2024 European Parliament election in Italy

The 2024 European Parliament election in Italy took place on 8 and 9 June 2024, electing members of the 10th Italian delegation to the European Parliament as part of the broader 2024 European Parliament election from 6 to 9 June.[1] It was held concurrently with the 2024 Italian local elections.[2]

2024 European Parliament election in Italy

← 20198–9 June 20242029 →

All 76 Italian seats to the European Parliament
Opinion polls
Turnout48.3% (Decrease 6.2 pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderGiorgia MeloniElly SchleinGiuseppe Conte
PartyBrothers of ItalyDemocratic PartyFive Star Movement
AllianceECRS&DNI
Leader since8 March 201412 March 20236 August 2021
Last election6.4%, 6 seats22.7%, 19 seats17.1%, 14 seats
Seats won24218
Seat change1826
Popular vote6,732,3035,646,2962,336,452
Percentage28.8%24.1%10.0%
Swing22.4 pp1.4 pp7.1 pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderAntonio TajaniMatteo SalviniNicola Fratoianni & Angelo Bonelli
PartyForza ItaliaLegaGreens and Left
AllianceEPPIDThe Left
Greens/EFA
Leader since15 July 202315 December 201310 July 2021
Last election8.7%, 7 seats34.3%, 29 seats4.1%, 0 seats[a]
Seats won886
Seat change1216
Popular vote2,244,1702,100,2921,588,760
Percentage9.6%9.0%6.8%
Swing0.9 pp25.3 pp2.7 pp

Results of the election

Background

In the previous European election of 2019, the Lega of Matteo Salvini arrived first with 34.3% of the vote and 29 seats, followed by the Democratic Party with 22.7% and 19 seats.

In the 2022 Italian general election, the Brothers of Italy of Giorgia Meloni arrived first with 25.98% of the vote for the Chamber of Deputies, inside the Centre-right coalition, followed by the Democratic Party with 19.04%, inside the Centre-left coalition.

Qatargate

The ongoing Qatargate corruption scandal, which began in December 2022, has destabilized the European Parliament following the arrest of several MEPs including Marc Tarabella, Andrea Cozzolino and Eva Kaili. Among others, the case includes Francesco Giorgi, the parliamentary assistant of MEP Andrea Cozzolino, Pier Antonio Panzeri, founder of the Fight Impunity NGO; Niccolo Figa-Talamanca, head of the No Peace Without Justice NGO; and Luca Visentini, head of the International Trade Union Confederation.[3][4]

Carlo Fidanza

In January 2023, MEP Carlo Fidanza of Brothers of Italy was involved in a corruption investigation by the Milan Public Prosecutor's Office for having made Brescia city councillor Giovanni Acri resign in order to get Giangiacomo Calovini elected, in exchange for the appointment of Acri's son as Fidanza's assistant in the European Parliament.[5] Giangiacomo Calovini was then elected member of the Chamber of Deputies of Italy at the 2022 Italian general election for Brothers of Italy. In June 2023, Fidanza and Calovini plea bargained with the Milan Public Prosecutor to one year and four months for corruption, avoiding the disqualification from public office that would have been triggered by the Severino Law.[6][7]

Electoral system

As the party-list proportional representation was the traditional electoral system of the First Italian Republic from its establishment in 1946 to 1994, it was adopted to elect the Italian members of the European Parliament (MEPs) since 1979. Two levels were introduced: a national level to divide the seats among parties and a constituency level to distribute them among candidates in open lists. Five constituencies were established, each including 2–6 regions of Italy and each electing a fixed number of MEPs. At national level, seats are divided between party lists using the largest remainder method with Hare quota. Seats are allocated to parties and then to their most voted candidates. In the run-up to the 2009 European Parliament election in Italy, the Italian Parliament introduced an electoral threshold of 4%. An exception was granted for parties representing some linguistic minorities as such lists can be connected with one of the major parties through apparentment, combining their votes, provided that those parties reach the 4% threshold and that candidates from minority parties obtain a sufficient number of votes, no less than 50,000 for the main candidate. Every political party that intends to take part in the election must collect at least 30,000 to 35,000 signatures of eligible voters for each constituency, of which at least 3,000 signatures for each region; however, the following lists are exempted from the collection of signatures: all the lists that have at least one group in the Chamber of Deputies or the Senate of the Republic, all the lists that contested themselves in the last political election with their own symbol and that have elected at least one parliamentarian, all the lists that contain the symbol of a list already exempted from the collection of signatures, and the lists that refer in the symbol to a European political party or a party of another nation within the European Union that has elected at least one MEP at the last European elections. The latter condition was established in 2019 by the Electoral Offices of the constituencies.[8][9]

