Bristol Central (UK Parliament constituency)

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Bristol Central is a parliamentary constituency to be represented in the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom, located within the City of Bristol, in South West England, from the 2024 general election.[2][3] It returns one Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom.

Bristol Central
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Map of constituency
Boundary of Bristol Central in South West England
CountyCity of Bristol
Electorate70,227 (2023)[1]
Major settlementsBristol
Current constituency
Created2024
Member of ParliamentTBC (TBC)
Seats1
Created fromBristol West
19181974
Seatsone
Created fromBristol East
Bristol North
Bristol South
Bristol West
Replaced byBristol North East
Bristol South East

A constituency of the same name was previously created for the 1918 general election, and abolished for the February 1974 general election, after which it was absorbed into Bristol North East and Bristol South East. The constituency name was re-established in the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies as a successor to Bristol West.[4]

Background

During the 2007 review, a proposal to rename Bristol West to "Bristol Central" was rejected.[5]

Further to the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, Bristol Central will largely replace Bristol West, and will be first contested at the 2024 general election.[6] However the Bishopston and Ashley Down ward will move to Bristol North West, and the Lawrence Hill and Easton wards to Bristol East.[7]

Constituency profile

Based on data from the 2021 census, the Electoral Calculus categorises the proposed seat as being part of the “Strong Left” demographic, those who have very economically left wing and socially liberal views, are composed of a largely student population and have an internationalist outlook including strong opposition to Brexit. For reference, the site gives a notional result of only 12% for those who voted Brexit back in 2016, indicating that Bristol Central is a heavily pro-Remain area. In addition to this, around 43% of the constituency is deprived, in terms of employment, income and education, which can be seen as considerably low in contrast to the national average of 52% deprivation, according to the site. For general statistics, the average age is 37.6, at least 65% of the local population owns a car, whilst 41% own a home, and the gross household income is £48,529.[8]

Bristol Central has also been reported to be the most pro-immigration constituency in the United Kingdom; 55 per cent of voters wanted fewer controls and higher numbers in Bristol, a survey published by the Telegraph found.[9]

History

Modern constituency

Bristol Central was recreated as a constituency for the 2024 general election, after being abolished in the 1970s. The modern Bristol Central became the successor constituency to Bristol West created from the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, of which Thangam Debbonaire was the final MP.[10]

2024 election

In January 2022, Debbonaire was reselected by the Labour Party to re-stand as a candidate in the next general election; on 4 September 2023 she was appointed Shadow Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport by Keir Starmer.[10][11] London Mayor Sadiq Khan visited Clifton to show support for Debbonaire, claiming that Bristol would "have a strong champion as culture secretary in the next Labour government”.[12]

Bristol Central is a target seat for the Green Party where all 14 Bristol City Council members are Greens; the Green party selected Carla Denyer as their candidate.[13][14][15] Following the May local elections, the Green Party became the biggest party in Bristol City Council.[16] Denyer aimed to capitalise upon voters “feeling utterly uninspired by the potential of a Keir Starmer-led Labour party”.[17] Former MP for Liverpool Riverside, Dame Louise Ellman accused the Green Party of stirring up divisions over the Gaza War as part of their electoral campaign, by including the Palestinian flag and images of destruction in Gaza on their distribution letters in Bristol.[18]

Other running candidates included, Reform UK's Robert Clarke,[19] the Liberal Democrats's Nicholas Coombes,[20] and the Conservatives's Samuel Williams.[21]

At the beginning of the election campaign, The Economist and the Financial Times predicted that Labour would win in Bristol Central Constituency, based upon poll tracking.[22][23]

Constituent Carol Vorderman predicted the Green Party would win the election with 52% of the vote share.[24]

Boundaries

1918–1950: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Central East, Central West, Redcliffe, St Augustine, St James, St Paul, and St Philip and Jacob South.

1950–1955: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Easton, Knowle, Redcliffe, St Paul, St Philip and Jacob North, and St Philip and Jacob South.

1955–1974: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Easton, Knowle, St Paul, St Philip and Jacob, and Windmill Hill.

