2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

The 2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Massachusetts, concurrently with the election of Massachusetts' Class II U.S. Senate seat, and other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election

← 2010November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)2018 →
Turnout51.62% Decrease 3.19 [1]
 
NomineeCharlie BakerMartha Coakley
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateKaryn PolitoSteve Kerrigan
Popular vote1,044,5731,004,408
Percentage48.40%46.54%

Baker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Coakley:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%

Governor before election

Deval Patrick
Democratic

Elected Governor

Charlie Baker
Republican

Incumbent Democratic Governor Deval Patrick was eligible to seek a third term but stated in January 2011 that he would not run for re-election.[2][3] The office of lieutenant governor had been vacant since the resignation of Tim Murray in June 2013.

Primary elections for governor and lieutenant governor were conducted separately on September 9, 2014: the Democrats nominated Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley and former CEO of the Democratic National Convention Steve Kerrigan, and the Republicans nominated former state cabinet secretary and 2010 gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and former state representative Karyn Polito.

Baker defeated Coakley and three other candidates in the general election. This is the last Massachusetts gubernatorial election where the winning candidate did not win every county.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Eliminated at convention
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Joe Avellone
Individuals
  • Joseph Petty, Mayor of Worcester[21]
  • Tom Hoye, Mayor of Taunton[22]
  • Ray Mitchell, Fall River City Councilor
  • Patrick McDermott, Norfolk County Register of Probate
  • John Gilis, Norfolk County Commissioner
  • Douglas S. Gutro, Quincy City Councilor
  • Kevin F. Coughlin, Quincy City Councilor
  • Noel DiBona, Quincy School Committeeman
  • Alice Peisch, state representative[23]
  • Jass Stewart, Brockton City Councilor[24]
  • Morris A. Bergman, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Kathleen M. Toomey, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Anthony J. Economou, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Sarai Rivera, Worcester City Councilor [25]
  • Tim McCarthy, Boston City Councilor [26]
  • Sherry Costa Hanlon, Taunton City Councilor[27]
  • Christine Fagan, Taunton School Committee member[27]
Don Berwick
Individuals
Organizations
  • Jamaica Plain Progressives[40]
  • Mass-Care[41]
  • Progressive Democrats of Massachusetts[42]
  • Progressive Massachusetts[43]
Newspapers
Martha Coakley
Individuals
Organizations
Labor Unions
Newspapers
  • The Rainbow Times[58]
Steve Grossman
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers

Debate

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election democratic primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Joseph AvelloneDonald BerwickMartha CoakleySteven GrossmanJuliette Kayyem
1January 29, 2014Jim MadiganYouTubePPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Juliette
Kayyem
Dan
Wolf
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 2–7, 2014234± 6.4%12%41%20%1%27%
Boston GlobeSeptember 2–3, 2014400± 4.8%13%47%25%14%
UMass LowellAugust 25–31, 2014685± 4.55%9%52%20%19%
WBUR/MassINCAugust 24–31, 2014340± 5.3%6%47%23%<1%24%
Boston GlobeAugust 17–19 & 24–26, 2014361± 5.2%10%46%24%21%
Suffolk Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback MachineAugust 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%15.75%42.25%30%12%
Boston GlobeAugust 10–12 & 17–19, 2014358± 5.2%10%45%24%21%
Boston GlobeAugust 3–5 & 10–12, 2014357± 5.2%10%45%21%24%
Boston GlobeJuly 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014361± 5.2%9%45%18%28%
Boston GlobeJuly 20–22 & 27–29, 2014369± 5.1%5%45%20%30%
Boston GlobeJuly 13–15 & 20–22, 2014374± 5.1%5%46%18%30%
Boston GlobeJuly 7–8 & 13–15, 2014362± 5.1%6%50%16%28%
Boston GlobeJune 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014365± 5.1%5%53%17%26%
Boston GlobeJune 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014373± ?6%52%18%24%
Boston GlobeJune 15–17 & 22–24, 2014392± ?8%52%19%21%
Boston GlobeJune 8–10 & 15–17, 2014198± ?8%52%19%21%
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014442± 4.7%2%3%49%14%3%30%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014450± 4.6%1.78%4%44%12%2.44%35.77%
WBUR/MassINCMay 16–18, 2014262± 6.1%1%3%51%7%4%1%32%
UMassMarch 31–April 6, 2014156± ?3%39%9%3%2%44%
WBUR/MassINCMarch 14–16, 2014237± ?1%4%45%14%2%2%32%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014309± 4%0.97%0.97%56.31%10.68%4.21%26.86%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013324± 5.4%4%6%57%10%2%3%17%
Hypothetical polling
With Capuano and Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Mike
Capuano
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Juliette
Kayyem
Dan
Wolf
Undecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013324± 5.4%8%4%21%41%9%1%2%13%
Without Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone
Donald
Berwick
Mike
Capuano
Mo
Cowan
William
Galvin
Steven
Grossman
Carmen
Ortiz
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 2013666± 3.9%5%4%17%4%13%6%5%44%
With Coakley and Murray
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Suzanne
Bump
Martha
Coakley
Steven
Grossman
Tim
Murray
Setti
Warren
OtherUndecided
Suffolk University Archived 2012-10-04 at the Wayback MachineMay 20–22, 2012600± 4.1%3%35%11%13%6%10%23%
Suffolk University Archived 2012-03-06 at the Wayback MachineFebruary 11–15, 2012600± 4.1%1%43%7%11%8%15%16%

