2016 Irish general election

The 2016 Irish general election to the 32nd Dáil was held on Friday 26 February, following the dissolution of the 31st Dáil by President Michael D. Higgins on 3 February, at the request of Taoiseach Enda Kenny.[3] The general election took place in 40 Dáil constituencies throughout Ireland to elect to elect 158 Teachtaí Dála to Dáil Éireann, the house of representatives of the Oireachtas.[4] There was a reduction of eight seats under the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2013.

2016 Irish general election

← 201126 February 20162020 →

158 seats in Dáil Éireann[a]
79 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout65.1% Decrease 4.8pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Enda Kenny EPP 2014 (cropped).jpg
Micheal Martin (official portrait) (cropped).jpg
Gerry Adams (official portrait) (cropped).jpg
LeaderEnda KennyMicheál MartinGerry Adams
PartyFine GaelFianna FáilSinn Féin
Leader since2 June 200226 January 201113 November 1983[b]
Leader's seatMayoCork South-CentralLouth
Last election76 seats, 36.1%20 seats, 17.4%14 seats, 9.9%
Seats before662114
Seats won50[a]4423
Seat changeDecrease 26Increase 24Increase 9
Popular vote544,140519,356295,319
Percentage25.5%24.3%13.8%
SwingDecrease 10.6%Increase 6.9%Increase 3.9%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Joan Burton 2014 (cropped).jpg
AAA–PBP
I4C
LeaderJoan Burton
PartyLabourAAA–PBPInds. 4 Change
Leader since4 July 2014
Leader's seatDublin West
Last election37 seats, 19.4%4 seats, 2.2%[n 1]Did not exist
Seats before3344
Seats won764
Seat changeDecrease 30Increase 2Increase 4
Popular vote140,89884,16831,365
Percentage6.6%3.9%1.5%
SwingDecrease 12.8%Increase 1.7%[n 1]New

 Seventh partyEighth party
 
Social Democrats (Ireland) Leadership, 2016.jpg
Eamon Ryan 2020 (cropped).jpg
LeaderCatherine Murphy
Róisín Shortall
Stephen Donnelly
Eamon Ryan
PartySocial DemocratsGreen
Leader since15 July 201527 May 2011
Leader's seatWicklow
Kildare North
Dublin North-West
Dublin Bay South
Last electionDid not exist0 seats, 1.8%
Seats before30
Seats won32
Seat changeIncrease 3Increase 2
Popular vote64,09457,999
Percentage3.0%2.7%
SwingNewIncrease 0.9%


Taoiseach before election

Enda Kenny
Fine Gael

Taoiseach after election

Enda Kenny
Fine Gael

Fine Gael, led by Kenny, lost 26 seats, but remained the largest party in the Dáil with 50 seats. The main opposition party Fianna Fáil, which in 2011 had suffered its worst-ever election result of 20 seats, increased to 44 seats. Sinn Féin became the third-largest party with 23 seats. The Labour Party, which had been the junior party in coalition government with Fine Gael and which had returned its best-ever showing of 37 seats in 2011, fell to just 7 seats, its lowest-ever share of Dáil seats. Smaller parties and independent politicians made up the remaining 34 seats.[5][6]

The 32nd Dáil met on 10 March and elected a new Ceann Comhairle, the first to be elected by secret ballot, which was won by Seán Ó Fearghaíl of Fianna Fáil. The Dáil proceeded to the nomination of Taoiseach, but no candidate received a majority. Kenny formally resigned as Taoiseach that same day, but remained as caretaker until a new government was formed.[7] Kenny sought an agreement with Fianna Fáil to form a government,[8] and negotiations continued through most of April. An agreement was finally reached in which Fianna Fáil would tolerate a Fine Gael–led minority government on 29 April, 63 days after the election, and the Dáil formally re-elected Kenny as Taoiseach on 6 May. Kenny was the first Taoiseach from Fine Gael to win re-election.[9]

Following the introduction of gender quotas, a record 35 seats were filled by women, bringing the proportion of women in the Dáil to 22 percent, up from 15 percent at the previous general election.