Constituencies

The electoral constituencies of Italy
ConstituencyRegionsSeatsPopulation, 2022[10] (thousands)Area (km2)
TotalPer seatTotalPer seat
North-WestAosta Valley, Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont2015,83279257,9502,897
North-EastEmilia-Romagna, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, Veneto1511,54176962,3104,154
CentralLazio, Marche, Tuscany, Umbria1511,72478158,0523,870
SouthernAbruzzo, Apulia, Basilicata, Calabria, Campania, Molise1813,51275173,2234,068
IslandsSardinia, Sicily86,42180349,8016,225
Total7659,030777302,0683,975

Proposed changes

In 2023, the Regional Council of Sardinia unanimously approved a proposal to split the Italian Islands constituency into Sicily and Sardinia due to the population disproportion between the two Italian regions. As of May 2023, the proposal is under discussion in the Senate of the Republic.[11][12] In July 2023, it was informally proposed to lower the electoral threshold from 4% to 3%, the same electoral threshold used for the political elections. This proposal was welcomed by Greens and Left Alliance (AVS) and Us Moderates (NM). FdI did not shut it down since they wanted to help FI, whose future seemed uncertain after the death of Berlusconi, while Lega and IV declared themselves against the proposal. The proposal was officially rejected in September when Forza Italia, fearing the centrist competition of Az and IV, refused to lower the electoral threshold.[13][14][15]

Signature exemptions

According to the regulations for the 2019 European Parliament election, parties may be exempted from collecting signatures under certain circumstances, including having their own group in the Chamber of Deputies or the Senate of the Republic, having elected at least one MP with their symbol in the last general election, having a logo that contains the logo of another party already exempted from collecting signatures, and having lists that refer to a European party or a party of another nation within the European Union that has elected at least one MEP in the last European elections.[16] In 2014, the Electoral Offices of the constituencies granted exemption to the European Greens – Green Italia list, as the list was affiliated with a European political party represented in the European Parliament with its own parliamentary group.[17] In 2019, the Electoral Offices of the constituencies established a condition that permits certain parties to participate in European elections through any party in Europe that elected at least one MEP in any European country.[18] In February 2024, FdI proposed an amendment to the Elections Decree in the Senate of the Republic. The amendment aimed to clarify the interpretation given by the Electoral Offices of the constituencies in 2019. It was suggested that parties that had elected at least one MEP in Italy at the last elections would be exempt. Additionally, it was proposed that only lists that had elected at least one member of the Italian Parliament (MP) in the proportional representation system (Italian electoral law of 2017) at the 2022 general election would be exempt. This exclusion would apply to parties that had elected an MP in a uninominal constituency with their party logo.[19] After criticism from some parties, such as +Eu, South calls North (ScN), and Popular Alternative (AP), with the first two parties having elected an MP only in a single-member district, the amendment was revised to provide an exemption for all parties that have elected an MP, whether in a proportional representation or a single-member districts.[20][21] On 7 March 2024, the Constitutional Affairs Committee in the Senate of the Republic approved the amendment.[22]

Outgoing delegation

Outgoing MEPs

The table shows the detailed composition of the Italian seats at the European Parliament as of 1 February 2024.

EP GroupSeatsPartySeatsMEPs
Identity and Democracy
22 / 76
Lega22
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats
15 / 76
Democratic Party14
Solidary Democracy1
Independents1
European People's Party
12 / 76
Forza Italia11
South Tyrolean People's Party1
European Conservatives and Reformists
10 / 76
Brothers of Italy9
Lega1
Non-attached members
10 / 76
Five Star Movement5
Brothers of Italy1
Democratic Party1
Greens and Left Alliance1
Christian Democracy Sicily1
Independents1
Renew Europe
4 / 76
Action2
Italia Viva1
Independents1
Greens–European Free Alliance
3 / 76
Greens and Left Alliance1
August 24th Movement1
Independents1
Total76
Source: European Parliament

Retiring incumbents

The table shows the MEPs who are not seeking re-election.