Results

Democratic convention vote[69]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSteve Grossman 1,547 35.2
DemocraticMartha Coakley 1,024 23.3
DemocraticDonald Berwick 972 22.1
DemocraticJuliette Kayyem53512.1
DemocraticJoseph Avellone3117.1
Total votes4,389 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of fifteen percent to appear on the primary ballot.

Primary results by municipality
Democratic primary results[70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMartha Coakley 229,156 42.4
DemocraticSteve Grossman196,59436.4
DemocraticDonald Berwick113,98821.1
DemocraticOther9950.2
DemocraticBlank votes15,359
Total votes556,092 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Declared
Eliminated at convention
Withdrew

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
James
Arena-DeRosa
Leland
Cheung
Jonathan
Edwards
Stephen
Kerrigan
Michael
Lake
OtherUndecided
Boston GlobeSeptember 2–3, 2014400± 4.8%7%23%9%60%
UMass LowellAugust 25–31, 2014685± 4.55%10%24%10%57%
Boston GlobeAugust 17–19 & 24–26, 2014361± 5.2%5%14%7%74%
Suffolk Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback MachineAugust 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%8.75%9.5%9%72.75%
Boston GlobeAugust 10–12 & 17–19, 2014358± 5.2%7%12%5%75%
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014442± 4.7%3%5%5%3%85%
Suffolk Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014450± 4.6%0.89%4%4%2.67%88.44%
SuffolkJanuary 29–February 3, 2014309± ?1.94%4.53%3.565.5%2.27%82.2%

Results

Democratic convention vote[69]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSteve Kerrigan 1,625 37.6
DemocraticMichael Lake 1,529 35.4
DemocraticLeland Cheung 695 16.2
DemocraticJames Arena-DeRosa46010.6
Total votes4,304 100

Bold denotes candidate met the minimum threshold of 15 percent to appear on the primary ballot

Democratic primary results[70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSteve Kerrigan 222,562 50.7
DemocraticLeland Cheung128,64529.3
DemocraticMichael Lake86,00619.6
DemocraticAll Others1,4350.3
DemocraticBlank Votes117,444
Total votes556,092 100

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Declined

Campaign

At the Republican State Convention on March 22, 2014, Baker received 2,095 votes (82.708%), businessman and Tea Party activist Mark Fisher received 374 votes (14.765%) and there were 64 blank votes (2.527%). The threshold for making the ballot is 15% and the Party announced that Baker had thus received the nomination without the need for a primary election.[85] However, Fisher argued that according to the Convention Rules, blank votes are not counted for the purposes of determining the winner and that he thus received 15.148%, enough to make the ballot. He sued the Massachusetts Republican State Committee and his case was due to be heard in Suffolk Superior Court between May 2 and June 18.[86][87]