Background

The outgoing government was a Fine GaelLabour Party coalition led by Taoiseach Enda Kenny and Tánaiste Joan Burton. Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin, Anti-Austerity Alliance–People Before Profit, Renua Ireland, Social Democrats, Workers and Unemployed Action, and independent non-party TDs formed the opposition in the Dáil. The government was formed on 9 March 2011, the first day of the 31st Dáil elected on 25 February 2011.[10]

Whereas the Constitution gives the President authority to dissolve the Dáil, under electoral law the precise date of polling is specified by the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government, who was Alan Kelly of Labour.[11] Electoral law required the 31st Dáil to be dissolved by 9 March 2016.[12] Kenny rejected predictions in October 2015 that he would call an election in November to capitalise on rising Fine Gael support.[13] In January 2016, media reported that Fine Gael and Labour respectively favoured Thursday 25 and Friday 26 February 2016 as the election date; Friday would facilitate voting by students registered to vote at their family home.[11][14][15]

After a cabinet meeting on 2 February, Kenny announced that he would be seeking a dissolution the following day. At 09:30 on 3 February he formally told the Dáil this, and that the new Dáil would meet on 10 March; the Dáil was adjourned without statements from the opposition.[16] At 09:58 while Kenny was en route to Áras an Uachtaráin to meet the President, the election date of 26 February was confirmed from his Twitter account. At 10:35 the President issued the proclamation dissolving the Dáil.[17] Later that day, Minister Kelly signed the order setting the polling day.[4] The writs of election are issued by the clerk of the Dáil.[18]

New parties and alliances

A number of parties and political alliances were formed during the lifespan of the 31st Dáil in order to contest the election:

Gender quotas

Part 6 of the Electoral (Amendment) (Political Funding) Act 2012 provides that parties will lose half of their state funding unless at least 30% of their candidates at the election are female and at least 30% are male.[24] All parties except Direct Democracy Ireland fulfilled this condition.[25] This contributed in part to the highest percentage of women elected to the Dáil; at 35 TDs, this was 22% of the 158 TDs, an increase from 15% at the previous general election.[26]

Electoral system

Constituencies for 2016 general election

Ireland uses proportional representation with a single transferable vote (PR–STV).[27] The general election took place throughout the state to elect 158 members of Dáil Éireann, a reduction of 8 from the previous 166 members. This follows the passage of the Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2013. The Ceann Comhairle (speaker of the lower house of parliament) is automatically re-elected unless he opts to retire from the Dáil.[28] The election was held in 40 parliamentary constituencies.[29] Each multi-member constituency elects three, four or five Teachtaí Dála (Dáil deputies, lit. Assembly Deputies).[27]

The closing date for nominations was 11 February 2016. A total of 551 candidates contested the election, slightly down from the 566 that took part in the 2011 general election, a record figure.[4][30][31][32] The number of candidates for each party was: Fine Gael (88), Fianna Fáil (71), Sinn Féin (50), Green Party (40), Labour Party (36), Anti-Austerity Alliance–People Before Profit (31, of which 18 People Before Profit Alliance and 13 Anti-Austerity Alliance), Renua Ireland (26), Direct Democracy Ireland (19), Social Democrats (14), Independents 4 Change (5), Workers' Party (5), Catholic Democrats (3), Fís Nua (2), Irish Democratic Party (1), Communist Party of Ireland (1). Among the 159 independent candidates and others running without a party platform were 21 independents affiliated to the Independent Alliance, 19 independents affiliated to Right2Change, and the outgoing TD Séamus Healy, who was nominated as a non-party candidate for this election.[25][32][33] Voting took place between 07:00 and 22:00 (WET).[4]

Islands off the coast of Counties Donegal, Mayo, and Galway voted one day earlier.[34] All resident Irish and British citizens were eligible to be on the Dáil electoral register.[4] The 2016–17 register was published on 1 February by the local authorities, who were responsible for maintaining it. Applications for the supplementary register for the general election closed on 9 February,[4] with 30,185 names added.[35]

