2007 Quebec general election

The 2007 Quebec general election was held in the Canadian province of Quebec on March 26, 2007 to elect members of the 38th National Assembly of Quebec. The Quebec Liberal Party led by Premier Jean Charest managed to win a plurality of seats, but were reduced to a minority government, Quebec's first in 129 years, since the 1878 general election. The Action démocratique du Québec, in a major breakthrough, became the official opposition. The Parti Québécois was relegated to third-party status for the first time since the 1973 election. The Liberals won their lowest share of the popular vote since Confederation, and the PQ with their 28.35% of the votes cast won their lowest share since 1973 and their second lowest ever (ahead of only the 23.06% attained in their initial election campaign in 1970).[1] Each of the three major parties won nearly one-third of the popular vote, the closest three-way split (in terms of popular vote) in Quebec electoral history until the 2012 election. This was however, the closest three-way race in terms of seat count. Voter turnout among those eligible was 71.23%, a marginal difference from the previous general election in 2003.[2][3]

2007 Quebec general election

← 2003March 26, 20072008 →

125 seats in the 38th National Assembly of Quebec
63 seats needed for a majority
Turnout71.23% (Increase0.81%)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Jean Charest de face (Novembre 2010).png
MarioDumont.JPG
André Boisclair debating (cropped).jpg
LeaderJean CharestMario DumontAndré Boisclair
PartyLiberalAction démocratiqueParti Québécois
Leader sinceApril 30, 1998May 11, 1994November 15, 2005
Leader's seatSherbrookeRivière-du-LoupPointe-aux-Trembles
Last election76 seats, 45.99%4 seats, 18.18%45 seats, 33.24%
Seats won484136
Seat changeDecrease28Increase37Decrease9
Popular vote1,313,6641,224,4121,125,546
Percentage33.08%30.84%28.35%
SwingDecrease12.91%Increase12.63%Decrease4.91%

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.

Premier before election

Jean Charest
Liberal

Premier after election

Jean Charest
Liberal

Seating plan following the election.

This was the first time since the 1970s that a government was not returned for its second term with a majority.

Overview

With just over a year left in the government's five year mandate, the Liberals called an election for March 26, 2007.

In August 2006, there were widespread rumours of an election to be held in the fall with speculation that Premier Jean Charest wanted to hold elections before a federal election would be held.

Benoît Pelletier, the minister responsible for electoral reform, had announced his plan to table two bills about election reform during the fall, possibly leading to a referendum on voting system reform to be held concurrently with the election.[4] However, by December 2006, the plan was put off indefinitely due to strong resistance to the idea of proportional representation from within the Liberal Party.[5]

Speculation grew that a provincial election would be held following the federal budget. It was thought that the federal Conservative government would present a budget that would address the perceived fiscal imbalance. This measure would help Charest argue that his government was more effective in getting concessions from the federal government than a PQ government would be. With polls showing Charest's Liberals ahead of the opposition for the first time in several years, speculation intensified that Charest would not wait until the federal budget to call a provincial election but call one in the winter to take advantage of both of these developments. Charest recalled the legislature early in order to table a provincial budget on February 20, 2007. On the same day, federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty announced that the federal budget would be tabled on March 19, clearing the way for Charest to set a provincial election for a week later in hopes of benefiting from Flaherty's budget. On February 21, Charest called the election for March 26.

Issues

Charest wants to negotiate a solution to the problem of the fiscal imbalance between the federal and provincial governments with Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

André Boisclair, leader of the Parti Québécois, had said he would hold a referendum (or "popular consultation", as in the party platform) on the issue of Quebec independence as soon as possible after an election win.[6]

Multiculturalism, secularism and the place of cultural and religious minorities in Quebec were issues in this election. There was a large scale debate over "reasonable accommodation" towards cultural minorities, and a few political leaders expressed their views on the question. Mario Dumont, leader of the Action démocratique, took a clearer position on the question than the others, calling on the majority to protect some elements of national identity and values such as gender equality, and suggesting that a Quebec Constitution be written, in which the privileges cultural minorities are to be given would be clarified.[7]