The committee's lawyer, Louis M. Ciavarra, said that in negotiations with the committee, Fisher declined their offer of being placed on the ballot, and instead asked for $1 million in return for dropping the suit. Ciavarra said that after it was pointed out to Fisher and his representatives that this would be illegal, they allegedly lowered their request to $650,000. Fisher's lawyer, Thomas M. Harvey, has confirmed that Fisher had asked for $1 million, which he called a "starting point", saying that Fisher should be "compensated" for his efforts, in addition to receiving a place on the ballot. He later said that the request for $650,000 was "still negotiable" and added that "you don't ask for what you expect".[88][89][90] Fisher himself has denied asking for a "payoff", instead saying that party officials had offered him a "bribe" in December 2013 in return for dropping out. He refused to say who made the offer, claiming to have been under a gag order, though no such order existed.[91][92] He said that he only asked for $1 million during the negotiations because he had been asked for a figure and it was the sum that he claimed the party had offered to him. He further denied the claim that he had offered to withdraw in exchange for the money, saying that he wanted a place on the ballot, for the State Committee to release the "tally sheets" which he claims show that he rightfully won a place on the ballot, and to be reimbursed $100,000 in damages: for the cost of legal fees and of collecting signatures to make the ballot by petition.[93]

On May 9, 2014, a week into the case, Judge Douglas Wilkins accepted the State Committee's offer to certify Fisher on the primary ballot and put off the expedited June 16 trial date.[94][95] The State Committee had not at that point turned over the "tally sheets" and the judge did not order them to do so, instead inviting Fisher's attorneys to submit an amended complaint.[95] The State Committee also asked that the trial, discovery and deliberation over damages be postponed until after the election. The judge did not rule on that request,[96] but he did rule that the other portions of Fisher's complaint would proceed at a later date, with no need for an expedited trial before the primary.[97]

A debate was held between Baker and Fisher on August 21. They clashed on jobs, gun control and higher education. Baker called for "constructive friction" in electing him governor to counterbalance the Democratic-controlled General Court and said that he would "clean up the regulatory morass, control spending [and] reduce taxes." Fisher criticised the rise in food stamps, rising cost of entitlement programmes and illegal immigration.[98] In the primary election on September 9, Baker defeated Fisher 116,004 votes (74.1%) to 40,240 (25.7%). In February 2015, Fisher settled with the State Party for $240,000. Executive Director Brian Wynne said that despite the settlement, the Party denied his accusations and said that the settlement was forced on them because of mounting legal costs.[99]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Charlie
Baker
Mark
Fisher
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCAugust 24–31, 2014340± 5.3%59%7%<1%33%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-08-26 at the Wayback MachineAugust 21–24, 2014400± 4.9%70.25%11.25%17.75%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014202± 6.9%63.37%4.95%30.20%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014162± 4%63.58%10.49%25.31%

Results

Municipal results of the Republican primary for the Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014
Republican primary results[70]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharlie Baker 116,004 74.1
RepublicanMark Fisher40,24025.7
RepublicanAll Others3360.2
RepublicanBlank Votes30,327
Total votes159,936 100

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Independents and third parties

Participants at the MassEquality/WGBH 2014 Gubernatorial Forum on LBGTQ equality in Boston, March 25, 2014. From left to right: Joe Avellone, Don Berwick, Martha Coakley, Evan Falchuk, Steve Grossman, Juliette Kayyem, Scott Lively, Jeff McCormick.

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Angus Jennings, professional planner/consultant[102]
  • Running mate: Shelly Saunders[104]

