2011 Ontario general election

2011 Ontario general election
← outgoing members elected members →
107 seats in the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario; 54 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Turnout	48.2% (4.6pp)
	Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election; Dalton McGuinty; Liberal	Premier after election ; Dalton McGuinty; Liberal

The 2011 Ontario general election was held on October 6, 2011, to elect members of the 40th Legislative Assembly of Ontario. The Ontario Liberal Party was elected to a minority government, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario (PC Party) serving as the Official Opposition and the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as the third party. In the final result, Premier McGuinty's party fell one seat short of winning a majority government.

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in December 2005, Ontario elections were now held on fixed dates, namely the first Thursday of October every four years.^[2] The writ of election was issued by Lieutenant Governor David Onley on September 7, 2011.

The election saw a then–record low voter turnout of 48.2%,^[1] only to be surpassed by the 2022 Ontario general election with 43.53%.

Timeline

2007

October 10, 2007: Elections held for members of the Ontario Legislature in the 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario.
November 29, 2007: The 39th Legislative Assembly of Ontario officially opens with the Speech from the Throne.

2008

February 23, 2008: John Tory's continued leadership of the Progressive Conservative party is endorsed by 66.9% of delegates at a leadership review.
June 14, 2008: Premier Dalton McGuinty receives the support of 95.4% of delegates from the Ontario Liberal Party's mandatory leadership review.
June 14, 2008: NDP leader Howard Hampton announces he will be stepping down as party leader at the March 7, 2009 NDP leadership convention.

2009

January 9, 2009: Progressive Conservative MPP Laurie Scott announces her resignation from the legislature to allow party leader John Tory, who has been without a seat since his defeat in Don Valley West in the 2007 election, to re-enter the legislature.
March 5, 2009: In the Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock by-election following Scott's resignation, Tory is defeated by Liberal candidate Rick Johnson.
March 6, 2009: John Tory resigns as Progressive Conservative leader pending the selection of an interim party leader.
March 7, 2009: Andrea Horwath is elected leader of the Ontario NDP at the party's 2009 leadership convention.
June 27, 2009: Tim Hudak is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative party at its 2009 leadership election and also becomes the new Leader of the Opposition.
September 17, 2009: Eric Hoskins is elected as the MPP for the riding of St. Paul's following the resignation of Michael Bryant on June 7, 2009.
November 4, 2009: Mike Schreiner is affirmed as the new leader of the Green Party of Ontario, receiving 97% approval from the party membership defeating the None of the Above ballot option, in the 2009 leadership election.

2010

January 29, 2010: Bob Runciman resigns his seat to accept appointment to the Senate of Canada.
February 1, 2010: Jim Watson resigns his seat to run for Mayor in the 2010 Ottawa municipal election
February 4, 2010: Glen Murray is elected as the MPP for the riding of Toronto Centre following the resignation of George Smitherman on January 4, 2010.
March 4, 2010: Bob Chiarelli is elected as the MPP for the riding of Ottawa West—Nepean and Steve Clark is elected as the MPP for the riding of Leeds—Grenville.
December 16, 2010: Peter Fonseca resigned from cabinet to run for the federal Liberals in the riding of Mississauga East—Cooksville in the 2011 federal election.^[3]

2011

June 3, 2011: Essex MPP Bruce Crozier dies of an aortic aneurysm.^[4]
September 7, 2011: Official election call, Premier McGuinty formally asks the Lt. Governor to dissolve the legislature. The campaign will be 29 days long.
September 21–30, 2011: Advance polling stations open for early voting from 10:00 a.m. until 8:00 p.m.^[5]
September 27, 2011: The televised Leaders debate aired on CBC, CHCH, CTV, Global, TVOntario and Sun News Network, with Liberal leader and Premier Dalton McGuinty, Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak and New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath.^[6]
October 6, 2011: Ontario general election from 9:00 a.m. until 9:00 p.m. EDT (8:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. CDT in north-western part of the province).

Party leadership

In March 2009, PC Party leader John Tory stepped down as leader, with Tim Hudak elected to be his successor. Also in March 2009, Andrea Horwath replaced Howard Hampton as leader of the NDP at the leadership election. Thus, both the Progressive Conservatives and the NDP went into the election with a new leader. Green Party of Ontario leader Frank de Jong stepped down in November 2009; their leadership convention confirmed Mike Schreiner as their new leader. Dalton McGuinty won 95 percent support for his leadership at an Ontario Liberal annual general meeting after the 2007 election, and ran again in 2011.