Retiring incumbents

The following members of the 31st Dáil announced in advance of the poll that they would not be seeking re-election:

ConstituencyDeparting TDParty
Cork EastSandra McLellan[36]Sinn Féin
Donegal South-WestDinny McGinley[37]Fine Gael
Dublin Mid-WestRobert Dowds[38]Labour
Dublin North-EastSeán Kenny[39]Labour
Dublin SouthOlivia Mitchell[40]Fine Gael
Dublin South-CentralMichael Conaghan[41]Labour
Dublin South-EastRuairi Quinn[42]Labour
Dublin South-WestPat Rabbitte[43]Labour
Dublin WestJoe Higgins[44]Socialist Party
Dún LaoghaireEamon Gilmore[45]Labour
Galway EastMichael P. Kitt[46]Fianna Fáil
Galway WestBrian Walsh[47]Fine Gael
Kerry SouthTom Fleming[48]Independent
Kildare SouthJack Wall[49]Labour
LimerickDan Neville[50]Fine Gael
LouthSéamus Kirk[51]Fianna Fáil
Roscommon–South LeitrimFrank Feighan[52]Fine Gael
Sligo–North LeitrimMichael Colreavy[53]Sinn Féin
WexfordJohn Browne[54]Fianna Fáil
WexfordLiam Twomey[55]Fine Gael

Campaign

Election posters in Cork South-Central

The campaign officially began after the dissolution of Dáil Éireann on 3 February 2016 and lasted until polling day on 26 February 2016. During the campaign, official election posters are permitted in locations which would otherwise constitute litter; some candidates were reported to have illegally erected posters too soon.[56][57] The Broadcasting Authority of Ireland's moratorium on election coverage lasted from 14:00 on 25 February 2016 until polls had closed.[58][59]

Party manifestos and slogans

Party/groupManifesto (external link)Other slogan(s)
Fine GaelLet's Keep the Recovery Going"Your hard work is working"[60]
Fianna FáilAn Ireland for All
Sinn FéinBetter with Sinn Féin
Labour PartyStanding Up for Ireland's Future"Standing up for working families"[61][62]
AAA–PBP (combined)Common Principles: Radical Alternatives and Real Equality[c]"A voice for people power, share the wealth"[63]
(AAA)Real Change not Spare Change[c]
(PBP)Share the Wealth: An Alternative Vision for Ireland[c]
Social DemocratsBuilding a Better Future 2016–2026
Green PartyThink Ahead, Act Now
Independent AllianceCharter for Government 2016
RenuaRewarding Work Rebuilding Trust
Direct Democracy IrelandReturning the power to you
Workers' PartyTake a Step in a New Direction

Television debates

RTÉ set a minimum of three TDs for a party to be invited to its 15 February debate.[64] The Green Party, which had no TDs (having lost them all in 2011), took an unsuccessful High Court case against the exclusion of its leader Eamon Ryan.[64][65] An Irish language debate, moderated by Eimear Ní Chonaola was to be broadcast on TG4 on 17 February, but was cancelled due to the weak proficiency in that language of Adams and Burton. Aodhán Ó Ríordáin (Labour) and Pearse Doherty (Sinn Féin) were suggested as fluent replacements, but Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael insisted that a leaders' debate should be confined to party leaders only.[66][67] TG4 instead broadcast successive one-to-one interviews with each party's representative.[68] There was also a "live audience discussion" on RTÉ Two on 21 February featuring Timmy Dooley (FF), Mary Lou McDonald (SF), Aodhán Ó Ríordáin (Labour), Averil Power (non-party), Eamon Ryan (Greens), Leo Varadkar (FG), and Adrienne Wallace (AAA-PBP). The discussion was hosted by Keelin Shanley at Facebook's Dublin office and featured questions submitted via Facebook and Twitter.[69] There was some controversy surrounding this debate as a representative of special needs parents said she was to appear to ask a question on waiting lists only to be told by RTÉ later that the topic would not be covered.[70]

