2023 Melilla Assembly election

The Assembly of Melilla was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla.^[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.^[2]

The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.^[1][2]

The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.^[1]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.^[2]

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.^[1][2]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Votes (%)	Seats
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Juan José Imbroda	Conservatism Christian democracy	37.84%	10	N	[3]
	CpM	List Coalition for Melilla (CpM)		Dunia Almansouri	Social democracy Progressivism Regionalism Muslim and Berber rights	30.62%	8	Y	[4]
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Gloria Rojas	Social democracy	14.41%	4	Y	[5]
	Vox	List Vox (Vox)		José Miguel Tasende	Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism	7.76%	2	N	[6]
	SML	List We Are Melilla (SML)		Amin Azmani	Localism Centrism	1.95[a]	0	N	[7]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout								CR	Lead
2023 Assembly election	28 May 2023	—	49.2	52.7 14	18.8 5	10.7 3	9.9 2	–	5.1 1	1.0 0	0.2 0	33.9
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 1][p 2]	11–17 May 2023	250	?	36.3 9	33.4 9	11.7 3	15.5 4	1.0 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	2.9
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 3][p 4]	4–10 May 2023	250	?	36.1 9	33.5 9	11.7 3	15.6 4	1.0 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	2.6
SyM Consulting[p 5][p 6]	30 Apr–4 May 2023	753	65.6	28.6 8/9	39.0 11/12	8.1 2	10.0 3	0.4 0	3.3 0	3.1 0	3.0 0	10.4
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 7][p 8]	26 Apr–3 May 2023	250	?	36.0 9	33.5 9	11.7 3	15.7 4	1.0 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	2.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 9][p 10]	19–25 Apr 2023	250	?	35.5 9	33.5 9	11.7 3	15.7 4	1.0 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	2.0
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 11][p 12]	12–18 Apr 2023	250	?	35.2 9	34.7 9	11.5 3	16.1 4	0.8 0	0.9 0	0.7 0	–	0.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 13][p 14]	5–11 Apr 2023	250	?	35.2 9	34.7 9	11.8 3	16.1 4	0.8 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	0.5
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 15][p 16]	27 Mar–4 Apr 2023	250	?	35.3 9	33.9 9	12.4 3	16.4 4	0.8 0	1.0 0	0.0 0	–	1.4
SyM Consulting[p 17][p 18]	27 Mar–3 Apr 2023	853	70.4	31.0 9/10	36.8 11	7.1 2	10.0 2/3	0.5 0	2.8 0	–	4.9 0	5.8
GAD3/PP[p 19][p 20]	2–3 Feb 2023	606	?	46.5 13	21.8 6	17.1 4	8.4 2	1.7 0	–	–	–	24.7
SyM Consulting[p 21][p 22]	8–14 Dec 2022	788	57.6	32.6 8/9	43.9 12	7.0 1/2	11.8 3	0.2 0	–	–	–	11.3