Incumbents not running for reelection

Electoral district
Barrie	Aileen Carroll^[7]	Karl Walsh	Rod Jackson
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	Bill Murdoch^[8]	Bill Walker	Bill Walker
Burlington	Joyce Savoline^[9]	Jane McKenna	Jane McKenna
Cambridge	Gerry Martiniuk^[10]	Rob Leone	Rob Leone
Carleton—Mississippi Mills	Norm Sterling^[11]	Jack MacLaren	Jack MacLaren
Chatham-Kent—Essex	Pat Hoy^[12]	Paul Watson	Rick Nicholls
Davenport	Tony Ruprecht^[13]	Cristina Martins	Jonah Schein
Don Valley East	David Caplan^[14]	Michael Coteau	Michael Coteau
Elgin—Middlesex—London	Steve Peters^[15]	Lori Baldwin-Sands	Jeff Yurek
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	Jean-Marc Lalonde^[16]	Grant Crack	Grant Crack
Kenora—Rainy River	Howard Hampton^[17]	Sarah Campbell	Sarah Campbell
Nipissing	Monique Smith^[18]	Catherine Whiting	Vic Fedeli
Pickering—Scarborough East	Wayne Arthurs^[19]	Tracy MacCharles	Tracy MacCharles
Scarborough—Agincourt	Gerry Phillips^[20]	Soo Wong	Soo Wong
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry	Jim Brownell^[21]	Mark A. Macdonald	Jim McDonell
Timiskaming—Cochrane	David Ramsay^[22]	Denis Bonin	John Vanthof
Welland	Peter Kormos^[23]	Cindy Forster	Cindy Forster
Windsor West	Sandra Pupatello^[24]	Teresa Piruzza	Teresa Piruzza

Results

Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario election results
Party		Party leader	Candidates	Seats				Popular vote
Party		Party leader	Candidates	2007	Dissol.	2011	Change	#	%	Change
	Liberal	Dalton McGuinty	107	71	70	53	18	1,625,102	37.65%	4.7%
	Progressive Conservative	Tim Hudak	107	26	25	37	11	1,530,076	35.45%	3.8%
	New Democratic	Andrea Horwath	107	10	10	17	7	981,508	22.74%	5.9%
	Green	Mike Schreiner	107	–	–	–	–	126,021	2.92%	5.1%
	Libertarian	Sam Apelbaum	51	–	–	–	–	19,447	0.45%	0.3%
	Family Coalition	Phil Lees	31	–	–	–	–	9,524	0.22%	0.6%
	Freedom	Paul McKeever	57	–	–	–	–	9,253	0.21%	0.1%
	Independent		36	–	–	–	–	9,021	0.21%	–
	Communist	Elizabeth Rowley	9	–	–	–	–	1,162	0.03%	0.01%
	Northern Ontario Heritage	Edward Deibel	3	–	–	–	–	676	0.02%	–
	Special Needs	Danish Ahmed	4	–	–	–	–	667	0.02%	0.01%
	Reform	Bradley J. Harness	4	–	–	–	–	647	0.01%	0.01%
	Paramount Canadians	Ranvir Dogra	4	–	–	–	–	562	0.01%	–
	Confederation of Regions	vacant	3	–	–	–	–	559	0.01%	–
	Socialist	Michael Laxer	5	–	–	–	–	519	0.01%	–
	People's Political Party	Kevin Clarke	4	–	–	–	–	386	–	–
	Vegan Environmental	Paul Figueiras	3	–	–	–	–	366	–	–
	Republican	Trueman Tuck	3	–	–	–	–	232	–	–
	The Only Party	Michael Green	3	–	–	–	–	188	–	–
	Human Rights	Marilyn McCormick	2	–	–	–	–	170	–	–
	Canadians' Choice	Bahman Yazdanfar	3	–	–	–	–	156	–	–
	Paupers	John Turmel	2	–	–	–	–	140	< .01%	–
	Vacant				2
Total			655	107	107	107		4,316,382	100%
Source: "40TH GENERAL ELECTION - SUMMARY OF VALID BALLOTS CAST" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 1, 2014. Retrieved May 17, 2014.

