2009 Greek legislative election

Early parliamentary elections were held in Greece on 4 October 2009.[1] Elections were not required until September 2011, but on 2 September 2009 Prime Minister Kostas Karamanlis of New Democracy announced that he would request President Karolos Papoulias dissolve Parliament and call elections.[2] Parliament was dissolved on 9 September.

2009 Greek legislative election

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All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered9,929,065
Turnout70.95% (Decrease3.20pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderGeorge PapandreouKostas KaramanlisAleka Papariga
PartyPASOKNDKKE
Last election38.10%, 102 seats41.87%, 152 seats8.15%, 22 seats
Seats won1609121
Seat changeIncrease58Decrease61Decrease1
Popular vote3,012,5422,295,719517,249
Percentage43.92%33.47%7.54%
SwingIncrease5.82 ppDecrease8.40 ppDecrease0.71 pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
LeaderGeorgios KaratzaferisAlexis Tsipras
PartyLAOSSyriza
Last election3.80%, 10 seats5.04%, 14 seats
Seats won1513
Seat changeIncrease5Decrease1
Popular vote386,205315,665
Percentage5.63%4.60%
SwingIncrease1.83 ppDecrease0.44 pp

Results by electoral district

Prime Minister before election

Kostas Karamanlis
ND

Prime Minister after election

George Papandreou
PASOK

The result was a victory for the opposition PASOK party led by George Papandreou, who became the new Prime Minister. New Democracy lost 61 of its 152 seats, with its vote share dropping by over 8 percentage points.

Voting was mandatory; however there are no sanctions or penalties for not voting.

Participating parties

A total of 23 parties participated in the elections. Six of them participated in only one or two parliamentary constituencies.

Opinion polls

Local regression trend line of poll results from 16 September 2007 to 4 October 2009, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Events before the election

Leaders of the (L to R) Ecologist Greens, Popular Orthodox Rally, Coalition of the Radical Left, Communist Party, PASOK, and New Democracy parties before a televised debate
  • September 11, 2009: "Ecologists Greece" announced their electoral alliance with the Popular Orthodox Rally (LAOS)[3]
  • September 16, 2009: A total of 28 parties submitted candidate lists to the Areios Pagos. The court will vet the candidacies' legal standing and officially declare lawful candidates within about a week. In past elections, some candidacies were rejected because the candidates had held certain public offices which they had not resigned in a timely fashion.
  • September 21, 2009: NET state television, in simulcast with major commercial TV stations, broadcast the debate among the leaders of ND, PASOK, KKE, SYRIZA, LAOS, and the Ecologist Greens. The party leaders questioned by a team of journalists from the TV stations participating in the simulcast. Questions and responses were rotated and timed. Each party leader was allowed to place one question to one other party leader of their choice directly.
  • September 21, 2009: The Areios Pagos announced the parties participating in the elections. 5 of the 28 applications were rejected; namely: "Ecologists Greece – Konstantinos Papanikolas – Political Catharsis", "Hellenic Direct Democracy Movement" (Ελληνικό Κίνημα Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας - Giorgos Kokkas), "New Greek Republic" (Νέα Ελληνική Δημοκρατία - N. Laskos), "Where are you, Papadopoulos? – Party of Greek Aliens – Terrorise the Terrorists" (Πού είσαι Παπαδόπουλε – Κόμμα Ελλήνων Αλλοδαπών – Τρομοκρατήστε τους Τρομοκράτες), "Future of the Greeks - Servants of the Greek People" (Μέλλον των Ελλήνων – Υπηρέτες του Ελληνικού Λαού - N. Skopelitis).
  • September 22, 2009: The two likely Prime Ministers, Kostas Karamanlis and George Papandreou, debated for 75 minutes. The debate was divided in 5 sections (the economy, education, administration, the environment, and foreign policy). Both leaders had 2 sessions of 3 minutes and 1 session of 1 minute. The moderator had 1 minute to introduce the subject. The debate was moderated by journalist Maria Houkli, and was simulcast as per the multi-party debate above.
  • October 3, 2009: It was announced that seven pollsters pooled their resources to conduct a joint exit poll, which was broadcast by all TV and news stations at 7 PM, the time when voting officially ended. The pollsters procured approximately 14,000 randomised responses and were aiming for a ±1.5% margin of error in their earliest predictions. Singular Logic, the IT contractor for the Ministry of Interior, implemented a secure system to obtain initial tallies from approximately 4,000 voting stations by SMS. They were thus able to project final results within ±0.2% by 9 PM and within ±0.1% by midnight.
  • October 3, 2009: Publicised odds by international bookmakers were roughly in agreement with the latest predictions as outlined in the tables above. Sports betting is the only form of betting allowed in Greece.
  • October 4, 2009: Voting commenced at 7 AM and was completed at 7 PM, in 20,937 stations throughout the country. Turnout was estimated at slightly more than 7 million.

