum, former mayor of Nevada City^[21]
Michael Shellenberger, environmental policy writer and Democratic candidate for governor in 2018^[22]
Bradley Zink, children's book author^[6]

Withdrew

Adriel Hampton, digital media businessman and candidate for California's 10th congressional district in 2009^[23]^[24]

Endorsements

Brian Dahle (R)

Organizations

California Republican Party^[25]

James G. Hanink (NPP)

Political Parties

American Solidarity Party^[26]

Individuals

Brian T. Carroll, teacher, candidate for California's 22nd congressional district in 2018 and president in 2020^[27]
Mike Maturen, candidate for president in 2016^[28]

Gavin Newsom (D)

Newspapers and other media

Los Angeles Times^[29]

Organizations

Luis J. Rodriguez (G)

Newspapers and other media

People's Tribune^[40]
Tribuno del Pueblo^[41]

Organizations

Association of Raza Educators^[41]
Green Party of California^[42]
Justice Party^[41]
Labor Counsel for Latin American Advancement - Sacramento Chapter^[43]
Los Angeles Poet Society^[44]
Peace and Freedom Party^[45]

Michael Shellenberger (NPP)

Organizations

Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association^[46]

Individuals

Douglas Murray, author, journalist and public commentator^[47]
Steven Pinker, author and public intellectual^[48]

Primary election

The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state.^[49]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	(R) Ronald Anderson	(G) Heather Collins	(R) Shawn Collins	(R) Brian Dahle	(D) Anthony Fanara	(I) Serge Fiankan	(I) James Hanink	(R) Ron Jones	(R) Jenny Rae Le Roux	(R) David Lozano	(R) Daniel Mercuri	(R) Cristian Raul Morales	(R) Robert Newman II	(D) Gavin Newsom	(D) Armando Perez-Serrato	(G) Luis Javier Rodriguez	(I) Woodrow Sanders III	(I) Frederic Schultz	(I) Reinette Senum	(I) Michael Shellenberger	(R) Lonnie Sortor	(R) Anthony Trimino	(D) Joel Ventresca	(R) Major Williams	(R) Leo Zacky	(I) Bradley Zink	Undecided
Berkeley IGS	May 24–31, 2022	3,438 (LV)	± 2.2%	1%	0%	3%	10%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%	50%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%	0%	3%	1%	2%	1%	0%	16%
SurveyUSA	May 13–15, 2022	709 (LV)	± 4.5%	7%	2%	5%	7%	5%	0%	0%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	40%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	18%

Results

Primary results^[50]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom (incumbent)	3,945,728	55.9
	Republican	Brian Dahle	1,252,800	17.7
	No party preference	Michael Shellenberger	290,286	4.1
	Republican	Jenny Rae Le Roux	246,665	3.5
	Republican	Anthony Trimino	246,322	3.5
	Republican	Shawn Collins	173,083	2.5
	Green	Luis J. Rodriguez	124,672	1.8
	Republican	Leo S. Zacky	94,521	1.3
	Republican	Major Williams	92,580	1.3
	Republican	Robert C. Newman II	82,849	1.2
	Democratic	Joel Ventresca	66,885	0.9
	Republican	David Lozano	66,542	0.9
	Republican	Ronald A. Anderson	53,554	0.8
	No party preference	Reinette Senum	53,015	0.8
	Democratic	Armando Perez-Serrato	45,474	0.6
	Republican	Ron Jones	38,337	0.5
	Republican	Daniel R. Mercuri	36,396	0.5
	Green	Heather Collins	29,690	0.4
	Democratic	Anthony Fanara	25,086	0.4
	Republican	Cristian Raul Morales	22,304	0.3
	Republican	Lonnie Sortor	21,044	0.3
	No party preference	Frederic C. Schultz	17,502	0.2
	No party preference	Woodrow Sanders III	16,204	0.2
	No party preference	James G. Hanink	10,110	0.1
	No party preference	Serge Fiankan	6,201	0.1
	No party preference	Bradley Zink	5,997	0.1
	American Independent	Jeff Scott (write-in)	13	0.0
	Republican	Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)	8	0.0
Total votes			7,063,868	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[51]	Solid D	October 26, 2022
Inside Elections^[52]	Solid D	November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[53]	Safe D	November 7, 2022
Politico^[54]	Solid D	April 1, 2022
RCP^[55]	Safe D	January 10, 2022
Fox News^[56]	Solid D	May 12, 2022
538^[57]	Solid D	November 8, 2022
Elections Daily^[58]	Safe D	November 7, 2022