Popular vote

Liberal			37.65%
PC			35.45%
New Democratic			22.74%
Others			4.16%

Seats summary

Liberal			49.53%
PC			34.58%
New Democratic			15.89%

Summary

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won/lost by party, 2007-2011
Party		2007	Gain from(loss to)			2011
Party		2007	Lib	PC	NDP	2011
	Liberal	71		(11)	(7)	53
	Progressive Conservative	26	11			37
	New Democratic	10	7			17
Total		107	18	(11)	(7)	107

Regional analysis

Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario - seats won by region (2011)
Party		Toronto	905 Belt	Ham/Niagara	Central	East	Midwest	Southwest	North	Total
	Liberal	17	14	3	1	7	3	4	4	53
	Conservative		3	3	10	7	8	4	2	37
	New Democratic	5	1	4				2	5	17
Total		22	18	10	11	14	11	10	11	107

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2011 Ontario general election^{[a 1]}
Riding		Winning party						Turnout ^{[a 2]}	Votes^{[a 3]}
		Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %		Lib	PC	NDP	Green	Ind	Other	Total
		Party		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %								Total

Ajax—Pickering	Lib		Lib	19,606	47.34%	4,888	11.80%	44.84%	19,606	14,718	5,952	843	–	299	41,418
Algoma—Manitoulin	Lib		NDP	11,585	44.52%	4,188	16.09%	49.43%	7,397	6,141	11,585	684	–	217	26,024
Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale	Lib		Lib	21,648	43.70%	4,516	9.12%	56.45%	21,648	17,132	8,521	1,477	–	765	49,543
Barrie	Lib		PC	17,527	40.66%	2,521	5.85%	46.00%	15,006	17,527	8,171	1,909	–	497	43,110
Beaches—East York	NDP		NDP	17,925	46.82%	4,112	10.74%	51.64%	13,813	5,333	17,925	1,025	–	189	38,285
Bramalea—Gore—Malton	Lib		NDP	16,626	38.16%	2,277	5.23%	40.71%	14,349	9,896	16,626	1,091	491	1,119	43,572
Brampton—Springdale	Lib		Lib	15,663	44.43%	2,909	8.25%	40.54%	15,663	12,754	5,378	900	–	562	35,257
Brampton West	Lib		Lib	19,224	43.76%	4,790	10.90%	38.29%	19,224	14,434	8,331	1,432	–	509	43,930
Brant	Lib		Lib	16,867	37.08%	1,106	2.43%	48.23%	16,867	15,761	11,006	957	244	649	45,484
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	PC		PC	19,567	47.37%	8,678	21.01%	54.70%	10,889	19,567	6,133	2,654	1,478	585	41,306
Burlington	PC		PC	20,061	40.41%	2,152	4.33%	54.83%	17,909	20,061	9,370	1,129	–	1,175	49,644
Cambridge	PC		PC	15,947	37.69%	1,954	4.62%	46.04%	13,993	15,947	10,414	1,056	271	629	42,310
Carleton—Mississippi Mills	PC		PC	28,246	50.29%	9,102	16.21%	53.50%	19,144	28,246	6,371	1,857	–	549	56,167
Chatham-Kent—Essex	Lib		PC	15,121	41.78%	3,490	9.64%	49.41%	11,631	15,121	8,415	1,027	–	–	36,194
Davenport	Lib		NDP	14,367	45.93%	1,414	4.52%	45.59%	12,953	2,480	14,367	855	250	374	31,279
Don Valley East	Lib		Lib	16,350	51.08%	7,645	23.88%	46.08%	16,350	8,705	5,953	702	–	300	32,010
Don Valley West	Lib		Lib	24,444	58.32%	11,617	27.71%	50.93%	24,444	12,827	3,621	718	–	307	41,917
Dufferin—Caledon	PC		PC	17,833	46.95%	7,671	20.19%	47.74%	10,162	17,833	4,200	5,540	–	250	37,985
Durham	PC		PC	22,393	49.07%	8,999	19.72%	49.74%	13,394	22,393	8,027	1,221	–	596	45,631