ConstituencyDeparting MEPPartyEP GroupFirst electedTermsDate announced
North-West ItalyMercedes BressoDemocratic PartyS&D2004322 May 2023[26]
North-East ItalyAchille VariatiDemocratic PartyS&D2022119 January 2024[27]
North-West ItalyMarco ZanniLegaID2014228 February 2024[28]
Southern ItalyLaura FerraraFive Star MovementNI2014215 March 2024[29]
Italian IslandsIgnazio CorraoIndependentGreens/EFA201429 April 2024[30]
North-West ItalyLara ComiForza ItaliaEPP2009317 April 2024[31]
North-East ItalyPaolo De CastroDemocratic PartyS&D2009320 April 2024[32][33]
North-East ItalyGianantonio Da ReLegaID2019123 April 2024[34]
Central ItalyMatteo AdinolfiLegaID2019123 April 2024[35]
Central ItalyNicola DantiItalia VivaRE201421 May 2024[36]
Southern ItalyMassimo CasanovaLegaID201912 May 2024[37]
North-West ItalyMarco CampomenosiLegaID20191
Central ItalyAntonio Maria RinaldiLegaID20191
Italian IslandsFrancesca DonatoDCSNI20191
North-West ItalyGiuliano PisapiaIndependentS&D20191
Southern ItalyFranco RobertiDemocratic PartyS&D20191
Southern ItalyAndrea CozzolinoDemocratic PartyNI20093
North-West ItalyTiziana BeghinFive Star MovementNI20142
North-East ItalyMarco ZulloIndependentRE20142
North-East ItalyFabio Massimo CastaldoActionRE20142
Italian IslandsDino GiarrussoIndependentNI20191
North-East ItalyPaola GhidoniLegaID20221
Southern ItalyElisabetta De BlasisBrothers of ItalyECR20221

Parties and leaders

This is a list of the parties which will participate in the election. Some parties will run only in one or a few constituencies out of five.

PartyMain ideologyLeader(s)European
party
EP Group2019 resultOutgoing MEPs
Votes (%)Seats
LegaLeague
Lega
Right-wing populismMatteo SalviniID PartyID34.3%
29 / 76
23 / 76
PDDemocratic Party
Partito Democratico
Social democracyElly SchleinPESS&D22.7%
19 / 76
15 / 76
M5SFive Star Movement
Movimento 5 Stelle
PopulismGiuseppe ConteNoneNI17.1%
14 / 76
5 / 76
FI–NMForza ItaliaUs Moderates[45]Liberal conservatismAntonio TajaniEPPEPP8.8%
7 / 76
10 / 76
FdIBrothers of ItalyNational conservatismGiorgia MeloniECR PartyECR6.4%
6 / 76
10 / 76
SVPSouth Tyrolean People's Party
Südtiroler Volkspartei
RegionalismDieter StegerEPPEPP0.5%
1 / 76
1 / 76
AVSGreens and Left Alliance
Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra
Green politics
Democratic socialism
Angelo Bonelli
Nicola Fratoianni
EGP
PEL
Greens-EFA
GUE/NGL
2.3%
1.7%
0 / 76
1 / 76
SUEUnited States of Europe
Stati Uniti d'Europa
European federalismEmma Bonino
Matteo Renzi
ALDE Party
EDP
PES
Renew
S&D
3.1%
0 / 76
1 / 76
DSPSovereign Popular Democracy
Democrazia Sovrana Popolare
Anti-establishmentMarco RizzoNoneNone0.9%
0 / 76
0 / 76
PAIAnimalist PartyItalexit
Partito Animalista–Italexit
Animal rightsCristiano CerielloAPEUNone0.6%
0 / 76
0 / 76
APPopular Alternative
Alternativa Popolare
Christian democracyStefano BandecchiEPPNone0.4%
0 / 76
0 / 76
AAction
Azione
LiberalismCarlo CalendaALDE PartyRenewDid not contest
2 / 76
PTDPeace Land DignityLeft-wing populismMichele SantoroPELGUE/NGLDid not contest
1 / 76
LFreedom
Libertà
PopulismCateno De LucaNoneNoneDid not contest
0 / 76
RVValdostan Rally
Rassemblement Valdôtain
  • Piedmont Project Movement (MPP)[78]
ConservatismStefano AggraviNoneNoneDid not contest
0 / 76

Candidates

Top candidates

The following table lists the top candidates of each party/list in the five constituencies.