Debates

Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.^[59]

2022 California gubernatorial debate
No.	Date	Host	Moderators	Link	Participants
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn					Gavin Newsom	Brian Dahle
1	October 23, 2022	KQED	Scott Shafer Marisa Lagos	YouTube	P	P

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Gavin Newsom (D)	Brian Dahle (R)	Other ^[c]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	September 22 – October 23, 2022	November 3, 2022	55.0%	34.3%	10.7%	Newsom +20.7
FiveThirtyEight	September 2 – November 8, 2022	November 8, 2022	59.6%	38.7%	1.7%	Newsom +20.9
270ToWin	October 27 – November 7, 2022	November 8, 2022	57.4%	37.0%	5.6%	Newsom +20.4
Average			57.3%	36.7%	6.0%	Newsom +20.6

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Brian Dahle (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.	November 4–6, 2022	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	56%	37%	7%
USC	October 30 – November 2, 2022	802 (RV)	± 3.5%	62%	38%	–	–
UC Berkeley	October 25–31, 2022	5,972 (LV)	± 2.0%	58%	37%	–	4%
ActiVote	July 29 – October 27, 2022	200 (LV)	± 7.0%	61%	39%	–	–
Public Policy Institute of California	October 14–23, 2022	1,060 (LV)	± 5.4%	55%	36%	4%^[d]	5%
SurveyUSA	October 7–10, 2022	1,013 (LV)	± 4.4%	57%	35%	–	8%
UC Berkeley	September 22–27, 2022	6,939 (LV)	± 2.5%	53%	32%	2%^[e]	13%
Public Policy Institute of California	September 2–11, 2022	1,060 (LV)	± 5.4%	58%	31%	5%^[f]	7%
UC Berkeley	August 9–15, 2022	9,254 (RV)	± 2.0%	52%	25%	4%	19%
UC Berkeley	August 9–15, 2022	6,321 (LV)	± 2.4%	55%	31%	3%	11%

Hypothetical polling

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Kevin Faulconer (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	27%	24%

Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	John Cox (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	51%	26%	23%

Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Larry Elder (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	52%	30%	18%

Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[b]	Margin of error	Gavin Newsom (D)	Kevin Kiley (R)	Undecided
Berkeley IGS	August 30 – September 6, 2021	9,809 (RV)	± 2.3%	50%	25%	25%

Results

2022 California gubernatorial election^[60]^[61]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Gavin Newsom (incumbent)	6,470,104	59.18%	−2.77
	Republican	Brian Dahle	4,462,914	40.82%	+2.77
Total votes			10,933,018	100.00%	N/A
Turnout			10,933,018	50.80%	−12.48
Registered electors			21,940,274
	Democratic hold