General election

Debates

2014 Massachusetts gubernatorial election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocraticUnited IndependentIndependentIndependent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Charlie BakerMartha CoakleyEvan FalchukScott LivelyJeff McCormick
1October 7, 2014WBZ-TVJon KellerC-SPANPPPPP
2October 21, 2014WGBH-TVJim Braude
Margery Eagan
C-SPANPPNNN
3October 27, 2014New England Cable News
Telegram & Gazette
Latoyia EdwardsC-SPANPPNNN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[107]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[108]Lean R (flip)November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[109]Tilt R (flip)November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[110]TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
Coakley (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
Evan
Falchuk (UIP)
Scott
Lively (I)
Jeff
McCormick (I)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingOctober 30–November 2, 2014887± 3.3%42%46%3%3%1%6%
47%48%5%
WNEUOctober 21–30, 2014430 LV± 5%41%46%3%1%1%8%
522 RV± 4%40%41%4%2%1%12%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 27–29, 2014500± 4.4%43%46%3%1%2%6%
Boston GlobeOctober 26–29, 2014600± 4%37%44%4%2%1%11%
Emerson CollegeOctober 26–29, 2014627± 3.85%42%48%4%6%
Umass AmherstOctober 20–27, 2014591 LV± 4.4%47%44%3%2%2%<1%3%
800 RV± 3.8%47%41%3%2%3%<1%3%
WBUR/MassINCOctober 22–25, 2014494± 4.4%42%43%4%2%1%1%8%
UMass LowellOctober 21–25, 2014601 LV± 4.5%41%45%3%1%2%8%
1,001 RV± 3.6%42%38%2%1%2%15%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20142,218± 3%45%41%1%13%
GreenbergQuinlanRosnerOctober 20–22, 2014611± 4%45%44%5%5%
Boston GlobeOctober 19–22, 2014500± 4.4%36%45%3%2%2%11%
WBUR/MassINCOctober 15–18, 2014501± 4.4%42%43%1%1%2%<1%10%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 13–14, 2014980± 3%46%48%2%5%
Boston GlobeOctober 12–14, 2014400± 4.9%41%41%3%3%2%10%
WBUR/MassINCOctober 8–11, 2014500± 4.4%42%39%2%1%2%0%14%
Emerson CollegeOctober 7, 2014500± 4.3%39%45%16%
Boston GlobeOctober 5–7, 2014400± 4.9%39%34%3%2%2%20%
WBUR/MassINCOctober 1–4, 2014504± 4.4%41%39%2%2%1%1%14%
Umass AmherstSeptember 26–October 2, 2014414 LV± 5.5%48%44%2%2%2%0%2%
600 RV± 4.6%48%41%2%3%3%<1%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20–October 1, 20142,389± 2%47%41%1%11%
Boston GlobeSeptember 28–30, 2014401± 4.89%36%39%2%1%1%21%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 25–28, 2014500± 4.4%44%43%2%0%2%9%
WNEUSeptember 20–28, 2014416 LV± 5%43%44%2%1%2%8%
536 RV± 4%40%41%2%2%3%12%
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 24–27, 2014503± 4.4%44%41%1%1%2%>1%11%
Boston GlobeSeptember 21–23, 2014400± 4.9%38%40%2%1%2%18%
Umass AmherstSeptember 19–23, 2014440 LV± ?45%46%2%2%2%<1%2%
600 RV± 4.4%47%42%2%3%3%<1%3%
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 16–21, 2014502± 4.4%46%36%2%1%1%1%13%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 16–17, 2014750± 4%42%42%5%10%
Boston GlobeSeptember 14–16, 2014407± 4.85%39%36%2%3%1%19%
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 11–14, 2014504± 4.4%44%35%<1%1%2%1%16%
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%39%34%1%1%1%2%21%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18–September 2, 20143,361± 2%43%35%6%16%
WBUR/MassINCAugust 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%40%31%1%1%2%2%22%
UMass LowellAugust 25–31, 20141,624± 2.94%41%32%1%7%20%
Boston GlobeAugust 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%37%38%2%5%18%
Boston GlobeAugust 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%41%34%2%6%18%
Boston GlobeAugust 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%40%32%1%6%21%
Boston GlobeJuly 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%42%31%2%5%21%
MassINCJuly 28–August 3, 2014388± ?44%41%15%
Boston GlobeJuly 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%42%32%2%5%19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,899± 4.9%51%36%4%8%
Boston GlobeJuly 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%38%33%1%8%19%
Boston GlobeJuly 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%39%36%1%7%16%
Boston GlobeJune 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%40%35%2%6%18%
Boston GlobeJune 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%40%31%2%6%22%
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%41%28%2%1%2%2%22%
Boston GlobeJune 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%41%30%1%7%21%
Boston GlobeJune 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%43%30%0%6%20%
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%42%31%1%6%20%
Suffolk University Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%36%29%1%1%2%32%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback MachineMay 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%37%32%2%7%22%
WBUR/MassINCMay 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%39%30%1%3%1%25%
WNEUMarch 31–April 7, 2014477± 5%54%25%3%3%15%
UMass AmherstMarch 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%45%34%21%
WBUR/MassINCMarch 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%41%26%1%1%3%27%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%44%31%1%1%2%21%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback MachineJanuary 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%46%36%18%
WBUR/MassINCJanuary 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%39%29%1%3%2%26%
WNEUOctober 1–7, 2013431± ?%54%34%12%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%51%38%11%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%47%34%19%
Public Policy PollingMarch 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%49%29%22%
Hypothetical polling
With Avellone
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%19%36%9%[111]37%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%17%30%5%[112]49%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback MachineMay 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%17%36%11%[113]36%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%19%38%5%[112]39%
WBUR/MassINCJanuary 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%13%36%12%[114]39%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%30%40%30%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%24%33%43%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%46%24%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%21.83%19.33%7.17%[115]51.66%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph
Avellone (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%25%46%
With Berwick
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%18%39%10%[116]33%
WBUR/MassINCAugust 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%19%37%10%[117]33%
Boston GlobeAugust 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%19%44%8%[118]29%
Boston GlobeAugust 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%22%40%8%[118]30%
Boston GlobeAugust 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%22%37%7%[119]33%
Boston GlobeJuly 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%23%36%7%[119]34%
Boston GlobeJuly 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%24%37%8%[120]30%
Boston GlobeJuly 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%20%41%11%[121]28%
Boston GlobeJuly 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%18%42%12%[122]29%
Boston GlobeJune 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%17%40%11%[123]32%
Boston GlobeJune 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%17%37%11%[113]35%
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%19%31%14%[124]38%
Boston GlobeJune 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%19%37%10%[125]35%
Boston GlobeJune 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%20%36%7%[119]36%
