2019 Belgian federal election

Federal elections were held in Belgium on 26 May 2019, alongside the country's European and regional elections. All 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives were elected from eleven multi-member constituencies.

2019 Belgian federal election
Belgium
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All 150 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
Turnout88.38%
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
N-VABart De Wever16.0325−8
VBTom Van Grieken11.9518+15
PSElio Di Rupo9.4620−3
CD&VWouter Beke8.8912−6
PVDA-PTBPeter Mertens8.6212+10
Open VldGwendolyn Rutten8.5412−2
MRCharles Michel7.5614−6
sp.aJohn Crombez6.719−4
EcoloJean-Marc Nollet
& Zakia Khattabi
6.1413+7
GroenMeyrem Almaci6.108+2
cdHMaxime Prévot3.705−4
DéFIOlivier Maingain2.2220
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results of the election by constituency
Federal Government before Federal Government after
Michel II Government Wilmès II Government

The right-wing Vlaams Belang (VB) saw a resurgence in Flanders, and with the New Flemish Alliance (NVA), parties subscribing to Flemish separatism and nationalism obtained nearly 50% of the vote in Flanders. The Belgian coalition of N-VA, CD&V, MR and Open VLD lost more than a quarter of its seats, the worst government punishment in 20 years.[1]

In addition, gains for the far-left Workers' Party of Belgium (PVDA-PTB), and the green Ecolo party in Wallonia occurred. Overall, traditional parties suffered losses in both regions.

Background

Following the 2014 elections, a centre-right government consisting of N-VA, CD&V, Open Vld and MR was formed, led by Prime Minister Charles Michel (MR). This government coalition was unique in several aspects: the N-VA participated for the first time, the MR was the only French-speaking party, and the French-speaking Socialist Party was not part of the government for the first time in 25 years.

Local elections were held on 14 October 2018. As such, the 2019 simultaneous regional, federal and European elections were held only several months after the local elections.

In early December 2018, a political crisis emerged regarding the Global Compact for Migration, which was supposed to be signed but sparked instead opposition from government party N-VA. As the three other government parties as well as a large majority in parliament supported the compact, N-VA left the government and the three other parties continued briefly as a minority cabinet (Michel II) with an unclear status. Prime Minister Michel ultimately offered his resignation to the King on 18 December 2018, who accepted it three days later. As regular elections were scheduled for May 2019 anyway, snap elections were only favoured by N-VA and Vlaams Belang and did not happen, and the minority cabinet continued as a caretaker government until the elections.[2]

Electoral system

The 150 members of the Chamber of Representatives were elected in 11 multi-member constituencies, being the ten provinces and Brussels, with between 4 and 24 seats. Seats are allocated using the D'Hondt method, with an electoral threshold of 5% per constituency.[3]

Representatives elected from the five Flemish Region provinces, Antwerp (24), East Flanders (20), Flemish Brabant (15), Limburg (12) and West Flanders (16), automatically belonged to the Dutch-speaking language group in parliament, whereas those elected from the five provinces of Wallonia, Hainaut (18), Liège (15), Luxembourg (4), Namur (6) and Walloon Brabant (5), formed the French-speaking language group. The 15 members elected in Brussels could choose to join either group. Apportionment of seats is done every ten years in accordance with population data, last by royal order of 31 January 2013.[4]

The 60-member Senate is composed of 50 representatives from the regional and community parliaments, plus 10 co-opted senators proportionally divided among parties based on the result of the federal election.

All Belgian citizens aged 18 or over were obligated to participate in the election. Non-Belgian citizens residing in Belgium (regardless of EU citizenship) couldn't vote, whereas Belgian citizens living abroad could register to vote.

Date

The 2011–14 state reform changed several aspects regarding federal elections. Starting with the May 2014 election, which coincided with European Parliament and regional elections, the federal parliament is elected for a five-year term rather than a four-year term.

The federal elections would from then on always coincide with the European Parliament elections;[5] snap federal elections would trigger a parliamentary term lasting until the next European Parliament elections.[6] However, as of 2017, a law needed for this to take effect had not yet been enacted. Given the five-year term for all three elections, they all coincided in 2019 regardless, as no snap federal elections were called.

Additionally, de facto practice is to formally dissolve parliament and trigger new elections by Declaration of Revision of the Constitution shortly before regular expiry of the parliamentary term.