By county

County	Gavin Newsom Democratic		Brian Dahle Republican		Margin		Total votes
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total votes
Alameda	387,046	79.32	100,923	20.68	286,123	58.64	487,969
Alpine	363	58.64	256	41.36	107	17.29	619
Amador	6,027	32.31	12,628	67.69	-6,601	-35.38	18,655
Butte	31,502	43.49	40,939	56.51	-9,437	-13.03	72,441
Calaveras	7,103	33.44	14,137	66.56	-7,034	-33.12	21,240
Colusa	1,553	27.92	4,009	72.08	-2,456	-44.16	5,562
Contra Costa	265,371	68.31	123,132	31.69	142,239	36.61	388,503
Del Norte	3,264	38.97	5,111	61.03	-1,847	-22.05	8,375
El Dorado	34,534	38.95	54,137	61.05	-19,603	-22.11	88,671
Fresno	98,417	44.92	120,668	55.08	-22,251	-10.16	219,085
Glenn	1,930	24.34	6,000	75.66	-4,070	-51.32	7,930
Humboldt	29,541	61.80	18,257	38.20	11,284	23.61	47,798
Imperial	16,711	55.95	13,158	44.05	3,553	11.90	29,869
Inyo	3,382	45.23	4,095	54.77	-713	-9.54	7,477
Kern	69,701	36.94	119,002	63.06	-49,301	-26.13	188,703
Kings	9,389	34.89	17,523	65.11	-8,134	-30.22	26,912
Lake	9,771	48.54	10,360	51.46	-589	-2.93	20,131
Lassen	1,444	15.75	7,726	84.25	-6,282	-68.51	9,170
Los Angeles	1,620,053	67.81	769,174	32.19	850,879	35.61	2,389,227
Madera	13,283	35.94	23,678	64.06	-10,395	-28.12	36,961
Marin	95,289	80.03	23,775	19.97	71,514	60.06	119,064
Mariposa	2,944	37.55	4,896	62.45	-1,952	-24.90	7,840
Mendocino	19,031	62.61	11,363	37.39	7,668	25.23	30,394
Merced	25,200	45.59	30,073	54.41	-4,873	-8.82	55,273
Modoc	687	20.13	2,725	79.87	-2,038	-59.73	3,412
Mono	2,493	54.56	2,076	45.44	417	9.13	4,569
Monterey	65,262	63.90	36,867	36.10	28,395	27.80	102,129
Napa	32,437	64.73	17,671	35.27	14,766	29.47	50,108
Nevada	26,655	52.54	24,082	47.46	2,573	5.07	50,737
Orange	464,206	48.51	492,734	51.49	-28,528	-2.98	956,940
Placer	73,619	40.43	108,450	59.57	-34,831	-19.13	182,069
Plumas	3,083	35.71	5,550	64.29	-2,467	-28.58	8,633
Riverside	285,000	47.83	310,901	52.17	-25,901	-4.35	595,901
Sacramento	274,680	57.51	202,933	42.49	71,747	15.02	477,613
San Benito	10,428	53.26	9,150	46.74	1,278	6.53	19,578
San Bernardino	215,391	47.39	239,109	52.61	-23,718	-5.22	454,500
San Diego	574,121	55.78	455,107	44.22	119,014	11.56	1,029,228
San Francisco	257,402	85.38	44,064	14.62	213,338	70.77	301,466
San Joaquin	85,498	48.22	91,827	51.78	-6,329	-3.57	177,325
San Luis Obispo	61,166	51.13	58,464	48.87	2,702	2.26	119,630
San Mateo	185,599	74.98	61,918	25.02	123,681	49.97	247,517
Santa Barbara	80,648	59.57	54,726	40.43	25,922	19.15	135,374
Santa Clara	379,377	70.01	162,518	29.99	216,859	40.02	541,895
Santa Cruz	79,117	75.95	25,052	24.05	54,065	51.90	104,169
Shasta	18,607	27.16	49,913	72.84	-31,306	-45.69	68,520
Sierra	529	34.28	1,014	65.72	-485	-31.43	1,543
Siskiyou	6,326	35.69	11,397	64.31	-5,071	-28.61	17,723
Solano	77,769	59.54	52,850	40.46	24,919	19.08	130,619
Sonoma	140,041	70.92	57,413	29.08	82,628	41.85	197,454
Stanislaus	55,311	42.23	75,656	57.77	-20,345	-15.53	130,967
Sutter	9,082	32.31	19,024	67.69	-9,942	-35.37	28,106
Tehama	5,024	24.35	15,607	75.65	-10,583	-51.30	20,631
Trinity	1,860	41.09	2,667	58.91	-807	-17.83	4,527
Tulare	33,273	36.43	58,053	63.57	-24,780	-27.13	91,326
Tuolumne	8,471	36.47	14,759	63.53	-6,288	-27.07	23,230
Ventura	153,226	54.54	127,709	45.46	25,517	9.08	280,935
Yolo	44,328	66.03	22,807	33.97	21,521	32.06	67,135
Yuba	6,534	33.28	13,097	66.72	-6,563	-33.43	19,631
Totals	6,470,099	59.18	4,462,910	40.82	2,007,189	18.36	10,933,009