PartyNorth-WestNorth-EastCentreSouthIslandsSource
LeagueSilvia SardonePaolo BorchiaRoberto VannacciRoberto VannacciAnnalisa Tardino[79]
Democratic PartyCecilia StradaStefano BonacciniElly SchleinLucia AnnunziataElly Schlein[80]
Five Star MovementMaria Angela DanzìSabrina PignedoliCarolina MoracePasquale Tridico [it]Giuseppe Antoci [it][81][82][83][84]
Forza ItaliaUs ModeratesAntonio TajaniAntonio TajaniAntonio TajaniAntonio TajaniCaterina Chinnici[85]
Brothers of ItalyGiorgia MeloniGiorgia MeloniGiorgia MeloniGiorgia MeloniGiorgia Meloni[86]
Greens and Left AllianceIlaria SalisCristina GuardaIgnazio MarinoMimmo LucanoLeoluca Orlando[87][88][89]
United States of EuropeEmma BoninoGraham WatsonGian Domenico CaiazzaEnzo Maraio [it]Rita Bernardini[90]
ActionElena BonettiCarlo CalendaCarlo CalendaCarlo CalendaCarlo Calenda[91][92]
Peace Land DignityMichele SantoroRaniero La Valle [it]Michele SantoroMichele SantoroMichele Santoro[93][94][better source needed]
FreedomCateno De LucaCateno De LucaCateno De LucaCateno De LucaCateno De Luca[95]
Popular AlternativeStefano BandecchiStefano BandecchiLuca PalamaraStefano BandecchiStefano Bandecchi[94][better source needed]
Sovereign Popular DemocracyMarco Rizzo[94][better source needed]
Animalist PartyItalexitCristiano Ceriello[94][better source needed]
South Tyrolean People's PartyHerbert Dorfmann[96]
Valdostan RallyStefano Aggravi[78]

League

On 8 January 2024, Salvini announced that he would not run for the next European Parliament. He also praised Roberto Vannacci, an Italian Army general who became notorious in the summer of 2023 for writing a political book containing homophobic, racist, and sexist statements while on duty.[97][98] An internal disciplinary procedure was opened against him by the Italian Army to investigate possible disciplinary offences.[99] Vannacci said he would consider a candidature for the European elections.[100] On 25 April, Salvini announced that Vannacci accepted to run as a candidate in all constituencies.[101]

Democratic Party

Paolo Gentiloni, the outgoing European Commissioner for Economy, turned down the chance to stand as a candidate for the European Parliament.[102]

Brothers of Italy

Meloni, the leader of FdI and 68th Prime Minister of Italy, said during a press conference that she was considering running in the next elections.[103] According to Article 122 of the Italian Constitution and to Article 6 of the Access Initial Legal Act approved by the European Parliament, the office of Prime Minister is incompatible with that of MEP, therefore Meloni should immediately resign as MEP.[104][105][106] Berlusconi was the only italian incumbent Prime Minister to run as a candidate for the European elections in 1994, 2004, and in 2009, resigning as MEP after the elections due to incompatibility with the office of Prime Minister.[107][108]

Other parties

On 14 January 2024, Emma Bonino declined to stand as a candidate for the election;[109] she changed her mind on 20 April 2024.[110] On 25 January 2024, Federico Pizzarotti, president of +Eu, announced his desire to run as a candidate.[111]

On 22 January 2024, Calenda unveiled on the party website the first candidates for the election: MEP Giosi Ferrandino, Caterina Avanza, Alessio D'Amato, Cristina Lodi, Mario Raffaelli, and Giuseppe Zollino.[112][113]

Campaign

League

Lega leader Matteo Salvini repeatedly called for the formation of an alternative majority in the European Parliament that included the groups of the European People's Party (EPP), European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), and Identity and Democracy Party (ID), like the centre-right coalition that won the 2022 Italian general election. on 7 December 2023, Salvini organized an ID convention in Florence, where he criticized the European Green Deal, accusing the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) of "illegally occupying" the European Commission. For his part, Antonio Tajani, the new leader of Forza Italia (FI) following the death of historic party leader Silvio Berlusconi in June 2023, criticized Salvini's idea, not considering an alliance with Marine Le Pen of the National Rally (RN), Geert Wilders of the Party for Freedom (PVV), and Alternative for Germany (AfD) possible.[114][115]