Parties and leaders

NameIdeologyLeader2014 result
Votes (%)Seats
Flemish parties
N-VANew Flemish Alliance
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
Flemish nationalismBart De Wever20.3%
33 / 150
CD&VChristian Democratic and Flemish
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
Christian democracyWouter Beke11.6%
18 / 150
Open VldOpen Flemish Liberals and Democrats
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
LiberalismGwendolyn Rutten9.8%
14 / 150
sp.aSocialist Party Differently
Socialistische Partij Anders
Social democracyJohn Crombez8.8%
13 / 150
GroenGreen
Groen
Green politicsMeyrem Almaci5.3%
6 / 150
VBFlemish Interest
Vlaams Belang
Flemish nationalismTom Van Grieken3.7%
3 / 150
Francophone parties
PSSocialist Party
Parti Socialiste
Social democracyElio Di Rupo11.7%
23 / 150
MRReformist Movement
Mouvement Réformateur
LiberalismCharles Michel9.6%
20 / 150
cdHHumanist Democratic Centre
Centre démocrate humaniste
Christian democracyMaxime Prévot5.0%
9 / 150
EcoloEcolo
Ecolo
Green politicsJean-Marc Nollet &
Zakia Khattabi
3.3%
6 / 150
DéFIDéFI
DéFI
RegionalismOlivier Maingain1.8%
2 / 150
PPPeople's Party
Parti populaire
Right-wing populismMischaël Modrikamen1.5%
1 / 150
Bilingual parties
PVDA–PTBWorkers' Party of Belgium
Partij van de Arbeid van België
Parti du Travail de Belgique
MarxismPeter Mertens3.7%
2 / 150

Lead candidates

The following candidates are the first on the respective party list (lijsttrekker / tête de liste) per constituency.

Dutch-speaking constituencies

Party  Antwerp  East Flanders  Flemish Brabant  Limburg  West Flanders  Brussels
CD&VServais VerherstraetenPieter De CremKoen GeensWouter BekeHendrik BogaertSabine de Bethune
GroenKristof CalvoStefaan Van HeckeJessika SoorsBarbara CreemersWouter De Vriendt
N-VAJan JambonAnneleen Van BossuytTheo FranckenZuhal DemirSander LoonesElias Kartout
Open VldChristian LeysenAlexander De CrooMaggie De BlockPatrick DewaelVincent Van QuickenborneMimi Crahaij
PVDAPeter MertensSteven De VuystBea KnaepenAyse YigitIlona Vandenberghe
sp.aYasmine KherbacheJoris VandenbrouckeKarin JirofléeMeryame KitirJohn Crombez
Vlaams BelangTom Van GriekenBarbara PasDries Van LangenhoveAnnick PonthierWouter Vermeersch

French-speaking constituencies

Party  Hainaut  Liège  Luxembourg  Namur  Walloon Brabant  Brussels
cdHCatherine FonckVanessa MatzRené CollinMaxime PrévotOlivier VanhamJoëlle Milquet
DéFIAlexandra DupirePierre-Yves DupuisFrançois De Smet
EcoloJean-Marc NolletSarah SchlitzCécile ThibautGeorges GilkinetSimon MoutquinZakia Khattabi
MRDenis DucarmeDaniel BacquelaineBenoit PiedboeufDavid ClarinvalCharles MichelDidier Reynders
PP
PSElio Di RupoFrédéric DaerdenAndré FlahautAhmed Laaouej
PTBMarco Van HeesRaoul HedebouwThierry WarmoesMaria Vindevoghel

Campaign

Despite leaving the government coalition in late 2018, it was the explicit ambition of N-VA to continue governing after the May 2019 election. In January 2019, the party put forward ex-minister Jan Jambon as candidate for Prime Minister should the party enter a coalition.[7] A continuation of the "Swedish coalition"[a] (N-VA, MR, CD&V and Open Vld), potentially expanded with cdH, was a likely scenario. Outgoing Prime Minister Charles Michel (MR) was candidate to continue in his position.[8]

Meanwhile, the French-speaking Socialist Party (PS) had the ambition to re-enter government as well, or "re-conquer" as formulated by leader Elio Di Rupo, after being in the opposition at federal level and being ousted from the Walloon government.[9]

Additionally, there was speculation that the Flemish liberal and green parties (Open Vld and Groen) would favour cooperating, given Groen's recent rise and their local governing coalitions in cities like Mechelen, Gent and Oostende. However, their French-speaking counterparts, MR and Ecolo, are politically and ideologically further apart.[10][11]

Retiring incumbents

The following incumbent members of the Chamber of Representatives announced their retirement from (national) politics:

Opinion polls

Results

Map of the largest party in each municipality
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance1,086,78716.03–4.2325–8
Vlaams Belang810,17711.95+8.2818+15
Socialist Party641,6239.46–2.2120–3
Christian Democratic and Flemish602,5208.89–2.7212–6
Workers' Party of Belgium584,6218.62+4.9012+10
Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats579,3348.54–1.2412–2
Reformist Movement512,8257.56–2.0814–6
Socialist Party Different455,0346.71–2.129–4
Ecolo416,4526.14+2.8413+7
Groen413,8366.10+0.788+2
Humanist Democratic Centre250,8613.70–1.285–4
DéFI150,3942.22+0.4220
People's Party75,0961.11–0.390–1
DierAnimal47,7330.70New0New
Destexhe Lists42,7120.63New0New
Collectif Citoyen21,0920.31New0New
La Droite15,0750.22–0.1600
Nation10,5830.160.0000
Les Belges d'Abord10,4630.15New0New
Agir7,5980.11New0New
Pirate Party7,5210.11–0.2300
D-SA5,9490.09New0New
Lutte Ouvrière5,7350.08+0.0300
PRO5,6820.08New0New
Wallonie Insoumise5,3540.08New0New
BUB Belgische Unie4,5130.07New0New
PV&S3,2170.05New0New
B.U.B2,0980.03New0New
de coöperatie1,7320.03New0New
Volt1,6690.02New0New
Communist Party of Belgium1,6260.02New0New
Turquoise6260.01New0New
Total6,780,538100.001500
Valid votes6,780,53893.93
Invalid/blank votes438,0956.07
Total votes7,218,633100.00
Registered voters/turnout8,167,70988.38
Source: IBZ