2016 Irish general election debates[71][72][73]
DateBroadcasterModerator(s)Participants —   Name  Participant    N  Party not invited Notes
AAA–PBPFianna FáilFine GaelLabourRenuaSinn FéinSocial Democrats
8 FebruaryRTÉClaire ByrneNMcGrathNoonanHowlinNDohertyNFinance spokespersons. 50 minutes.[74]
11 FebruaryTV3Colette Fitzpatrick
Pat Kenny
NMartinKennyBurtonNAdamsNParty leaders. 80 minutes.[75]
15 FebruaryRTÉClaire ByrneBoyd BarrettMartinKennyBurtonCreightonAdamsDonnelly Party leaders.[d] 115 minutes.[78]
15 FebruaryTV3Mick CliffordNCowenReillyKellyNMcDonaldNDeputy leaders.[e] 60 minutes.[79]
17 FebruaryTG4Eimear Ní ChonaolaCancelledPlanned leaders debate in Irish[66]
22 FebruaryRTÉClaire ByrneNKelleherVaradkarLynchNÓ CaoláinNHealth spokespersons.[f] 60 minutes.[80]
23 FebruaryRTÉMiriam O'CallaghanNMartinKennyBurtonNAdamsNParty leaders. 85 minutes.[81][82]

Opinion polls


Results

Polling results for the 2016 Irish general election, compared to the actual result
The party that received the most 1st preference votes (for all their candidates) in each constituency.

Counting of votes began at 09:00 UTC on Saturday 27 February 2016 and continued over the course of the weekend and into the following week, with the final two seats, in Longford–Westmeath, announced after multiple recounts at 05:30 UTC on Thursday 3 March.[83][84]

It was Fine Gael's lowest number of seats since the 2002 general election, the election that led to Kenny becoming leader (the outgoing finance minister in 2016, Michael Noonan, had been Fine Gael's leader in 2002.) They performed especially poorly outside Dublin, dropping from 59 seats to 36; in Dublin the party fared better, going from 17 to 14 for a net loss of only three. Indeed, Fine Gael became the largest party in the capital for the first time since November 1982, and won seats in every constituency in Dublin for the first time since 1987. Fianna Fáil more than doubled the number of seats that they had coming into the election. Having been without representation in Dublin since the death of Brian Lenihan in 2011, Fianna Fáil managed to win six seats in the capital this time. Sinn Féin recorded their strongest showing under Adams to become the third party, making gains in Leinster and in urban areas of Munster, mostly at the expense of the Labour Party. Labour won their lowest vote share since 1987, and their lowest share of seats ever. Despite speculation that she would lose her seat, Joan Burton became the first sitting Tánaiste to avoid defeat at a general election since Mary Harney in 2002.[85] Labour's vote collapse meant that not until the Longford–Westmeath result did they reach the seven-seat threshold to qualify as a parliamentary group with full speaking rights under current Dáil rules.[83]

The combined vote of 49.8 per cent for Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil was a record low for the two largest parties in the Dáil, eclipsing the previous record of 53.6 per cent set by Cumann na nGaedheal and Fianna Fáil in June 1927. It was the first time the vote for Ireland's two traditionally dominant parties had fallen below 50 per cent in a general election. Fine Gael became the largest party in the Dáil with just 25.5 per cent of the vote, the lowest percentage ever for a first party.

PartyFine GaelFianna FáilSinn FéinLabourAAA–PBPI4CSocial DemocratsGreen
LeaderEnda KennyMicheál MartinGerry AdamsJoan BurtonNoneNoneStephen Donnelly
Catherine Murphy
Róisín Shortall
Eamon Ryan
Votes, 1st pref.25.5%
544,230
24.3%
519,353
13.8%
295,313
6.6%
140,893
3.9%
84,168
1.5%
31,365
3.0%
64,094
2.7%
57,997
Seats50[a] (31.5%)44 (28%)23 (14.5%)7 (4.5%)6 (4%)4 (2.5%)3 (2%)2 (1%)
50[a]442319[n 2]76432
Fine GaelFianna FáilSinn FéinIndsLabAAA PBP

First preference vote share of different parties in the election.