Brothers of Italy

In an interview with ZDF on 6 August 2023, the EPP president Manfred Weber praised the Meloni government, suggesting a possible alliance with Brothers of Italy for the next election. He drew a red line with three conditions to fulfill: the support for Ukraine in the Russo-Ukrainian War, the willingness to build Europe and not destroy it, and the acceptance of the rule of law, denying at the same time an alliance with AfD, RN, or PiS; at the same time, Markus Söder, the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU) leader, turned down any alliance with FdI.[116][117] Former German Minister of Justice Katarina Barley accused Weber of opening up to the far right in Europe.[118] During the press conference held on 5 January 2024, Meloni said there are "insurmountable distances" with AfD but praised Le Pen.[119]

Centrist parties

After the break-up of the Third Pole, an electoral coalition formed in 2022 between Action (Az) and Italia Viva (IV), there were concerns that there was a risk of presenting three lists belonging to the same Renew Europe (Renew) group without any of the three lists being able to pass the threshold, thus not electing any MEPs.[120] Stéphane Séjourné, the president of Renew, publicly appealed in May 2023 to both parties to stand together at the next European elections so as to elect "as many MEPs from the Renew Europe group as possible".[121][122][123] Disagreements between Az leader Carlo Calenda and IV leader Matteo Renzi hindered the birth of a common list; Renzi announced the break-up of the common groups at the Italian Parliament and the birth of a list called The Centre, while Calenda expressed his opposition to run again with Renzi. Calenda had also broken the federation with More Europe (+Eu) in August 2022, preferring to ally himself with IV to create the Third Pole, and he had also stood as a candidate in the same constituency as +Eu founder Emma Bonino, ending up favouring the centre-right coalition candidate who then won the uninominal constituency.[124][125][126]

On 30 September 2023, Riccardo Magi, secretary of +Eu, announced that his party would run as the United States of Europe.[127] On 13 December 2023, the National Direction of +Eu approved talks with the other Italian liberal parties for a list supporting the United States of Europe.[128] On 15 December 2023, Bonino published on La Stampa a manifesto, calling for the United States of Europe.[129] The manifesto was signed by individual people like Base Italia leader Marco Bentivogli,[130] Giusi Nicolini,[131] Sandro Gozi,[132] Nathalie Tocci, and Renato Soru,[133] and parties like IV.[134]

On 31 January 2024, Bonino published an article in Il Sole 24 Ore announcing a convention for the United States of Europe list open to all parties for 24 February 2024 in Rome.[135] The goal is to launch a list that does not contain individual party symbols on its logo and that party leaders do not run for the European Parliament election.[136] Despite suporting the manfiesto, Renzi announced that he would run in all constituencies.[137] Following the convention on 24 February 2024, there were differences of opinion between Az and IV. Magi requested a brief period of reflection to come to an agreement on a single list.[138][139] On 7 March 2024, More Europe issued a statement advocating for a unified list that includes all three liberal parties, otherwise each party would need to act independently.[140]

Other lists

In November 2023, former Rome mayor Gianni Alemanno launched a right-wing party called Independence, saying he was thinking about running for the European Parliament election.[141] In February 2024, television host Michele Santoro presented a left-wing list named Peace, Land, Dignity.[142]

