The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 213,700 | 63.70% | 109,641 | 32.68% | 12,130 | 3.62% | 335,471 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 2 | 216,511 | 75.04% | 63,472 | 22.00% | 8,544 | 2.96% | 288,527 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 3 | 242,677 | 78.49% | 66,501 | 21.51% | 0 | 0.00% | 309,178 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 4 | 213,096 | 67.79% | 90,459 | 28.78% | 10,803 | 3.44% | 314,358 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 5 | 158,191 | 52.06% | 145,658 | 47.94% | 0 | 0.00% | 303,849 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
Total | 1,044,175 | 67.31% | 475,731 | 30.66% | 31,477 | 2.03% | 1,551,383 | 100.0% |
District 1
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![]() Precinct and county-level results Hern: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Caesar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district was located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and included Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent Republican, Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.[1] He won reelection with 63.7% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kevin Hern, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Mark A. Keeter, businessman[3]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- #VoteProChoice[4]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kojo Asamoa-Caesar | 34,868 | 63.6 | |
Democratic | Mark A. Keeter | 19,924 | 36.4 | |
Total votes | 54,792 | 100.0 |
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Evelyn L. Rogers, perennial candidate[3]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[9] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[11] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[12] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D) | Kevin Hern (R) | Evelyn Rogers (I) | Undecided |
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SoonerPoll | October 15–20, 2020 | 1,492 (LV) | ± 1.32% | 29.83% | 58.8% | 5.64% | 5.8% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kevin Hern (incumbent) | 213,700 | 63.7 | |
Democratic | Kojo Asamoa-Caesar | 109,641 | 32.7 | |
Independent | Evelyn L. Rogers | 12,130 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 335,471 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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![]() Precinct and county-level results Mullin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Lanier: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompassed eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018.[1] He was reelected with 75% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Markwayne Mullin, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Rhonda Hopkins, 2016 Republican candidate for District 86 of the Oklahoma House of Representatives[3]
- Joseph Silk, state senator[14]
Endorsements
- U.S. presidents
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 53,149 | 79.9 | |
Republican | Joseph Silk | 8,445 | 12.7 | |
Republican | Rhonda Hopkins | 4,917 | 7.4 | |
Total votes | 66,511 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Danyell Lanier, project analyst[3]
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[9] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[11] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[12] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 216,511 | 75.0 | |
Democratic | Danyell Lanier | 63,472 | 22.0 | |
Libertarian | Richie Castaldo | 8,544 | 3.0 | |
Total votes | 288,527 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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![]() Precinct and county-level results Lucas: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Midyett: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% ≥90% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompassed Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Pawnee, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018.[1] He was reelected with 78.5% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Frank D. Lucas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Withdrew
- Joshua Jantz[16]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Zoe Midyett, rancher[17]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[9] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[11] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[12] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Frank D. Lucas (incumbent) | 242,677 | 78.5 | |
Democratic | Zoe Midyett | 66,501 | 21.5 | |
Total votes | 309,178 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 4
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![]() Precinct and county-level results Cole: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% Brannon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district was located in South Central Oklahoma and took in parts of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent was Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018.[1] He was reelected with 67.8% of the vote.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional[3]
- Trevor Sipes, businessman[3]
- James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018[3]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 55,699 | 76.3 | |
Republican | James Taylor | 11,081 | 15.2 | |
Republican | Trevor Sipes | 4,357 | 6.0 | |
Republican | Gilbert O. Sanders | 1,833 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 72,970 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Brannon | 32,199 | 63.9 | |
Democratic | David R. Slemmons | 9,793 | 19.4 | |
Democratic | John D. Argo | 8,436 | 16.7 | |
Total votes | 50,428 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[7] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
Politico[9] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
Daily Kos[10] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
RCP[11] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
Niskanen[12] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 213,096 | 67.8 | |
Democratic | Mary Brannon | 90,459 | 28.8 | |
Libertarian | Bob White | 10,803 | 3.4 | |
Total votes | 314,358 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 5