Eglinton—Lawrence	Lib		Lib	20,752	54.15%	7,895	20.60%	51.81%	20,752	12,857	3,763	575	146	231	38,324
Elgin—Middlesex—London	Lib		PC	19,771	47.86%	8,696	21.05%	51.28%	11,075	19,771	9,201	981	–	283	41,311
Essex	Lib		NDP	17,417	37.99%	1,368	2.98%	51.38%	11,518	16,049	17,417	860	–	–	45,844
Etobicoke Centre	Lib		Lib	21,916	51.48%	7,960	18.70%	52.62%	21,916	13,956	5,099	837	–	761	42,569
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	Lib		Lib	22,169	51.02%	9,464	21.78%	50.01%	22,169	12,705	6,713	1,164	226	471	43,448
Etobicoke North	Lib		Lib	12,081	48.46%	6,009	24.10%	40.15%	12,081	6,072	5,426	541	–	811	24,931
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	Lib		Lib	17,345	43.18%	1,372	3.42%	47.81%	17,345	15,973	5,721	770	–	363	40,172
Guelph	Lib		Lib	19,815	42.43%	7,861	16.83%	50.27%	19,815	11,954	11,150	3,234	100	444	46,697
Haldimand—Norfolk	PC		PC	25,203	60.81%	17,155	41.39%	53.31%	7,087	25,203	8,048	868	–	242	41,448
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock	PC		PC	22,352	45.43%	5,830	11.85%	54.98%	16,522	22,352	8,517	1,562	–	245	49,198
Halton	PC		PC	26,228	44.47%	3,148	5.34%	45.99%	23,080	26,228	7,757	1,286	166	464	58,981
Hamilton Centre	NDP		NDP	20,586	61.33%	14,725	43.87%	42.43%	5,861	4,421	20,586	1,249	268	1,182	33,567
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	NDP		NDP	20,442	51.72%	10,045	25.41%	46.26%	10,397	7,395	20,442	692	–	601	39,527
Hamilton Mountain	Lib		NDP	20,492	45.16%	5,798	12.78%	50.45%	14,694	8,641	20,492	748	–	798	45,373
Huron—Bruce	Lib		PC	19,138	42.76%	4,479	10.01%	59.23%	14,659	19,138	9,329	772	200	656	44,754
Kenora—Rainy River	NDP		NDP	10,949	49.62%	2,642	11.97%	45.75%	2,202	8,307	10,949	391	–	216	22,065
Kingston and the Islands	Lib		Lib	21,028	48.84%	10,787	25.06%	45.03%	21,028	9,610	10,241	1,594	–	578	43,051
Kitchener Centre	Lib		Lib	15,392	39.23%	323	0.82%	49.16%	15,392	15,069	7,385	938	137	317	39,238
Kitchener—Conestoga	Lib		PC	18,017	44.18%	3,541	8.68%	46.62%	14,476	18,017	7,165	1,121	–	–	40,779
Kitchener—Waterloo	PC		PC	21,665	43.77%	3,828	7.73%	50.54%	17,837	21,665	8,250	1,308	316	123	49,499
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	Lib		PC	19,379	45.74%	6,956	16.42%	54.08%	12,423	19,379	8,882	987	–	701	42,372
Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington	PC		PC	22,457	50.12%	9,967	22.25%	50.43%	12,490	22,457	8,104	1,754	–	–	44,805
Leeds—Grenville	PC		PC	24,314	63.60%	17,651	46.17%	50.64%	6,663	24,314	5,822	1,319	–	111	38,229
London—Fanshawe	Lib		NDP	13,953	40.77%	4,275	12.49%	45.82%	9,678	9,075	13,953	852	192	475	34,225
London North Centre	Lib		Lib	19,167	43.91%	6,539	14.98%	47.87%	19,167	12,628	9,914	1,451	–	492	43,652
London West	Lib		Lib	22,610	45.65%	8,007	16.17%	53.01%	22,610	14,603	10,757	1,194	–	361	49,525
Markham—Unionville	Lib		Lib	19,579	52.58%	7,859	21.11%	40.68%	19,579	11,720	4,575	1,104	–	259	37,237
Mississauga—Brampton South	Lib		Lib	15,579	46.04%	5,292	15.64%	36.43%	15,579	10,287	5,420	1,247	616	691	33,840