Exit polls and projections

The initial results of the exit poll conducted jointly by pollsters Alco, GPO, MARC, Metron Analysis, MRB, Opinion, and RASS were made public at 7 PM Eastern European DST:

Joint exit pollOctober 4, 2009NDPASOKKKESyrizaLAOSEcoGreensOthers
Vote percentage7 PM34.3-37.341.0-44.07.3-8.33.9-4.95.0-6.02.0-3.0-
Seats in Parliament7 PM94-100151-15920-2211-1314-160-

The revised results of the exit poll conducted jointly by pollsters Alco, GPO, MARC, Metron Analysis, MRB, Opinion, and RASS were made public at 8:50 PM Eastern European DST. The margin of error claimed is less than 0.5%:

Joint exit pollOctober 4, 2009NDPASOKKKESyrizaLAOSEcoGreensOthers
Vote percentage8:50 PM33.943.87.64.55.62.5-
Seats in Parliament8:50 PM921602112150-

The statistical projections by Singular Logic and the Ministry of Interior, based on actual returns, were made public at 9 PM Eastern European DST. The margin of error claimed is 0.3%:

Statistical projectionOctober 4, 2009NDPASOKKKESyrizaLAOSEcoGreensOthers
Vote percentage9 PM33.843.87.64.55.62.52.2
Seats in Parliament9 PM921602112150-

Results

Results, showing the winning party in each municipal unit.
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
PASOK3,012,54243.92+5.82160+58
New Democracy2,295,71933.47–8.3791–61
Communist Party of Greece517,2497.54–0.6121–1
Popular Orthodox Rally386,2055.63+1.8315+5
Syriza315,6654.60–0.4413–1
Ecologist Greens173,5892.53+1.4800
Democratic Revival30,7840.45–0.3500
Antarsya24,6870.36New0New
Greek Ecologists19,9930.29+0.2700
Golden Dawn19,6240.29New0New
Union of Centrists18,2960.27–0.0200
Society – Political Party of the Successors of Kapodistrias10,6900.16New0New
Communist Party of Greece (Marxist–Leninist)10,4800.15–0.1000
Democrats7,6000.11New0New
Marxist–Leninist Communist Party of Greece5,2190.08–0.0300
Workers' Revolutionary Party4,5370.07+0.0300
Organization for the Reconstruction of the Communist Party of Greece1,6650.02–0.0100
Panagrarian Labour Movement of Greece1,3750.02New0New
Smoking Groups for Art and Artistic Creation1,3550.02New0New
Light – Truth – Justice8710.01±0.0000
Friends of Man40.00New0New
Regional Urban Development40.00±0.0000
Old Republic30.00New0New
Independents2650.00±0.0000
Total6,858,421100.003000
Valid votes6,858,42197.36
Invalid votes142,9162.03
Blank votes43,2690.61
Total votes7,044,606100.00
Registered voters/turnout9,929,06570.95
Source: Ministry of Interior

