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2014 Maryland gubernatorial election

The 2014 Maryland gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Maryland. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third consecutive term.

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election
← 2010November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04)2018 →
Turnout47.23% Decrease 6.79%[1]
 
NomineeLarry HoganAnthony Brown
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateBoyd RutherfordKenneth Ulman
Popular vote884,400818,890
Percentage51.03%47.25%
Hogan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Brown:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Governor before election

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

Elected Governor

Larry Hogan
Republican

Gubernatorial candidates pick their running mates, with the two then running together on the same ticket. Primary elections were held on June 24, 2014. The Democrats nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Anthony Brown and Howard County Executive Kenneth Ulman, while the Republicans nominated former State Secretary of Appointments Larry Hogan and former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration Boyd Rutherford.

Brown predicted that winning the general election would be just "a little bit of a molehill",[2] but he lost to Hogan by a margin of 65,510 votes in the Democratic-leaning state.[3] The Washington Post called the result "a stunning upset" and Republican Governors Association Chairman Chris Christie called it "the biggest upset in the entire country."[4]

Background

Maryland is considered one of the most Democratic states in the country, and Bob Ehrlich, elected in 2002, had been the only Republican elected governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew in 1966. Ehrlich was defeated for reelection in 2006 by Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley and lost a rematch with O'Malley by a wider margin in 2010.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Ralph Jaffe, teacher and perennial candidate[9]
  • Running mate: Freda Jaffe, sister of Ralph Jaffe[9]
  • Charles U. Smith, perennial candidate[12]
  • Running mate: Clarence Tucker[12]
  • Cindy Walsh, blogger[13]
  • Running mate: Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia

Declined

Endorsements

Anthony Brown
National leaders
Federal legislators
State-level politicians
State legislators
Local elected officials
  • Vicki Almond, Baltimore County Council[27]
  • Angela Alsobrooks, Prince George's State's Attorney[27]
  • Vernon Archer, Mayor of Riverdale Park, Maryland
  • Chris Barclay, President, Montgomery County Board of Education[27]
  • Cathy Bevins, Baltimore County Council[27]
  • Warren M. Branch, Baltimore City Council[27]
  • Dario J. Broccolino, Howard County State's Attorney
  • Sheriff Rex Coffey, Charles County[27]
  • William H. Cole IV, Baltimore City Council
  • Reuben Collins, Vice President, Charles County Board of Commissioners[27]
  • Robert W. Curran, Baltimore City Council
  • Debra M. Davis, Charles County Commissioner
  • Derrick Leon Davis, Prince George's County Council Member[27]
  • Jake Day, City Council President of Salisbury
  • Sheila Finlayson, Alderwoman of Annapolis[27]
  • Peter Fosselman, Mayor of Kensington
  • Mel Franklin, Prince George's County Council Chair[27]
  • Tracey Furman, Kensington Town Council
  • Bob Gell, President of Charlestown (Cecil County)
  • Brian K. Grim, Mayor of Cumberland
  • Andrea C. Harrison, Prince George's County Council[27]
  • Melvin C. High, Prince George's County Sheriff[27]
  • Helen Holton, Baltimore City Council[27]

Dr. Classie G. Hoyle, Alderwoman of Annapolis

Organizations
Newspapers
Doug Gansler
Federal legislators
State-level politicians
State legislators
Local elected officials
  • Paul N. Crampton Jr., Mayor of Funkstown[41]
  • Todd L. Hershey, Washington County Treasurer[41]
  • Cynthia Kauffman, Boonsboro Councilmember[41]
  • Skip Kauffman, Boonsboro Mayor[41]
  • Howard Long, Boonsboro Assistant Mayor[41]
  • Lewis Metzner, Hagerstown Councilmember[41]
  • Penny Nigh, Hagerstown Councilmember[41]
  • Homer Schetrompf, Hancock Councilmember[41]
  • Donald Souders Jr., Smithsburg Council Vice President
  • Dennis Weaver, Clerk of the Circuit Court for Washington County[41]
Organizations
  • International Association of Fire Fighters Local 1664, AFL-CIO, CLC[41]
Heather Mizeur
Local elected officials
  • Margo Bailey, Mayor of Chestertown[42]
  • Jason Barnett, Brentwood Councilmember[43]
  • Jesse Christopherson, Mt. Rainier Councilmember[43]
  • Mary Pat Clarke, Baltimore Councilwoman[44]
  • Colleen Clay, former Takoma Park Councilwoman[45]
  • Megan Cook, Easton Town Councilwoman[42]
  • Mary Jane Coolen, Cheverly Councilmember[43]
  • Kay Daniels-Cohen, Takoma Park Councilwoman[45]
  • Liza Fenton, New Carrollton Councilmember[43]
  • Carol Fordonski, former Queen Anne's County Commissioner[42]
  • Wayne Gilchrest, former Republican U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district[42]
  • Seth Grimes, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Jennifer Jenkins, Glenarden Councilmember[43]
  • Laura Mitchell, Salisbury City Councilwoman[42]
  • Jennifer Murphy, Brentwood Councilmember[43]
  • Patrick Paschall, Hyattsville Councilmember[43]
  • Kathy Porter, former Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Hank Prensky, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Don Robinson, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Harry Sampson, Chesapeake City Councilman[42]
  • Fred Schultz, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Terry Seamens, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Ed Sharp, former Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Jarrett Smith, Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Reuben Snipper, former Takoma Park Councilman[45]
  • Shani Warner, Hyattsville Councilmember[43]
  • Bruce Williams, Mayor of Takoma Park[45]
  • Patrick Wojahn, College Park Councilmember[43]
  • Jacqueline Wood-Dodson, Fairmont Heights Councilmember[43]