Mississauga East—Cooksville	Lib		Lib	15,535	45.74%	4,238	12.48%	40.50%	15,535	11,297	5,704	934	199	294	33,963
Mississauga—Erindale	Lib		Lib	20,552	45.03%	4,258	9.33%	43.91%	20,552	16,294	7,768	853	–	176	45,643
Mississauga South	Lib		Lib	20,375	50.71%	5,876	14.62%	51.25%	20,375	14,499	4,044	860	–	401	40,179
Mississauga—Streetsville	Lib		Lib	18,591	51.54%	7,936	22.00%	41.46%	18,591	10,655	5,494	1,329	–	0	36,069
Nepean—Carleton	PC		PC	29,985	54.48%	15,141	27.51%	49.91%	14,844	29,985	8,127	1,641	–	440	55,037
Newmarket—Aurora	PC		PC	21,425	47.24%	5,271	11.62%	49.33%	16,154	21,425	6,514	1,256	–	–	45,349
Niagara Falls	Lib		Lib	16,794	35.89%	498	1.06%	49.44%	16,794	16,296	12,304	759	231	408	46,792
Niagara West—Glanbrook	PC		PC	24,919	50.95%	12,211	24.97%	54.88%	12,708	24,919	9,070	1,372	–	837	48,906
Nickel Belt	NDP		NDP	16,876	54.86%	9,425	30.64%	49.55%	7,451	5,625	16,876	810	–	–	30,762
Nipissing	Lib		PC	15,381	50.11%	6,606	21.52%	51.86%	8,775	15,381	5,567	971	–	–	30,694
Northumberland—Quinte West	Lib		PC	19,279	39.80%	707	1.46%	51.88%	18,572	19,279	8,589	1,483	159	357	48,439
Oak Ridges—Markham	Lib		Lib	28,878	44.78%	4,928	7.64%	42.70%	28,878	23,950	8,548	1,569	484	1,057	64,486
Oakville	Lib		Lib	21,711	48.09%	4,580	10.14%	52.70%	21,711	17,131	4,625	878	498	303	45,146
Oshawa	PC		PC	16,719	42.25%	2,403	6.07%	44.26%	6,921	16,719	14,316	1,035	–	582	39,573
Ottawa Centre	Lib		Lib	23,646	46.81%	8,931	17.68%	53.73%	23,646	9,257	14,715	2,184	309	400	50,511
Ottawa—Orléans	Lib		Lib	21,857	46.44%	2,854	6.06%	52.65%	21,857	19,003	4,979	886	–	337	47,062
Ottawa South	Lib		Lib	21,842	48.86%	6,897	15.43%	51.19%	21,842	14,945	5,988	1,442	–	490	44,707
Ottawa—Vanier	Lib		Lib	19,619	51.51%	10,690	28.07%	46.81%	19,619	8,929	7,466	1,719	–	352	38,085
Ottawa West—Nepean	Lib		Lib	18,492	41.62%	1,009	2.27%	54.02%	18,492	17,483	6,576	1,485	–	396	44,432
Oxford	PC		PC	20,658	54.87%	11,248	29.88%	49.18%	9,410	20,658	5,885	1,336	–	359	37,648
Parkdale—High Park	NDP		NDP	18,365	46.20%	3,488	8.77%	51.79%	14,877	4,668	18,365	1,325	289	228	39,752
Parry Sound—Muskoka	PC		PC	19,417	54.09%	12,880	35.88%	51.79%	6,537	19,417	6,527	3,251	–	167	35,899
Perth—Wellington	Lib		PC	14,845	40.09%	210	0.57%	51.89%	14,635	14,845	5,836	918	–	791	37,025
Peterborough	Lib		Lib	19,430	39.93%	4,107	8.44%	53.18%	19,430	15,323	12,460	1,235	–	210	48,658
Pickering—Scarborough East	Lib		Lib	18,201	46.66%	5,168	13.25%	49.69%	18,201	13,033	6,424	1,096	–	252	39,006
Prince Edward—Hastings	Lib		PC	18,816	42.28%	3,130	7.03%	51.74%	15,686	18,816	7,379	2,049	–	573	44,503
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke	PC		PC	27,594	70.78%	21,363	54.80%	52.69%	6,231	27,594	4,277	574	–	309	38,985
Richmond Hill	Lib		Lib	18,042	46.92%	4,279	11.13%	42.49%	18,042	13,763	4,987	1,268	–	394	38,454
St. Catharines	Lib		Lib	17,166	40.21%	1,705	3.99%	51.00%	17,166	15,461	8,624	1,066	–	378	42,695
St. Paul's	Lib		Lib	25,048	58.39%	16,076	37.48%	50.41%	25,048	8,972	7,124	1,180	–	573	42,897