Opinion polling

Party vote

  Exit poll

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeLega
ID
PD
S&D
M5S
NI
FI
EPP
NM
EPP
FdI
ECR
AVS
LeftG/EFA
PTD[a]
Left
SUEA
Renew
DSP
NI
Italexit
NI
Libertà
NI
OthersLead
+E
Renew
IV
Renew
8–9 Jun 2024Consorzio Opinio8–1021–2510–148.5–10.526–305–71–33.5–5.52.5–4.50–20–39–1
20–24 May 2024SWG2,0008.622.014.78.627.34.62.54.24.02.05.3
25–25 May 2024Noto1,0009.020.515.09.028.04.02.24.04.03.07.5
22–23 May 2024Demopolis2,0008.822.014.58.727.04.32.24.23.72.85.0
21–22 May 2024Eumetra8008.721.116.28.927.14.22.24.53.82.06.0
22–23 May 2024Termometro3,9009.019.615.78.526.84.02.54.53.91.81.07.2
19–23 May 2024Quorum1,6049.020.315.98.527.24.91.94.13.90.90.56.9
19–23 May 2024EMG2,0009.320.915.77.926.94.24.53.76.0
20–21 May 2024Ipsos1,0008.622.515.49.226.54.61.94.13.62.00.74.0
19–21 May 2024Cluster 171,0518.720.815.58.226.94.32.24.63.71.02.21.97.1
20–21 May 2024Bidimedia1,1909.121.215.28.327.14.42.04.64.02.51.66.0
17–22 Apr 2024SWG1,2008.520.015.98.426.84.32.14.74.11.42.21.66.8
17–19 Apr 2024Quorum8017.220.516.57.627.84.41.95.03.31.64.27.3
17–18 Apr 2024Demos1,0058.520.216.48.028.04.24.14.06.67.8
16–18 Apr 2024Termometro Politico4,1008.519.716.18.327.53.22.55.23.81.91.61.77.8
16–17 Apr 2024Eumetra8.519.716.48.327.43.81.95.13.81.31.92.07.7
10–15 Apr 2024SWG1,2008.619.416.08.427.24.11.85.24.21.41.91.87.8
13 Apr 2024Tecnè7.919.816.210.127.33.71.65.53.62.02.37.5
8–12 Apr 2024Ixè1,0008.019.916.48.426.64.21.14.03.71.36.46.7
9–11 Apr 2024Termometro Politico3,7008.819.515.68.027.83.32.45.13.91.81.82.48.3
8–9 Apr 2024Demopolis2,0008.020.015.88.727.03.82.24.63.52.12.07.0
3–8 Apr 2024SWG1,2008.819.815.67.826.93.91.65.34.01.41.53.47.1
8 Apr 2024Euromedia8008.719.717.68.526.93.71.84.43.83.71.27.2
5 Apr 2024EMG7.820.216.79.01.027.23.31.26.23.24.27.0
4–5 Apr 2024Quorum8017.519.816.07.827.73.92.24.63.11.64.77.9
2–4 Apr 2024EMG1,0007.820.216.79.027.23.31.26.23.25.27.0
28–30 Mar 2024BiDiMedia2,0008.320.216.67.127.14.41.55.14.41.31.12.76.9
27 Mar 2024Euromedia8008.819.317.58.00.727.53.52.04.74.01.72.38.2[b]
8.719.517.58.30.627.93.02.04.84.11.71.98.5[c]
19–25 Mar 2024Ipsos1,0008.020.516.18.70.727.53.31.52.83.32.51.21.52.47.0
20 Mar 2024Ipsos8.219.017.48.227.04.12.63.43.07.18.0
19 Mar 2024Noto8.019.017.08.02.028.03.52.53.03.55.59.0[b]
7.020.016.08.02.030.03.02.53.03.55.010.0[c]
11 Mar 2024Euromedia8008.719.717.27.70.728.03.92.73.54.04.08.3[b]
8.620.216.98.20.428.73.41.53.84.03.38.5[c]
7 Mar 2024Noto8.019.516.57.52.027.04.03.53.03.55.57.5[b]
7.520.516.58.01.529.03.53.53.03.04.08.5[c]
23 Feb5 Mar 2024Ipsos1,5038.219.017.48.227.04.12.63.43.07.18.0
28 Feb1 Mar 2024Quorum8038.119.915.96.60.727.14.63.43.53.71.64.97.2
28 Feb 2024Euromedia8008.619.617.07.91.427.64.02.63.14.33.98.0[b]
8.720.017.28.51.228.13.92.53.54.02.48.1[c]
26–28 Feb 2024Bidimedia1,0008.520.015.57.50.828.13.91.52.43.04.31.21.32.08.1
25–28 Feb 2024Cluster171,0229.119.716.07.60.427.34.60.72.13.04.01.61.92.17.6
20–22 Feb 2024Ipsos1,0008.318.317.07.91.128.23.51.82.23.63.31.02.01.89.9
17–22 Feb 2024Stack Data Strategy9448.719.915.56.60.927.13.71.44.24.93.31.72.17.3
21 Feb 2024Noto8.019.518.07.02.027.53.53.53.03.54.58.0
30 Jan1 Feb 2024Termometro Politico3,8009.419.616.26.829.13.01.52.42.63.81.71.42.59.5
30–31 Jan 2024Demopolis9.020.015.87.228.03.62.02.73.88.18.0
24–31 Jan 2024Portland5027.021.016.010.028.03.02.03.05.02.01.02.0[d]7.0
24–27 Jan 2024BiDiMedia1,0009.019.316.16.61.028.63.81.32.53.14.21.31.22.09.3
25–26 Jan 2024Quorum8039.319.213.66.51.628.44.32.62.93.71.56.49.2
22–24 Jan 2024Winpoll1,0009.121.514.67.827.83.01.52.42.53.21.35.3[e]6.3
12–22 Jan 2024Euromedia8008.419.517.87.50.328.53.42.52.84.31.43.69.0[b]
8.219.018.17.20.329.33.32.43.34.61.42.99.3[c]
16 Jan 2024Noto8.019.517.07.02.028.03.52.03.03.07.08.5[f]
6.520.017.06.51.532.04.02.03.03.04.512.0[c]
15–16 Jan 2024Tecnè8008.419.815.69.229.02.93.911.29.2[b]
8.319.515.69.329.32.93.911.09.8[c]
4 Jan 2024IZI1,0689.319.517.07.427.14.23.03.03.56.07.6
30 Dec4 Jan 2024Lab21011,00010.219.816.25.80.729.44.02.32.83.92.32.69.6
26 May 20192019 European election34.322.717.18.86.44.1[g]3.10.94.57.6