Civic leaders

  • Delman Coates, Prince George County pastor[44]
  • Sonja Sohn, actress and founder and chief executive of reWIRED for Change[44]

Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Anthony
Brown		Peter
Franchot		Doug
Gansler		Heather
Mizeur		Kenneth
Ulman		OtherUndecided
Washington PostJune 5–8, 2014487± 5%46%—23%16%——16%
Baltimore SunMay 31 – June 3, 2014499± 4.4%41%—20%15%——15%
WPA Opinion Research**May 6–7, 2014?± ?34%—20%7%—3%40%
St. Mary's CollegeApril 10–13, 2014502± ?27.1%—10.8%7.7%——54.3%
Washington PostFebruary 13–16, 2014469± 5.5%34%—15%8%——43%
Baltimore SunFebruary 8–12, 2014500± 4.4%35%—14%10%——40%
Gonzales ResearchOctober 1–14, 2013403± 5%40.7%—21.1%5.2%——33%
GarinHartYang*September 11–15, 2013608± 4%43%—21%5%——31%
46%—24%———30%
WPA Opinion Research**September 10–11, 2013?± ?40%—22%7%——38%
NormingtonPets^December 3–5, 2012?± 4.4%22%13%8%—4%—53%
GarinHartYang*September 12–13, 2012504± 4.4%31%14%18%—4%—33%
37%—23%—5%—35%
41%—25%———34%
  • ** Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign
  • * Internal poll for the Anthony Brown campaign
  • ^ Internal poll for the Peter Franchot campaign

Results

Results by county:
Brown
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Gansler
  •   30–40%
Mizeur
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[50]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticAnthony Brown 249,398 51.41
DemocraticDoug Gansler117,38324.2
DemocraticHeather Mizeur104,72121.59
DemocraticCindy Walsh6,8631.41
DemocraticCharles U. Smith3,5070.72
DemocraticRalph Jaffe3,2210.66
Total votes485,093 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Shelley Aloi, banking analyst and former Frederick Alderman[54]
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration[56]

Disqualified

  • Brian Vaeth, businessman, retired firefighter and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[59]
  • Running mate: Duane "Shorty" Davis, activist[60]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

David R. Craig
Larry Hogan
State officials
Organizations
  • Red Maryland, conservative blog[74]
Charles Lollar

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		David
Craig		Ron
George		Larry
Hogan		Charles
Lollar		OtherUndecided
Washington PostJune 5–8, 2014228± 7.5%19%5%35%13%3%29%
Baltimore SunMay 31 – June 3, 2014501± 4.4%12%6%27%12%—37%
St. Mary's CollegeApril 10–13, 2014270± ?7.8%3.8%16%3.8%—68.6%
Washington PostFebruary 13–16, 2014290± 7%13%4%17%10%1%57%
Baltimore SunFebruary 8–12, 2014499± 4.4%7%6%13%5%—69%

Debate

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election Republican primary debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
David R. CraigRon GeorgeLarry HoganCharles Lollar
1Jun. 6, 2014Maryland Public TelevisionYouTubePPPP

Results

Results by county:
Hogan
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   <40%
Craig
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Lollar
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[50]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLarry Hogan 92,376 42.98
RepublicanDavid R. Craig62,63929.14
RepublicanCharles Lollar33,29215.49
RepublicanRon George26,62812.39
Total votes214,935 100.00

General election

Candidates

  • Larry Hogan (Republican Party), former State Secretary of Appointments
  • Running mate: Boyd Rutherford, former State Secretary of General Services and former Assistant U.S. Secretary of Agriculture for Administration
  • Running mate: Lorenzo Gaztanaga, perennial candidate

Campaign

Hogan heavily criticized Brown for his handling of Maryland's health care exchange as a part of the Affordable Care Act, labeling him as "the most incompetent man in Maryland."[75] The Maryland Health Benefit Exchange enrolled fewer than 4,000 people.[76]

Hogan avoided social issues by promising not to touch the state's abortion or gun control laws.[77] Campaign ads were a significant part of the first debate, culminating in Hogan's call for Brown to "apologize to the women of Maryland for trying to scare them."