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%20%36%8%[120]36%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%18.63%29.63%4.76%[126]47.01%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback MachineMay 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%18%37%11%[113]35%
WBUR/MassINCMay 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%16%35%11%[127]39%
UMass AmherstMarch 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%29%32%39%
WBUR/MassINCMarch 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%17%36%7%[128]40%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%18.5%38.33%5.33%[129]37.84%
WBUR/MassINCJanuary 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%13%36%12%[114]40%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%38%31%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%25%35%41%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%32%49%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%21%14%18%[130]48%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%21.17%19.17%7.5%[131]47.33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Donald
Berwick (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%28%24%48%
With Capuano
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%42%37%21%
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%36%24%40%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%35%33%32%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%33%45%22%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%38%45%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Capuano (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%40%20%40%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%38%24%39%
With Coakley
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Martha
Coakley (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%43%13%14%[132]30%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%48.67%16.33%5%[133]30%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback MachineJanuary 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%50%30%20%
With Cowan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%26%33%41%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%31%48%21%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mo
Cowan (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%30%25%45%
With Galvin
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%37%31%33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%39%43%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
William F.
Galvin (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%39%24%27%
With Grossman
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCSeptember 2–7, 2014500± 4.4%28%34%7%[134]30%
UMass LowellAugust 25–31, 20141,624± 2.94%31%33%10%[125]27%
WBUR/MassINCAugust 24–31, 2014700± 3.7%29%34%6%[135]31%
Boston GlobeAugust 17–19 & 24–26, 2014605± 4%33%37%7%[136]22%
Boston GlobeAugust 10–12 & 17–19, 2014605± 4%32%34%7%[136]26%
Boston GlobeAugust 3–5 & 10–12, 2014606± 4%29%32%8%[118]31%
Boston GlobeJuly 27–29 & August 3–5, 2014605± 4%30%31%8%[118]31%
MassINCJuly 28–August 3, 2014388± ?39%35%25%
Boston GlobeJuly 20–22 & 27–29, 2014601± 4%29%34%9%[137]28%
Boston GlobeJuly 13–15 & 20–22, 2014625± 3.9%27%37%10%[138]26%
Boston GlobeJuly 7–8 & 13–15, 2014605± 4%19%37%9%[111]25%
Boston GlobeJune 29–July 1 & 7–8, 2014604± 4%27%36%9%[137]29%
Boston GlobeJune 22–24 & 29–July 1, 2014601± 4%26%34%9%[137]31%
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%28%30%11%[139]30%
Boston GlobeJune 15–17 & 22–24, 2014604± 3.9%28%31%9%[137]32%
Boston GlobeJune 8–10 & 15–17, 2014630± 3.9%27%30%8%[120]35%
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%28%31%8%[120]33%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%24.25%26.5%4.01%[140]45.25%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback MachineMay 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%26%32%10%[125]31%
WBUR/MassINCMay 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%25%33%8%[141]34%
WNEUMarch 31–April 7, 2014477± 5%38%29%13%[142]20%
UMass AmherstMarch 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%35%29%36%
WBUR/MassINCMarch 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%24%32%8%[141]36%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%28.33%33.33%6%[143]32.33%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback MachineJanuary 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%34%35%31%
WBUR/MassINCJanuary 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%23%33%8%[144]36%
WNEUOctober 1–7, 2013431± ?%43%30%27%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%38%37%25%
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%27%26%47%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%32%31%37%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%36%34%27%
Public Policy PollingMarch 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%37%30%33%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%26%55%19%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%34%46%19%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%37%48%15%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
WBUR/MassINCJune 27–29, 2014502± 4.4%31%15%17%[145]38%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%35.33%17.17%6%[146]41.5%
Purple Strategies Archived 2014-02-02 at the Wayback MachineJanuary 21–23, 2014500± 4.4%35%26%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steven
Grossman (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%27%26%47%
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%34%25%41%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 29–30, 2013763± 3.6%37%48%15%
With Kayyem
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Juliette
Kayyem (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Boston GlobeJune 1–3 & 8–10, 2014697± 3.7%20%36%8%[120]36%
Suffolk University Archived 2014-07-13 at the Wayback MachineJune 4–7, 2014800± 3.5%20%28%4.51%[147]47.5%
Boston Globe Archived 2017-05-27 at the Wayback MachineMay 29–June 3, 2014602± 4%20%36%9%[137]36%
WBUR/MassINCMay 16–18, 2014504± 4.4%17%36%9%[148]38%
UMass AmherstMarch 31–April 6, 2014500± 5.9%32%32%36%
WBUR/MassINCMarch 14–16, 2014500± 4.4%19%34%8%[141]39%
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%19%36.83%5.67%[143]38.5%
WBUR/MassINCJanuary 16–19, 2014504± 4.4%15%37%10%[149]38%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%38%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Juliette
Kayyem (D)
Mark
Fisher (R)
OtherUndecided
Suffolk UniversityJanuary 29–February 3, 2014600± 4%24.33%19.17%6.83%[150]49.66%
With Kennedy
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%48%25%27%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%41%42%17%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Joseph P.
Kennedy II (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstMay 30–June 4, 2013500± 5.4%40%33%27%
With Murray
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Tim
Murray (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingJune 22–24, 2012902± 3.3%36%37%27%
Public Policy PollingMarch 16–18, 2012936± 3.2%37%32%31%
With Ortiz
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%27%35%38%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Scott
Brown (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%31%49%20%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 29–30, 2012763± 3.6%32%49%19%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Carmen
Ortiz (D)
Richard
Tisei (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMay 1–2, 20131,539± 2.5%29%27%44%
With Wolf
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Dan
Wolf (D)
Charlie
Baker (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingSeptember 20–23, 2013616± 4%31%37%31%