Sarnia—Lambton	PC		PC	19,570	48.32%	9,263	22.87%	51.75%	8,819	19,570	10,307	567	1,077	160	40,500
Sault Ste. Marie	Lib		Lib	16,109	54.95%	7,072	24.12%	49.35%	16,109	3,477	9,037	519	–	172	29,314
Scarborough—Agincourt	Lib		Lib	14,907	46.85%	4,685	14.73%	43.57%	14,907	10,222	5,017	722	–	948	31,816
Scarborough Centre	Lib		Lib	16,142	51.43%	8,631	27.50%	44.49%	16,142	7,511	6,876	558	–	301	31,388
Scarborough—Guildwood	Lib		Lib	15,607	48.93%	6,470	20.29%	47.65%	15,607	9,137	6,194	413	–	543	31,894
Scarborough—Rouge River	Lib		Lib	15,237	41.87%	2,149	5.91%	42.89%	15,237	6,837	13,088	455	–	773	36,390
Scarborough Southwest	Lib		Lib	14,585	44.09%	4,181	12.64%	47.78%	14,585	7,061	10,404	777	–	250	33,077
Simcoe—Grey	PC		PC	25,339	54.33%	14,935	32.02%	48.12%	10,404	25,339	6,839	4,057	–	–	46,639
Simcoe North	PC		PC	25,081	55.16%	14,890	32.75%	50.98%	10,191	25,081	7,710	2,488	–	–	45,470
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry	Lib		PC	21,463	55.25%	13,050	33.60%	51.40%	8,413	21,463	8,021	551	–	396	38,844
Sudbury	Lib		Lib	13,735	42.37%	531	1.64%	49.94%	13,735	4,400	13,204	870	44	164	32,417
Thornhill	PC		PC	20,971	46.71%	2,598	5.79%	45.35%	18,373	20,971	4,024	756	–	772	44,896
Thunder Bay—Atikokan	Lib		Lib	10,319	38.97%	438	1.65%	46.61%	10,319	5,815	9,881	379	86	–	26,480
Thunder Bay—Superior North	Lib		Lib	11,765	45.00%	2,654	10.15%	48.20%	11,765	4,578	9,111	555	–	133	26,142
Timiskaming—Cochrane	Lib		NDP	12,633	50.12%	6,101	24.21%	50.01%	6,532	5,337	12,633	312	–	391	25,205
Timmins—James Bay	NDP		NDP	11,479	49.47%	2,964	12.77%	46.84%	2,870	8,515	11,479	233	–	108	23,205
Toronto Centre	Lib		Lib	25,236	54.94%	13,665	29.75%	48.42%	25,236	7,186	11,571	1,123	–	820	45,936
Toronto—Danforth	NDP		NDP	20,062	54.01%	8,693	23.40%	49.30%	11,369	3,488	20,062	1,354	–	875	37,148
Trinity—Spadina	NDP		NDP	19,870	42.36%	1,139	2.43%	43.00%	18,731	5,420	19,870	2,415	–	470	46,906
Vaughan	Lib		Lib	26,174	53.02%	10,754	21.78%	41.08%	26,174	15,420	5,594	694	169	1,316	49,367
Welland	NDP		NDP	19,527	44.66%	5,479	12.53%	51.64%	8,638	14,048	19,527	1,005	–	505	43,723
Wellington—Halton Hills	PC		PC	23,495	55.62%	12,161	28.79%	51.11%	11,334	23,495	6,106	1,309	–	–	42,244
Whitby—Oshawa	PC		PC	24,499	48.17%	7,511	14.77%	49.69%	16,988	24,499	7,865	1,139	–	371	50,862
Willowdale	Lib		Lib	21,984	50.84%	7,456	17.24%	45.40%	21,984	14,528	5,556	874	–	297	43,239
Windsor—Tecumseh	Lib		Lib	15,946	42.83%	3,718	9.99%	44.69%	15,946	7,751	12,228	830	–	476	37,231
Windsor West	Lib		Lib	14,127	41.31%	3,583	10.48%	41.57%	14,127	8,476	10,544	1,051	–	–	34,198
York Centre	Lib		Lib	14,694	45.36%	3,188	9.84%	45.74%	14,694	11,506	4,579	535	127	954	32,395
York—Simcoe	PC		PC	20,425	52.78%	10,929	28.24%	42.91%	9,496	20,425	6,607	1,479	–	690	38,697
York South—Weston	Lib		Lib	13,805	44.55%	734	2.37%	44.86%	13,805	3,441	13,071	474	45	151	30,987
York West	Lib		Lib	11,455	50.49%	3,554	15.66%	39.24%	11,455	2,735	7,901	287	203	107	22,688