Brown pledged no new taxes, no increased taxes, and a look at state spending if elected. Hogan responded by citing O'Malley/Brown's same claim in the 2010 election and how that claim was followed by "40 consecutive tax hikes."[78] Brown said there have been times he has disagreed with O'Malley, like on mortgage reduction.[79] "Brown did not stay to take questions from reporters", and both candidates accused the other of not telling the truth.[80]

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[81]TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[82]Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[83]Tilt DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[84]TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Anthony
Brown (D)		Larry
Hogan (R)		OtherUndecided
WPA Opinion Research*October 20–24, 2014500± 3.5%39%44%—17%
Gonzales ResearchOctober 20–24, 2014822± 3.5%46%44%2%[85]18%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,086± 5%51%38%0%11%
WPA Opinion Research*October 19–20, 2014500± 4.4%42%41%—15%
Gravis MarketingOctober 6–9, 2014784± 3.5%46%43%—11%
Baltimore SunOctober 4–8, 2014800± 3.5%49%42%—9%
Washington PostOctober 2–5, 2014549 LV± 5%47%38%4%[85]11%
807 RV± 4%44%31%6%[85]19%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,096± 4%55%38%1%7%
Gonzales ResearchSeptember 16–23, 2014805± 3.5%47%43%1%[85]9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20141,082± 4%51%37%3%10%
OnMessage, Inc.*August 18–19, 2014500± 4.3845%42%4%[85]9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20141,409± ?52%39%2%6%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 9–10, 2014750± 4%48%35%7%10%
Washington PostJune 5–8, 2014962± 3.5%51%33%—16%
WPA Opinion Research*May 6–7, 2014400± 4.9%42%35%—23%
WPA Opinion Research*September 10–11, 2013?± ?46%32%—22%
  • * Internal poll for the Larry Hogan campaign

Results

2014 Maryland gubernatorial election[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanLarry Hogan 884,400 51.03% +9.24%
DemocraticAnthony Brown818,89047.25%-8.99%
LibertarianShawn Quinn25,3821.46%+0.70%
Write-in4,5050.26%+0.15%
Total votes1,733,177 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

Source:[86]

CountyBrownVotesHoganVotesOthersVotesTotals
Allegany22.60%4,62975.25%15,4102.14%43920,478
Anne Arundel32.16%58,00166.10%119,1951.74%3,142180,338
Baltimore38.89%102,73459.03%155,9362.07%5,473264,143
Baltimore City75.50%106,21321.92%30,8452.58%3,628140,686
Calvert29.11%9,57969.11%22,7391.78%58632,904
Caroline20.97%1,93177.58%7,1441.44%1339,208
Carroll16.07%10,34982.20%52,9511.74%1,11964,419
Cecil20.43%5,46777.33%20,6992.24%60026,766
Charles51.83%24,60146.91%22,2681.26%60047,469
Dorchester30.51%3,25268.26%7,2761.24%13210,660
Frederick34.57%27,68263.34%50,7152.09%1,67580,072
Garrett17.80%1,63479.71%7,3192.49%2299,182
Harford21.66%19,81476.52%69,9861.82%1,66091,460
Howard46.68%49,22751.54%54,3531.78%1,873105,453
Kent33.56%2,60364.58%5,0091.86%1447,756
Montgomery61.81%163,69436.75%97,3121.44%3,813264,819
Prince George's84.23%184,95014.86%32,6190.91%2,003219,572
Queen Anne's19.34%3,75779.46%15,4361.20%23319,426
St. Mary's25.20%8,20372.72%23,6752.09%67932,557
Somerset31.86%2,13566.38%4,4481.16%786,701
Talbot29.03%4,42069.72%10,6161.25%19015,226
Washington24.89%9,66173.33%28,4691.78%69138,821
Wicomico34.07%8,83364.30%16,6691.63%42225,924
Worcester28.85%5,52169.35%13,2711.80%34519,137
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Hogan won five of the state's eight congressional districts, including four that elected Democrats.[87][data verification needed]

DistrictHoganBrownRepresentative
1st77.96%20.41%Andy Harris
2nd56.59%41.27%Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd54.99%42.93%John Sarbanes
4th33.72%65.16%Donna Edwards
5th47.23%51.31%Steny Hoyer
6th58.27%39.85%John Delaney
7th38.30%59.58%Elijah Cummings
8th49.71%48.70%Chris Van Hollen

See also

References

Official campaign websites (archived)


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