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![]() Precinct and county-level results Bice: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Horn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ≥90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 5th district was based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018.[1] She lost reelection to Republican challenger Stephanie Bice, who received 52.1% of the vote.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Guild, perennial candidate[20]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Blue America[21]
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Kendra Horn (incumbent) | 60,168 | 85.7 | |
Democratic | Tom Guild | 10,050 | 14.3 | |
Total votes | 70,218 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Stephanie Bice, Assistant Majority Floor Leader of the Oklahoma State Senate[29]
Eliminated in runoff
- Terry Neese, entrepreneur and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 1990[30]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Ballard, veteran[31]
- Janet Barresi, former Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction[32]
- David Hill, businessman[32]
- Shelli Landon, singer[33]
- Jake A. Merrick, businessman and former Southwestern Christian University professor of philosophy and theology[34]
- Charles Tuffy Pringle, real estate broker[35]
- Miles Rahimi, U.S. Navy veteran and community organizer[36]
Withdrew
- Dan Belcher, entrepreneur[37]
- David Greene, former horse stall cleaner[38]
- Merideth VanSant, businesswoman[39]
Declined
- Kevin Calvey, Oklahoma County commissioner[40][41]
- Mick Cornett, former mayor of Oklahoma City and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018[42]
- Carol Hefner, Donald Trump's 2016 Oklahoma campaign manager[40]
- Bob Mills, businessman and co-chair for Donald Trump's 2016 Campaign in Oklahoma[40]
- Steve Russell, former U.S. representative[43]
- Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate[44]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Association of Oklahoma General Contractors[45]
- Elevate PAC[46]
- Empower America Project[47]
- Maggie's List[48]
- Oklahoma Right to Life[49]
- State officials
- Guy Liebmann, former state representative and acting Oklahoma City mayor[50]
- Leonard Sullivan, former state representative[50]
- Local officials
- Harry Currie, former Del City mayor[50]
- Floyd Eason, Del City mayor[50]
- Richard Finley, Shawnee mayor[50]
- Larry Fryar, Harrah mayor[51]
- Chuck Mills, former Shawnee mayor (2004-2008)[50]
- Saundra Naifeh, former Edmond mayor (2001-2007)[52]
- Mark Stonecipher, Oklahoma City vice mayor[50]
- Organizations
- RightNOW Women PAC[53]
- Individuals
- Morton Blackwell, founder and president of the Leadership Institute[54]
- Harold Hamm, founder and chairman of Continental Resources, Inc.[55]
- Organizations
Primary results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Terry Neese | 24,828 | 36.5 | |
Republican | Stephanie Bice | 17,292 | 25.4 | |
Republican | David Hill | 12,922 | 19.0 | |
Republican | Janet Barresi | 6,799 | 10.0 | |
Republican | Jake A. Merrick | 1,736 | 2.6 | |
Republican | Michael Ballard | 1,691 | 2.5 | |
Republican | Miles V. Rahimi | 967 | 1.4 | |
Republican | Shelli Landon | 912 | 1.3 | |
Republican | Charles Tuffy Pringle | 908 | 1.3 | |
Total votes | 68,055 | 100.0 |
Runoff results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Stephanie Bice | 27,402 | 52.9 | |
Republican | Terry Neese | 24,369 | 47.1 | |
Total votes | 51,771 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[58] | Tossup | September 11, 2020 |
Inside Elections[59] | Tossup | September 4, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[60] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[61] | Tossup | September 9, 2020 |
Daily Kos[62] | Tossup | April 29, 2020 |
RCP[63] | Tossup | September 14, 2020 |
Niskanen[12] | Tossup | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kendra Horn (D) | Stephanie Bice (R) | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | October 29 – November 1, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | 7%[b] |
Amber Integrated | October 22–25, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 49% | 8% |
Sooner Poll | October 15–20, 2020 | 943 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4%[c] |
Cole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPoll | September 25–30, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 49% | 6%[d] |
SoonerPoll | September 2–10, 2020 | 318 (LV) | ± 5.49% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) Archived September 14, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[A] | August 31 – September 3, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 52% | 44% | 4%[c] |
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[B] | August 5–9, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 46% | 11% |
Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
- with Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kendra Horn (D) | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amber Integrated | June 1–4, 2020 | 95 (LV) | – | 42% | 41% | 18% |
Amber Integrated | March 5–8, 2020 | 89 (LV) | – | 40% | 44% | 16% |
Amber Integrated (R) | December 18–20, 2019 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
- with Generic Opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Kendra Horn (D) | Generic Opponent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[C] | December 3–4, 2019 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.66% | 37% | 49%[e] | 2%[f] | 12%[g] |
- with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[a] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[C] | December 3–4, 2019 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.66% | 42% | 49% | 9%[h] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Stephanie Bice | 158,191 | 52.1 | |
Democratic | Kendra Horn (incumbent) | 145,658 | 47.9 | |
Total votes | 303,849 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oklahoma", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Oklahoma: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Oklahoma". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Oklahoma at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Richie Castaldo (L) for Congress Archived October 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Markwayne Mullin (R) for Congress
- Danyell Lanier (D) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates