52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election

52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election
← outgoing members
All 40 seats in the Newfoundland and Labrador House of Assembly; 21 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Incumbent Premier; Andrew Furey; Liberal	; ;

The 52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before 24 November 2025^[a] to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

Current party standings

Standings in the 50th General Assembly^[2]
Affiliation		Leader	House members
Affiliation		Leader	2021 election results	Current standings
	Liberal	Andrew Furey	22	22
	Progressive Conservative	Tony Wakeham	13	13
	New Democratic	Jim Dinn	2	3
	Independent		3	2

Timeline

31 March 2021: PC leader Ches Crosbie resigns and MHA David Brazil is appointed interim leader and interim Leader of the Opposition.^[3]^[4]
19 October 2021: St. John's Centre MHA Jim Dinn was named interim leader of the New Democratic Party, following the resignation of Alison Coffin.^[5]
6 July 2022: A cabinet shuffle takes place, Haggie and Osborne switch portfolios.^[6]
28 March 2023: Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader.^[7]
14 June 2023: Premier Furey shuffles his cabinet.^[8]
13–15 October 2023: The Progressive Conservative party leadership convention is held at the Sheraton Hotel in St. John’s. MHA Tony Wakeham is elected leader on the second ballot.^[9]
10 November 2023: Conception Bay East-Bell Island MHA David Brazil announced his resignation as MHA effective December 29, 2023.^[10]
22 January 2024: Cabinet Minister and Fogo Island-Cape Freels MHA Derrick Bragg dies of cancer age 59.^[11]
28 January 2024: Conception Bay East-Bell Island by-election is moved to January 30 from its original date of January 29 due to a storm warning.^[12]
30 January 2024: Conception Bay East-Bell Island by-election is held. Liberal candidate Fred Hutton is elected, gaining the seat from the Progressive Conservatives.^[13]
29 February 2024: MHA Fred Hutton is appointed Minister of Housing and Minister responsible for the Newfoundland and Labrador Housing Corporation.^[14]
1 March 2024: Baie Verte-Green Bay MHA Brian Warr resigns.
15 April 2024: Fogo Island-Cape Freels by-election. Progressive Conservative candidate Jim McKenna is elected, gaining the seat from the Liberals.^[15]
27 May 2024: Baie Verte-Green Bay by-election. Progressive Conservative candidate Lin Paddock is elected, gaining the seat from the Liberals.^[16]
5 July 2024: Health Minister and Waterford Valley MHA Tom Osborne resigns.

Changes in MHAs/seats held

Changes in seats held (2021–)
Seat	Before				Change
Seat	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Torngat Mountains	25 October 2021	Lela Evans	█ PC	Resignation from PC caucus^[17]			█ Independent
Torngat Mountains	7 March 2022	Lela Evans	█ Independent	Joined the NDP caucus^[18]^[19]			█ New Democratic
Lake Melville	12 September 2022	Perry Trimper	█ Independent	Joined the Liberal caucus^[20]			█ Liberal
Conception Bay East-Bell Island	29 December 2023	David Brazil	█ PC	Resigned from House of Assembly^[21]	January 30, 2024	Fred Hutton	█ Liberal
Fogo Island-Cape Freels	22 January 2024	Derrick Bragg	█ Liberal	Death of incumbent^[22]	April 15, 2024	Jim McKenna	█ PC
Baie Verte-Green Bay	1 March 2024	Brian Warr	█ Liberal	Resigned from House of Assembly^[23]	May 27, 2024	Lin Paddock	█ PC

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Dates conducted	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Polling firm	Dates conducted	Link				Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Narrative Research	7–29 May 2024	^{[p 1]}	38%	41%	19%	2%	±6.8%	208	Telephone	3%
Narrative Research	7–18 Feb 2024	^{[p 2]}	43%	33%	23%	1%	±5.2%	350	Telephone	10%
Narrative Research	2–26 Nov 2023	^{[p 3]}	44%	38%	16%	3%	±5.0%	388	Telephone	6%
	14 Oct 2023	Tony Wakeham is elected leader of the PCs.^[24]
Abacus Data	19–25 Sep 2023	^{[p 4]}	40%	38%	21%	1%	±4.5%	341	Online	2%
Narrative Research	1–11 Aug 2023	^{[p 5]}	40%	37%	23%	0%	±5.2%	350	Telephone	3%
Narrative Research	4–15 May 2023	^{[p 6]}	50%	31%	17%	2%	±5.2%	350	Telephone	19%
	28 Mar 2023	Jim Dinn is acclaimed permanent NDP leader.
Narrative Research	17–21 Feb 2023	^{[p 7]}	46%	36%	17%	0%	±5.2%	350	Telephone	10%
Narrative Research	3–27 Nov 2022	^{[p 8]}	47%	34%	16%	3%	±4.2%	535	Telephone	13%
Narrative Research	3–23 Aug 2022	^{[p 9]}	40%	42%	16%	1%	±6.0%	260	Telephone	2%
Angus Reid	7–13 Jun 2022	^{[p 10]}	36%	45%	12%	6%	±7.0%	201	Online	9%
Narrative Research	5–24 May 2022	^{[p 11]}	48%	32%	17%	3%	±5.9%	275	Telephone	16%
Angus Reid	10–15 Mar 2022	^{[p 12]}	43%	44%	10%	4%	±7.0%	196	Online	1%
Narrative Research	8–21 Feb 2022	^{[p 13]}	49%	32%	15%	3%	±5.2%	350	Telephone	17%
Angus Reid	7–12 Jan 2022	^{[p 14]}	37%	44%	15%	4%	±8.0%	155	Online	7%
MQO Research	19 Nov – 5 Dec 2021	^{[p 15]}	47%	31%	18%	4%	±5.5%	400	Telephone	16%
Narrative Research	2–23 Nov 2021	^{[p 16]}	48%	27%	23%	2%	±3.5%	800	Telephone	21%
	19 Oct 2021	Alison Coffin resigns as leader of the NDP; Jim Dinn becomes interim leader.
Angus Reid	29 Sep – 3 Oct 2021	^{[p 17]}	39%	39%	17%	5%	N/A	203	Online	Tie
Narrative Research	9–29 Aug 2021	^{[p 18]}	53%	28%	18%	1%	±4.9%	400	Telephone	25%
MQO Research	12 Jun – 10 Jul 2021	^{[p 19]}	56%	26%	15%	2%	±4.9%	400	Telephone	30%
Angus Reid	2–7 Jun 2021	^{[p 20]}	50%	39%	8%	2%	±2.0%	153	Online	11%
Narrative Research	11–26 May 2021	^{[p 21]}	54%	30%	14%	2%	±3.5%	800	Telephone	24%
	8 Apr 2021	Andrew Furey and his cabinet sworn in.^[25]
	31 Mar 2021	Ches Crosbie resigns as leader of the PCs; David Brazil becomes interim leader.^[26]

2021 general election	25 Mar 2021	HTML	48.24%	38.80%	8.02%	4.93%	—	—	—	9.44%
Polling firm	Dates conducted	Link				Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Polling firm	Dates conducted	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Others	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead

Notes

References

Opinion poll sources

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52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election

Contents

Current party standings

Timeline

Changes in MHAs/seats held

Opinion polls

Notes

References

Opinion poll sources