2024-present:

Map of boundaries from 2024

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, from the 2024 general election, the constituency will be composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

The re-established seat will comprise approximately 70% of the, to be abolished, constituency of Bristol West.[26]

Members of Parliament

ElectionMemberPartyNotes
1918Thomas InskipConservative
1929Joseph AlpassLabour
1931Lord ApsleyConservativeKilled in action, 1942 as Commander of the Arab Legion in Malta
1943 by-electionLady ApsleyConservative
1945Stan AwberyLabour
1964Arthur PalmerLabour
1974constituency abolished

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Bristol Central[27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Reform UKRobert Clarke
Liberal DemocratsNicholas Coombes
LabourThangam Debbonaire
GreenCarla Denyer
Party of WomenKellie-Jay Keen
ConservativeSamuel Williams
Majority
Turnout
Swing

Elections in the 1970s

General election 1970: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourArthur Palmer 12,375 51.4 -7.5
ConservativeJames R. E. Taylor9,13037.9+1.9
LiberalAntony Rider2,56910.7New
Majority3,24513.5-9.4
Turnout24,07466.7-3.3
Labour holdSwing

Elections in the 1960s

General election 1966: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourArthur Palmer 15,399 58.9 +3.4
ConservativeJames R. E. Taylor9,41036.0-3.0
IndependentDesmond H. R. Burgess1,3225.1-1.4
Majority5,98922.9+7.4
Turnout26,13170.0-1.9
Labour holdSwing
General election 1964: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourArthur Palmer 16,207 54.5 +0.9
ConservativeJames R. E. Taylor11,61639.0-7.4
IndependentDesmond H. R. Burgess1,9366.5New
Majority4,59115.5+8.3
Turnout29,75971.9-3.1
Labour holdSwing

Elections in the 1950s

General election 1959: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourStan Awbery 19,905 53.6 -6.9
ConservativeL. G. Pine17,20946.4+6.9
Majority2,6967.2-13.8
Turnout37,11475.0+1.2
Labour holdSwing
General election 1955: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourStan Awbery 25,158 60.5 -1.9
ConservativeKenelm Antony Philip Dalby16,40639.5+1.9
Majority8,75221.0-3.8
Turnout41,56473.8-9.3
Labour holdSwing
General election 1951: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourStan Awbery 26,091 62.4 +2.7
ConservativeKenelm Antony Philip Dalby15,72537.6+6.6
Majority10,36624.8-3.9
Turnout41,81683.1-1.4
Labour holdSwing
General election 1950: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourStan Awbery 25,889 59.7 -4.2
ConservativeJohn Peyton13,46131.0-5.1
LiberalDonald David Oliver Jones4,0429.3New
Majority12,42828.7+0.9
Turnout43,39284.5+14.5
Labour holdSwing

Elections in the 1940s

General election 1945: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourStan Awbery 13,045 63.9 +16.4
ConservativeViolet Bathurst7,36936.1-16.4
Majority5,67627.8N/A
Turnout20,41470.0-2.8
Labour gain from ConservativeSwing
1943 Bristol Central by-election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeViolet Bathurst 5,867 52.1 −0.4
Independent LabourJennie Lee4,30838.2New
Ind. Labour PartyJohn McNair8307.4New
IndependentF. H. Dunn2582.3New
Majority1,55913.9+8.9
Turnout11,26332.9−39.9
Conservative holdSwing

Elections in the 1930s

General election 1935: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeAllen Bathurst 15,774 52.5 -7.1
LabourJ. J. Taylor14,25847.5+7.1
Majority1,5165.0-14.2
Turnout30,03272.8-7.6
Conservative holdSwing
General election 1931: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
ConservativeAllen Bathurst 22,311 59.6 +15.3
LabourJoseph Alpass15,14340.4-15.3
Majority7,16819.2N/A
Turnout37,45480.4+2.9
Conservative gain from LabourSwing

Elections in the 1920s

General election 1929: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LabourJoseph Alpass 20,749 55.7 +10.8
UnionistThomas Inskip16,52444.3−10.8
Majority4,22511.4N/A
Turnout37,27377.50.0
Registered electors48,081
Labour gain from UnionistSwing+10.8
General election 1924: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
UnionistThomas Inskip 17,177 55.1 +0.4
LabourJames Lovat-Fraser14,01844.9−0.4
Majority3,15910.2+0.8
Turnout31,19577.5+11.7
Registered electors40,252
Unionist holdSwing+0.4
General election 1923: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
UnionistThomas Inskip 14,386 54.7 −1.2
LabourSamuel Edward Walters11,93245.3+1.2
Majority2,4549.4−2.4
Turnout26,31865.8−6.2
Registered electors40,000
Unionist holdSwing−1.2
General election 1922: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
UnionistThomas Inskip 15,568 55.9 −6.3
LabourChristopher Thomson12,30344.1+6.3
Majority3,26511.8−12.6
Turnout27,87172.0+18.3
Registered electors38,709
Unionist holdSwing−6.3

Elections in the 1910s

General election 1918: Bristol Central
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
CUnionistThomas Inskip12,23263.2
LabourErnest Bevin7,13736.8
Majority5,09526.4
Turnout19,36953.7
Registered electors36,038
Unionist win (new seat)
C indicates candidate endorsed by the coalition government.

See also

References

Sources