By region

RegionPASOK
(%)
ND
(%)
KKE
(%)
LAOS
(%)
SYRIZA
(%)
Achaea52.6528.996.603.643.89
Aetolia-Akarnania49.4535.736.233.032.82
Argolida42.2742.554.484.163.15
Arkadia46.4636.545.134.793.76
Arta45.1438.996.042.584.67
Athens A35.5231.759.557.597.98
Athens B40.2326.6210.847.287.40
Attica43.1229.468.238.234.94
Boeotia47.3531.087.306.173.90
Cephalonia41.8333.0412.254.673.73
Chalkidiki41.0240.475.005.474.05
Chania51.1129.735.983.644.37
Chios49.8133.945.383.553.37
Corfu43.3632.8311.963.544.29
Corinthia46.8036.034.005.283.77
Dodecanese54.9330.743.964.122.71
Drama41.6341.263.826.333.26
Elis54.6432.754.323.082.57
Euboea48.1931.086.726.013.90
Evros44.7440.333.765.922.09
Evrytania51.2037.563.242.972.27
Florina44.0241.634.623.542.95
Grevena46.9136.647.313.562.60
Imathia43.3137.016.916.163.16
Ioannina43.9436.127.513.504.90
Heraklion62.7423.704.442.103.71
Karditsa43.3139.837.504.022.88
Kastoria34.6050.034.004.463.76
Kavala42.4137.386.006.014.06
Kilkis40.8539.937.266.392.49
Kozani44.0839.715.763.663.29
Laconia36.4747.264.805.592.84
Larissa40.8136.189.465.693.98
Lasithi59.3727.513.472.193.84
Lefkada41.6637.0110.422.375.16
Lesvos42.1931.0614.104.034.43
Magnesia40.3935.558.795.824.66
Messenia39.0643.265.745.073.62
Kyklades44.8936.035.104.194.64
Pella43.0441.484.365.512.52
Phocis40.2239.736.925.243.58
Phthiotis43.8540.354.924.662.82
Pieria41.3742.275.295.342.81
Piraeus A38.8832.978.117.565.83
Piraeus B44.3423.0612.887.585.69
Preveza42.9838.898.043.093.88
Rethymno57.9127.413.753.103.90
Rhodope53.0834.522.483.614.27
Samos38.3429.7218.053.975.13
Serres37.1046.775.025.362.52
Thesprotia48.7536.614.603.063.47
Thessaloniki A39.1130.309.538.265.77
Thessaloniki B38.2337.627.577.484.08
Trikala45.1437.638.223.802.54
Xanthi58.7926.212.754.414.56
Zakynthos47.5529.7311.183.644.23

Post-election events

Former Prime Minister, Kostas Karamanlis and George Papandreou in the ceremony for the official handover at the Maximos Mansion.
  • October 4, 2009: Incumbent Prime Minister and New Democracy party leader Kostas Karamanlis conceded defeat and stated that he is resigning his offices, and will not stand as candidate at the party convention summoned to elect his successor next month.[4][5] The 33.5% tally marks a historic low for the party since its founding in 1974.[6][7]
  • October 5, 2009: The Speaker of the outgoing Parliament notified the President of the Republic about the election returns. Immediately afterwards incumbent Prime Minister Kostas Karamanlis tended his resignation to the President.[8] PASOK leader George Papandreou was then summoned by the President and given a mandate to form a Cabinet as the Prime Minister-designate.[9] PASOK Member of the European Parliament Stavros Lambrinidis said the result was "remarkable".[8]
  • October 6, 2009: George Papandreou was sworn in as Prime Minister at 11 AM, and moved into the Máximos Mansion, the Prime Ministerial office. The names of the new ministers were announced at 7 PM.[10][11] It became known that George Papandreou had offered the EcoGreens one of the two positions of Undersecretary for the Environment, but the offer was turned down.
  • October 7, 2009: The new Cabinet was sworn in at 11 AM. The New Democracy party congress is to convene and elect its new leader at November 7, 2009.

References

Further reading

See also