Seat projections

Polling firmFieldwork dateLeague
ID
PD
S&D
M5S
NI
FI
EPP
FdI
ECR
SVP
EPP
+E
Renew
IV
Renew
Action
Renew
AVS
G–EFAGUE/NGL
Italexit
UP
OthersLead
election.de[143]6 June 202471813723031[h]45
Europe Elects[144]4 June 202471714522114435
Cluster 1721 May 20247-818137230-140-40-45
Bidimedia20 May 20247171262214345
election.de[145]9 May 202471815724131[h]6
Europe Elects[146]28 Apr 20247171472511338
Der Föderalist[147]26 Apr 20247181482414[h]6
election.de[148]22 Apr 202471814724123[h]6
Europe Elects[149]16 Apr 2024817135251438
election.de[150]8 Apr 202471815625147
election.de[151]22 Mar 202471815625147
election.de[152]8 Mar 2024717156241337
Europe Elects[153]4 Mar 202481715525158
election.de[154]7 Feb 20249191552718
ECFR[155]23 Jan 202481413727169
Der Föderalist[156]11 Jan 20248161462516[h]9
election.de[157]9 Jan 202481715625148
Europe Elects[158]30 Dec 202381715526149
Europe Elects[159]30 Nov 202391714526149
Der Föderalist[160]06 Nov 20238171472515[h]8
Europe Elects[161]31 Oct 2023817144251438
Europe Elects[162]30 Sep 202391914425146
Der Föderalist[163]11 Sep 20238171472515[h]8
Europe Elects[164]31 Aug 20239191552718
Europe Elects[165]31 Jul 20239191552718
Der Föderalist[166]17 Jul 20238161372418[h]8
Europe Elects[167]28 Jun 202381815628110
Europe Elects[168]31 May 202381815426148
Der Föderalist[169]22 May 202381814725147
Europe Elects[170]30 Apr 202391714424177
Der Föderalist[171]27 Mar 202381614725159
Der Föderalist[172]1 Feb 2023814157251610
2019 European election26 May 201929191476110

Results

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Brothers of Italy6,732,30328.7524+18
Democratic Party5,646,29624.1121+2
Five Star Movement2,336,4529.988-6
Forza ItaliaUs Moderates2,244,1709.588+1
Lega per Salvini Premier2,100,2928.978-21
Greens and Left Alliance1,588,7606.796New
United States of Europe883,9253.7800
Action – We Are Europeans785,5803.3600
Peace Land Dignity517,8332.210New
Freedom285,8001.220New
South Tyrolean People's Party120,9300.5210
Popular Alternative91,3910.3900
Sovereign Popular Democracy36,2250.150New
Animalist PartyItalexit29,5520.1300
Valdostan Rally14,5740.060New
Total23,414,083100.00760
Source: [173]
Popular vote (party)
FdI
28.75%
PD
24.11%
M5S
9.98%
FI
9.58%
Lega
8.97%
AVS
6.79%
SUE
3.78%
A
3.36%
PTD
2.21%
Libertà
1.22%
Others
1.25%

References