Results by region

Flanders

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
New Flemish Alliance1,086,78725.5625−8
Vlaams Belang810,17719.0518+15
Christian Democratic and Flemish602,52014.1712−6
Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats579,33413.6212−2
Socialist Party Different455,03410.709−4
Groen413,8369.738+2
Workers' Party of Belgium236,8975.573+3
Others67,6521.59
Total4,252,237100.0087

Wallonia

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Socialist Party641,62325.3820−3
Reformist Movement512,82520.2814−6
Ecolo416,45216.4713+7
Workers' Party of Belgium347,72413.759+7
Humanist Democratic Centre250,8619.925−4
DéFI150,3945.9520
People's Party75,0962.970−1
Destexhe Lists42,7121.690New
Others90,6143.58
Total2,528,301100.0063

Brussels-Capital

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
EcoloGroen108,14421.574+2
Socialist PartySocialist Party Different100,19519.983−2
Reformist Movement87,59417.473−1
Workers' Party of Belgium61,58912.282+2
DéFI51,54410.2820
Humanist Democratic Centre29,1615.821−1
New Flemish Alliance15,9833.1900
Destexhe Lists12,8792.570New
Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats11,5112.300
People's Party8,4551.690
Vlaams Belang7,8241.5600
Christian Democratic and Flemish6,5801.3100
Total501,459100.0015

Senate

Since the sixth state reform of 2011, the Senate is no longer directly elected. The regional parliaments elect 50 senators based on the results of the concurrent regional elections (the Flemish Parliament elects 29, the Parliament of the French Community elects ten, the Walloon Parliament elects eight, the Parliament of the Brussels-Capital Region elects two Francophone senators and the Parliament of the German-speaking Community elects one). The elected senators in turn co-opt 10 senators (six Dutch-speaking and four Francophone), making a total of 60 senators.

The distributiuon of seats among parties resulted as following:[21]

PartySeats
ElectedCo-optedTotal+/–
New Flemish Alliance819–3
Vlaams Belang617+5
Socialist Party617–2
Reformist Movement[b]617–1
Workers' Party[c]415+5
Christian Democratic and Flemish415–3
Open Flemish Liberals and Democrats4150
Ecolo415+2
Socialist Party Different314–1
Groen314+1
Humanist Democratic Centre202–2
Total5010600

Aftermath

The election once again exposed the deep linguistic, ethnic and regional divisions of Belgium, with the Dutch-speaking region of Flanders strongly voting for right-wing Flemish nationalist and separatist parties, and the French-speaking region of Wallonia strongly voting left.[22][23]

In response to Vlaams Belang's surge in support there has been some speculation that the N-VA leader Bart De Wever may break the Cordon sanitaire imposed on the party, resulting in the two Flemish nationalist parties joining forces, by refusing to rule out talks with the VB, as their strong results could make forming a coalition more difficult.[24][25]

The People's Party, a small right-wing French-speaking party, dissolved on 18 June through an internal party vote in response to losing their only seat in the elections. Former party leader Mischaël Modrikamen blamed the "systematic exclusion of the People's Party from the political and media debate."[26]

In the days following the election, King Philippe held consultations with all main party leaders, including Vlaams Belang party leader Tom Van Grieken. According to The Guardian, it was the first time a Belgian monarch met a representative from a far-right party since 1936, when King Leopold III met the representatives of the Rexist Party.[27]

On 30 May, King Philippe appointed Johan Vande Lanotte (sp.a) and Didier Reynders (MR), two experienced politicians with a long period of service, as informateurs. They reported on their progress by 6 June as expected,[28] after which they were given some more time, with a new deadline of 17 June.[29] After this deadline passed, another extension was granted until 1 July,[30] and again until 29 July[31] and one more extension until 9 September.[32]

On 24 August the Belgian government decided to appoint Didier Reynders as European Commissioner.[33] On 4 October 2019, King Philippe announced the end of the first phase of federal government formation talks, with the informateurs advising that a government of the N-VA, the Socialist Party and the Greens was the best option to pursue. The informateurs will report back to the king of the 4 November, following which a formateur will be appointed to introduce the third stage of government formation.[34]

On 4 November, the two new informateurs, Rudy Demotte and Geert Bourgeois, offered their resignations to the King, as they could not break the political deadlock.[35]

On 17 March 2020, the successor of Michel II Government, the Wilmès Government, had its mandate extended. Most parliamentary parties provided them external support in order to manage the coronavirus pandemic. Informal talks on forming a new government began in June 2020.[36] Wilmès II government was eventually replaced by the permanent seven-party coalition — De Croo Government in October, with Wilmès becoming one of the deputy prime ministers.

See also

Notes

References