= open seat

= turnout is above provincial average

= incumbent re-elected

= incumbency arose from byelection gain

Maps

Support for Liberal Party candidates by riding
Support for Conservative Party candidates by riding
Support for New Democratic Party candidates by riding
Support for Green Party candidates by riding

Principal races

Party candidates in 2nd place
Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place			Total
Party in 1st place		Lib	PC	NDP	Total
	Liberal	–	40	13	53
	Progressive Conservative	34	–	3	37
	New Democratic	13	4	–	17
Total		47	44	16	107

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results
Parties		Seats
█ Liberal	█ Progressive Conservative	74
█ Liberal	█ New Democratic	26
█ Progressive Conservative	█ New Democratic	7
Total		107

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party
Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th	Total
█ Liberal	53	47	7			107
█ Progressive Conservative	37	44	26			107
█ New Democratic	17	16	73	1		107
█ Green			1	101	5	107
█ Libertarian				3	36	39
█ Independent				1	10	11
█ Northern Ontario Heritage				1	1	2
█ Family Coalition					21	21
█ Freedom					18	18
█ Special Needs					2	2
█ Communist					1	1
█ Confederation of Regions					1	1
█ Socialist					1	1

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

Riding	Party	Candidates	Votes	Placed
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	█ Independent	Shane Jolley	1,478	5th
Oak Ridges—Markham	█ Libertarian	Karl Boelling	1,057	4th
Sarnia—Lambton	█ Independent	Andy Bruziewicz	1,077	4th

Seats changing hands

There were 18 seats that changed allegiance from the 2007 election.

Resulting composition of the 41st Legislative Assembly of Ontario
Source		Party
Source		Lib	PC	NDP	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	47	21	8	76
	Open seats held	6	4	2	12
	Byelection loss reversed		1		1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated		6	4	10
Seats changing hands	Open seats gained		5	3	8
Total		53	37	17	107