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Lake (largest municipality: Clearlake)
Merced (largest municipality: Merced)
Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim)
San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
San Joaquin (largest municipality: Stockton)

By congressional district

Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.^[62]

District	Newsom	Dahle	Representative
1st	33%	67%	Doug LaMalfa
2nd	71%	29%	Jared Huffman
3rd	43%	57%	Kevin Kiley
4th	63%	37%	Mike Thompson
5th	37%	63%	Tom McClintock
6th	54%	46%	Ami Bera
7th	64%	36%	Doris Matsui
8th	74%	26%	John Garamendi
9th	48%	52%	Josh Harder
10th	65%	35%	Mark DeSaulnier
11th	86%	14%	Nancy Pelosi
12th	90%	10%	Barbara Lee
13th	46%	54%	John Duarte
14th	68%	32%	Eric Swalwell
15th	76%	24%	Jackie Speier (117th Congress)
15th	76%	24%	Kevin Mullin (118th Congress)
16th	73%	27%	Anna Eshoo
17th	71%	29%	Ro Khanna
18th	68%	32%	Zoe Lofgren
19th	65%	35%	Jimmy Panetta
20th	30%	70%	Kevin McCarthy
21st	51%	49%	Jim Costa
22nd	48%	52%	David Valadao
23rd	39%	61%	Jay Obernolte
24th	59%	41%	Salud Carbajal
25th	53%	47%	Raul Ruiz
26th	54%	46%	Julia Brownley
27th	49%	51%	Mike Garcia
28th	63%	37%	Judy Chu
29th	73%	27%	Tony Cárdenas
30th	75%	25%	Adam Schiff
31st	58%	42%	Grace Napolitano
32nd	66%	34%	Brad Sherman
33rd	55%	45%	Pete Aguilar
34th	82%	18%	Jimmy Gomez
35th	55%	45%	Norma Torres
36th	67%	33%	Ted Lieu
37th	85%	15%	Karen Bass (117th Congress)
37th	85%	15%	Sydney Kamlager-Dove (118th Congress)
38th	58%	42%	Linda Sánchez
39th	55%	45%	Mark Takano
40th	45%	55%	Young Kim
41st	45%	55%	Ken Calvert
42nd	67%	33%	Lucille Roybal-Allard (117th Congress)
42nd	67%	33%	Robert Garcia (118th Congress)
43rd	78%	22%	Maxine Waters
44th	69%	31%	Nanette Barragán
45th	49%	51%	Michelle Steel
46th	60%	40%	Lou Correa
47th	49.7%	50.3%	Katie Porter
48th	38%	62%	Darrell Issa
49th	50.4%	49.6%	Mike Levin
50th	61%	39%	Scott Peters
51st	60%	40%	Sara Jacobs
52nd	63%	37%	Juan Vargas

Notes

References

External links

Official campaign websites

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[note 1]

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[f]

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2022 California gubernatorial election

Contents

Candidates

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Green Party

Eliminated in primary

American Independent Party

Eliminated in primary

No party preference

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Endorsements

Primary election

Polling

Results

General election

Predictions

Debates

Polling

Results

By county

By congressional district

Notes

See also

References

External links