  Fine Gael (25.5%)
  Fianna Fáil (24.3%)
  Sinn Féin (13.8%)
  Labour Party (6.6%)
  AAA–PBP (3.9%)
  Social Democrats (3.0%)
  Green Party (2.7%)
  Renua (2.2%)
  Other (16.5%)
Election to the 32nd Dáil – 26 February 2016[86][87][88]
PartyLeaderFirst Preference VotesSeats
Votes% FPvSwing%Candidates
[89]
Elected
2011[89]
Outgoing
[n 3]
Elected
2016[90]
Change
[n 4]
% of
seats
Fine GaelEnda Kenny544,23025.5 10.6887666
50 / 158 (32%)
2731.6
Fianna FáilMicheál Martin519,35324.3 6.9712021
44 / 158 (28%)
2527.8
Sinn FéinGerry Adams295,31313.8 3.9501414
23 / 158 (15%)
914.6
LabourJoan Burton140,8936.6 12.8363733
7 / 158 (4%)
304.4
AAA–PBP

People Before Profit Alliance
Anti-Austerity Alliance

None84,168

42,174
41,994
3.9

2.0
1.9
1.7[n 1]

1.0
new
31

18
13
4[n 1]

2
new
4
6 / 158 (4%)
3 / 158 (2%)
3 / 158 (2%)
2

1
new
3.8

1.9
1.9
Social DemocratsCatherine Murphy
Róisín Shortall
Stephen Donnelly
64,0943.0 3.0[n 5]14N/A[n 6]3
3 / 158 (2%)
31.9
GreenEamon Ryan57,9972.7 0.94000
2 / 158 (1%)
21.3
RenuaLucinda Creighton46,5522.2 2.2[n 5]26N/A[n 6]3000
Inds. 4 Change[n 7]None31,3651.5 1.5[n 5]5N/A[n 6]4
4 / 158 (3%)
42.5
Direct DemocracyPat Greene6,4810.3 0.3[n 5]19N/A[n 6]0000
Workers' PartyMichael Donnelly3,2420.2 <0.05[n 8]500000
Catholic DemocratsNora Bennis2,0130.1 0.1[n 9]300000
Fís NuaNone1,2240.1 <0.05[n 10]200000
Irish DemocraticKen Smollen971<0.05 <0.05[n 5]1N/A[n 6]0000
CommunistEugene McCartan185<0.05 <0.05[n 11]100000
Identity IrelandPeter O'Loughlin183<0.05 <0.05[n 5]1N/A[n 6]0000
Independent Alliance[n 7]None88,930[n 7]4.2[n 7] 4.2[n 7][n 5]21[n 7]N/A[n 6]5[n 7]
6 / 158 (4%)
6[n 7]3.8[n 7]
Independent[n 7]249,285[n 7]11.7[n 7] 1.3[n 7]136[n 7]1410[n 7]
13 / 158 (8%)
1[n 7]8.2[n 7]
Spoilt votes18,398
Ceann ComhairleSeán BarrettN/AN/AN/A100.6
Total2,151,293100%552[89][n 12]166[n 13]165[n 14]158 8100%
Total Electorate/Turnout: 3,305,110 (65.1%)

Voting summary

First preference vote
Fine Gael
25.47%
Fianna Fáil
24.31%
Sinn Féin
13.82%
Labour
6.60%
AAA–PBP
3.94%
Social Democrats
3.00%
Green
2.71%
Renua Ireland
2.18%
Independents 4 Change
1.47%
Others
0.66%
Independent Alliance
4.16%
Independent
11.67%