Results

Massachusetts gubernatorial election, 2014[151]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanCharlie Baker 1,044,573 48.40% +6.40%
DemocraticMartha Coakley1,004,40846.54%-1.88%
United IndependentEvan Falchuk71,8143.33%N/A
IndependentScott Lively19,3780.90%N/A
IndependentJeff McCormick16,2950.75%N/A
Write-in1,8580.09%-0.02%
Total votes2,158,326 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Results by county

2014 United States gubernatorial election in Massachusetts (by county) [152]
CountyBaker %Baker #Coakley %Coakley #Others %Others #Total #
Barnstable53.0%52,25142.1%41,5254.8%4,77998,555
Berkshire27.9%11,20165.2%26,2077.0%2,80840,216
Bristol48.8%72,64144.4%66,0456.8%10,186148,872
Dukes33.8%2,49360.6%4,4775.6%4167,386
Essex52.3%135,36542.4%109,7765.3%13,818258,959
Franklin32.8%8,82656.1%15,07711.1%2,98326,886
Hampden47.0%64,85039.7%54,75113.3%18,315137,916
Hampshire34.2%19,10355.5%30,98210.3%5,74155,826
Middlesex44.9%238,75049.7%264,3195.4%28,610531,679
Nantucket46.1%1,71748.8%1,8175.1%1903,724
Norfolk52.4%133,32842.4%107,8915.1%13,008254,227
Plymouth56.6%102,55137.6%68,1415.7%10,374181,066
Suffolk31.3%57,75463.2%116,6105.5%10,109184,473
Worcester55.9%143,74337.7%96,7906.4%16,471257,004

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by Congressional district

Baker won 6 of the 9 congressional districts, which all elected Democrats.

DistrictBakerCoakleyRepresentative
1st45%46%Richard Neal
2nd51%43%Jim McGovern
3rd52%43%Niki Tsongas
4th52%43%Joe Kennedy III
5th43%53%Katherine Clark
6th55%41%John Tierney
Seth Moulton
7th25%71%Mike Capuano
8th52%44%Stephen Lynch
9th53%42%Bill Keating

See also

References

Official campaign websites (Archived)