SyM Consulting[p 23][p 24]	2–5 Nov 2022	1,186	57.8	36.7 10	41.0 11/12	6.7 1/2	9.9 2	0.1 0	–	–	–	4.3
SyM Consulting[p 25][p 26]	8–11 Sep 2022	1,207	59.0	36.7 9/10	37.0 10	7.8 2	13.6 3/4	0.1 0	–	–	–	0.3
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 27]	14 Jun–12 Jul 2022	997	?	33.7 9	33.0 9	12.9 3	16.4 4	1.2 0	1.8 0	1.0 0	–	0.7
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 28]	13 May–13 Jun 2022	859	?	33.2 9	33.3 9	13.0 3	16.4 4	1.2 0	1.8 0	1.0 0	–	0.1
SyM Consulting[p 29][p 30]	8–12 Jun 2022	884	57.3	34.1 9	38.9 10/11	8.3 2	13.5 3/4	0.1 0	–	–	–	4.8
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 31]	15 Apr–12 May 2022	759	?	32.8 9	33.5 9	12.9 3	16.5 4	1.2 0	1.8 0	1.2 0	–	0.7
GAD3/PP[p 20][p 32]	6–9 May 2022	502	?	42.9 11/12	21.9 6	17.8 4/5	12.2 3	1.5 0	–	–	–	21.0
SyM Consulting[p 33][p 34]	1–3 Apr 2022	931	59.0	31.8 8/9	39.7 10/11	7.5 2	16.4 4	0.3 0	–	–	–	7.9
ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla[p 35]	15 Feb–30 Mar 2022	600	?	32.3 9	33.7 9	13.1 3	16.5 4	1.2 0	1.8 0	1.2 0	–	1.4
Adelante Melilla[p 36]	25–29 Jan 2022	586	?	? 9	? 7/8	? 2	? 3	? 0	? 3/4	? 0	–	?
SyM Consulting[p 37][p 38]	16–18 Dec 2021	828	56.8	34.3 9/10	38.1 10/11	9.5 2	12.6 3	0.3 0	–	–	–	3.8
NC Report/El Faro de Melilla[p 39]	3–13 Dec 2021	700	54.5	32.5 8	36.3 10	11.8 3	14.8 4	? 0	? 0	? 0	–	3.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 40]	30 Sep–13 Nov 2021	?	?	36.6 9	33.2 9	12.5 3	14.9 4	1.7 0	–	–	–	3.4
SyM Consulting[p 41][p 42]	1–3 Sep 2021	1,008	59.6	36.1 9/10	34.3 9/10	12.7 3/4	10.3 2/3	0.6 0	–	–	–	1.8
SyM Consulting[p 43][p 44]	2–5 Jun 2021	860	60.8	34.2 9	32.5 8/9	13.0 3/4	15.0 4	1.2 0	–	–	–	1.7
SyM Consulting[p 45][p 46]	1–3 Mar 2021	572	54.3	33.1 9	34.3 9/10	10.5 2/3	16.4 4	0.7 0	–	–	–	1.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 47]	15 Feb 2021	400	?	37.0 10	34.7 9	13.6 3	10.5 3	2.0 0	–	–	–	2.3
SyM Consulting[p 48][p 49]	9–12 Dec 2020	628	55.4	34.1 9	38.9 10/11	9.7 2/3	11.7 3	1.9 0	–	–	–	4.8
SyM Consulting[p 50][p 51]	26–27 Sep 2020	695	56.4	37.0 10	35.7 9/10	12.8 3	9.9 2/3	1.2 0	–	–	–	1.3
SyM Consulting[p 52][p 53]	18 Jul 2020	561	56.8	39.0 10	35.9 9/10	14.7 4	6.8 1/2	0.9 0	–	–	–	3.1
SyM Consulting[p 54][p 55]	21–23 Jun 2020	622	62.7	39.1 10/11	32.7 8/9	14.9 4	9.5 2	1.8 0	–	–	–	6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 56][p 57]	1 Apr–15 May 2020	?	?	43.9 12	28.9 8	14.4 4	6.9 1	3.2 0	–	–	–	15.0
SyM Consulting[p 58][p 59]	5–7 May 2020	739	62.7	46.5 12/13	29.7 8	12.7 3	6.3 1/2	2.4 0	–	–	–	16.8
SyM Consulting[p 60][p 61]	17–18 Feb 2020	687	60.4	40.1 10/11	37.3 10	11.8 3	5.1 1/2	2.8 0	–	–	–	2.8
November 2019 general election	10 Nov 2019	—	52.4	29.5 8	29.0 8	16.4 4	18.4 5	3.0 0	2.6 0	–	–	0.5
2019 Assembly election	26 May 2019	—	63.4	37.8 10	30.6 8	14.4 4	7.8 2	5.6 1	2.0[b] 0	1.2 0	–	7.2

Opinion poll sources

Other