Seats summary

Dáil seats
Fine Gael
31.65%
Fianna Fáil
27.85%
Sinn Féin
14.56%
Labour
4.43%
AAA–PBP
3.80%
Independents 4 Change
2.53%
Social Democrats
1.90%
Green
1.27%
Independent Alliance
3.80%
Independent
8.23%

TDs who lost their seats

PartySeats lostNameConstituencyOther offices heldYear elected
Fine Gael
21
James Bannon[91]Longford–Westmeath2007
Tom Barry[92]Cork East2011
Ray ButlerMeath West2011
Jerry Buttimer[93]Cork South-Central2011
Paudie Coffey[94]WaterfordMinister of State for Housing, Planning
and Co-ordination of the Construction 2020 Strategy
2011
Áine Collins[95]Cork North-West2011
Paul Connaughton Jnr[96]Galway East2011
Noel Coonan[97]Tipperary2007
Jimmy Deenihan[98]KerryMinister of State at the Department of Foreign Affairs1987
Noel Harrington[99]Cork South-West2011
Tom Hayes[100]Tipperary2001
Derek KeatingDublin Mid-West2011
Anthony LawlorKildare North2011
Gabrielle McFaddenLongford–Westmeath2014
Michelle MulherinMayo2011
Kieran O'Donnell[101]Limerick City2007
John O'MahonyGalway West2007
Joe O'ReillyCavan–Monaghan2011
John Perry[102]Sligo–Leitrim1997
James Reilly[103]Dublin FingalMinister for Children and Youth Affairs2007
Alan Shatter[104]Dublin South1981[g]
Labour
19
Eric Byrne[105]Dublin South-Central1989[h]
Ciara ConwayWaterford2011
Joe Costello[106]Dublin Central1992[i]
Anne Ferris[107]Wicklow2011
Dominic Hannigan[108]Meath East2011
Kevin Humphreys[109]Dublin Bay SouthMinister of State for
Employment, Community and Social Support
2011
Ciarán Lynch[110]Cork South-Central2007
Kathleen Lynch[111]Cork North-CentralMinister of State for
Primary Care, Mental Health and Disability
1994[j]
John Lyons[112]Dublin North-West2011
Michael McCarthy[99]Cork South-West2011
Michael McNamara[113]Clare2011
Ged Nash[114]LouthMinister of State for
Business and Employment
2011
Derek Nolan[115]Galway West2011
Aodhán Ó Ríordáin[116]Dublin Bay NorthMinister of State for
New Communities, Culture and Equality
2011
Ann PhelanCarlow–Kilkenny2011
Arthur Spring[117]Kerry2011
Emmet Stagg[118]Kildare North1987
Joanna Tuffy[119]Dublin Mid-West2007
Alex White[120]Dublin RathdownMinister for Communications, Energy and Natural Resources2011
Renua
3
Lucinda Creighton[121][122]Dublin Bay South2007[k]
Terence FlanaganDublin Bay North2007[l]
Billy TimminsWicklow1997[m]
Fianna Fáil
1
Colm Keaveney[123]Galway East2011
Sinn Féin
1
Pádraig Mac Lochlainn[124][125]Donegal2011
Independent
3
Seán ConlanCavan–Monaghan2011[n]
Eamonn MaloneyDublin South-West2011[o]
Peter MathewsDublin Rathdown2011[p]
Total48

Government formation

Enda Kenny immediately conceded that the outgoing coalition government of Fine Gael and Labour would be unable to continue. Fine Gael was 29 seats short of a majority, leading to speculation of a possibility of a grand coalition between Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil, of a minority government, or of another general election later in 2016.[126] Talks to form a government got underway in March.

On 29 April, after 63 days of negotiation and three failed votes for Taoiseach, Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil reached an agreement about a Fine Gael minority government.[9] In the days following, Fine Gael negotiated a deal with Independent TDs on the formation of a minority coalition. Enda Kenny was re-elected Taoiseach on 6 May 2016.

Seanad election

The Dáil election was followed by the election to the 25th Seanad.

Notes, citations and sources

Footnotes

References

Further reading