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Type of poll	Margin of error
Angus Reid	October 4–5, 2011	PDF	37	33	26	3	Online	3.6%
EKOS	October 3–5, 2011	PDF	37.7	31.5	23.3	5.9	Interactive voice response	2.0%
Forum Research	October 4, 2011	HTML	37	36	23	3	Interactive voice response	3.1%
Angus Reid	October 3–4, 2011	PDF	33	36	26	5	Online	2.1%
Abacus Data	October 3–4, 2011	HTML	37	34	24	4	Online	3.1%
EKOS	October 2–4, 2011	PDF	39.0	29.7	23.1	6.6	Interactive voice response	2.2%
Nanos Research	October 2–3, 2011	PDF	40.1	33.0	23.2	2.8	Telephone	4.2%
EKOS	October 2–3, 2011	PDF	39.1	29.1	24.5	6.0	Interactive voice response	2.9%
Nanos Research	October 1–3, 2011	PDF	37.7	33.2	25.8	2.1	Telephone	3.4%
Ipsos Reid	September 30 – October 3, 2011	PDF	41	31	25	3	Telephone	3.1%
Nanos Research	September 30 – October 2, 2011	PDF	35.9	36.4	25.7	1.2	Telephone	3.5%
EKOS	September 29 – October 2, 2011	PDF	37.8	30.6	22.7	7.3	Interactive voice response	2.8%
Nanos Research	September 29 – October 1, 2011	PDF	36.5	34	26.8	1.9	Telephone	3.5%
Nanos Research	September 28–30, 2011	PDF	38.0	35.3	24.6	1.8	Telephone	3.5%
Angus Reid	September 28–30, 2011	PDF	33	34	26	6	Online	3.1%
Leger Marketing	September 28–29, 2011	PDF^{[permanent dead link]}	32	34	29	5	Online	3.1%
Nanos Research	September 28–29, 2011	PDF	37.7	34.4	25.5	2.0	Telephone	4.3%
Environics	September 26–28, 2011	HTML	35	36	25	3	Online
Abacus Data	September 23–25, 2011	PDF	33	37	23	6	Online	2.9%
EKOS	September 21–25, 2011	PDF	34.9	31.4	24.7	7.6	Interactive voice response	2.3%
Forum Research	September 22–23, 2011	HTML	35	35	23	5	Interactive voice response	0.5%
Angus Reid	September 13–15, 2011	HTML	32	36	26	6	Online	3.1%
Leger Marketing	September 12–15, 2011	PDF^{[permanent dead link]}	33	36	26	5	Online	3.1%
Abacus Data	September 9–12, 2011	HTML	32	41	20	6	Online	3.2%
Nanos Research	September 10–11, 2011	PDF	38.1	34.7	24.3	2.7	Telephone	4.9%
Ipsos Reid	September 7–11, 2011	HTML Archived September 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine	38	37	24	1	Telephone	3.5%
Harris-Decima	August 25 – September 4, 2011	HTML	40	29	24	6	Telephone	3.8%
Nanos Research	August 30 – September 1, 2011	PDF	31.9	35.4	22.8	4.1	Telephone	3.1%
Forum Research	August 29–30, 2011	HTML	30	35	26	7	Interactive voice response	2.0%
Angus Reid	August 25–28, 2011	PDF	31	38	24	6	Online	3.1%
Nanos Research	August 10–13, 2011	PDF	37.6	42.1	16.2	3.4	Telephone	3.4%
Ipsos Reid	July 29 – August 4, 2011	HTML Archived October 9, 2011, at the Wayback Machine	36	38	23	3	Telephone	4.9%
Forum Research	July 27–28, 2011	HTML	28	38	24	7	Interactive voice response	2.1%
Ipsos Reid	June 7 – July 7, 2011	HTML Archived October 3, 2011, at the Wayback Machine	31	42	22	5	Telephone	3.5%
Forum Research	June 21–22, 2011	HTML	26	41	22	8	Interactive voice response	1.7%
Ipsos Reid	May 17 – June 9, 2011	HTML	34	40	20	6	Telephone	3.5%
Nanos Research	May 14–15, 2011	PDF	34	41	19	5	Telephone	4.7%
Nanos Research	March 8–11, 2011	PDF	35	44	16	4	Telephone	4.9%
Nanos Research	January 31 – February 3, 2011	PDF	39	43	13	5	Telephone	4.7%
Ipsos Reid	January 20, 2011	HTML Archived January 29, 2011, at the Wayback Machine	35	38	17	9	Telephone
Ipsos Reid	November 18, 2010	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	32	41	20	7
Angus Reid	September 28, 2010	PDF	29	41	22	8	Online	3.5%
Ipsos Reid	August 21, 2010	HTML	35	36	18	11
Ipsos Reid	June 19, 2010	HTML	37	32	20	11
Nanos Research	February 9–10, 2010	PDF	41.4	37.9	12.8	7.9	Telephone	4.9%
Ipsos Reid	December 13, 2009	HTML	38	34	15	10
Angus Reid	December 4, 2009	PDF	27	41	20	11
Nanos Research	October 24–25, 2009	PDF	36.6	35	17.2	9.8	Telephone	4.8%
Environics	October 2009	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	32	37	19	11
Environics	June 2009	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	44	32	15	8
Environics	April 2009	HTML	44	29	17	11
Environics	January 2009	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	45	32	12	11
Environics	November 2008	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	35	30	21	13
Environics	June 2008	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	41	31	16	12
Environics	March 2008	HTML	38	30	19	12
Environics	January 2008	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	45	34	18	2
Environics	November 2007	HTML^{[permanent dead link]}	44	31	22	3
Election 2007	October 10, 2007	PDF	42.3	31.6	16.8	8.0

Media endorsements

Liberals

Progressive Conservatives

Brampton Guardian ^[33]
Metroland Durham Region Media Group ^[34]
National Post ^[35]

Did not endorse

Toronto Sun,^[36] Ottawa Sun ^[37]

References

External links

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[a 1]

[a 2]

[a 3]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[28]

[29]

[30]

[31]

[32]

[33]

[34]

[35]

[36]

[37]

Search