Timeline

  • 2005
  • 2006
    • February 4 - Québec solidaire, a new left-wing party, is formed from the merger of the Union des forces progressistes party and the Option citoyenne political movement.
    • February 28 - Raymond Bachand enters cabinet as Minister of Economic Development, Innovation and Export Trade. In this same cabinet shuffle, Thomas Mulcair loses the job of Environment minister to Claude Béchard. Some pundits speculate that Mulcair was punished for his opposition to the Mont Orford condo development project.
    • April 10 - The Parti Québécois keeps the riding of Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques in a by-election. Martin Lemay is elected with 41.2% of the vote. Notably, Manon Massé, the candidate from Québec solidaire, finishes third with 22.2% of the vote in this working-class district, while the Action démocratique only gets 1.9% of the vote, down from 8.3% in the 2003 general election.
    • August 14 - By-elections are held in Pointe-aux-Trembles and Taillon. André Boisclair is unsurprisingly and easily elected in Pointe-aux-Trembles, the Liberals and Action démocratique having declined to field candidates against him. The Greens place second with 12% and Québec solidaire, third with 8%. Marie Malavoy of the Parti Québécois is elected in Taillon.
    • August 22 - Boisclair and Malavoy are sworn in as members of the National Assembly. Boisclair becomes opposition leader.
    • October 17 - The fall session of the National Assembly starts, with the current crisis in Quebec's forestry industry as the most important issue.
    • November 27 - In a vote of 266 to 16, The House of Commons of Canada voted to recognise Québécois as a nation within a unified Canada, once again putting the issue of independence in the spotlight.
  • 2007
    • January 19 - Radio-Canada reveals that Pierre Descoteaux, Liberal member from Groulx, almost crossed the floor to the Parti Québécois during the fall 2006.[8]
    • January 22 - During a visit to France, André Boisclair meets Ségolène Royal, Socialist candidate for the 2007 presidential election. At this occasion, Royal expresses her support for the "liberty and sovereignty" of Quebec.[9] After being criticized by several French media and French and Canadian politicians, such as prime minister Stephen Harper and opposition leader Stéphane Dion, Royal clarifies her thought by saying that she was not interfering in Canadian internal affairs or trying to dictate Quebec's policy, but that the future of Quebec will have to be decided by Quebecers.[10]
    • February 14 - Pierre Arcand, former president of Corus and presumed Liberal candidate in Mont-Royal, expresses his displeasure with Action démocratique leader Mario Dumont by comparing him with Jean-Marie Le Pen. In response, Dumont threatens legal action but Arcand refuses to apologize. Premier Jean Charest stands by his candidate, and is called a "little partisan premier" by Dumont.[11]
    • February 20 - Finance minister Michel Audet tables a budget. Among other measures, this budget promises income tax reductions of 250 million dollars and allocates new sums of money to the health and education systems, as well as to the maintenance of roads and bridges. Spending is also increased for the protection of the environment and for the regions' economic development.[12]
    • February 21 - Premier Jean Charest calls a general election for March 26.[13][14]
    • March 1 - Radio DJ Louis Champagne of Saguenay creates a controversy by attacking André Boisclair and the Parti Québécois candidate in Saguenay, Sylvain Gaudreault, over their homosexuality, saying that the factory workers of Jonquière would never vote for gays. He also says the Parti Québécois is like a "club of fags". (Gaudreault went on to win the riding.) Boisclair responds that Champagne's remarks are insulting towards the people of Saguenay. Premier Charest and Action démocratique leader Dumont also condemn the attacks. Champagne is later suspended from his job and has to apologize.
    • March 4 - Jean-François Plante, the Action démocratique candidate in Deux-Montagnes, makes controversial comments about women on his blog. Among other things, he questions the provincial government's policies of affirmative action for women and of wage equity between traditionally masculine and feminine occupations, claiming that they lead to discrimination against men. He retracts his comments on the next day, but also accuses André Boisclair of "playing" his homosexuality when it helps him. As a result, he is forced to withdraw his candidacy on March 8. He is replaced as ADQ candidate in Deux-Montagnes by Lucie Leblanc.
    • March 6 - Premier Jean Charest brings the issue of Quebec independence at the forefront of the campaign by saying, while speaking with an English-language journalist, that he does not believe that in the case of separation, Quebec would necessarily keep its territorial integrity. Charest later claims that what he had actually wanted to say was that Quebec was indivisible, but his opponents recall comments he had made in 1996, while he was the leader of the federal Progressive Conservatives, to the effect that in the case of a "yes" result in the 1995 referendum, the Cree and Inuit would have had a good legal basis on which to declare independence from Quebec.
    • March 8 - Newspaper La Presse publishes an article claiming that in a 2003 book, Robin Philpot, Parti Québécois candidate in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne, had denied that a genocide had taken place in Rwanda in 1994. Philpot later says that he had not denied that massacres had taken place, but that he wanted people to remember that they had been committed by all parties to the conflict. André Boisclair says that he is "hurt" by his candidate's comments and reminds that the existence of the Rwandan genocide is not in question.
    • March 13 - The leaders debate took place in Quebec City. The Liberals, the Parti Québécois and the Action démocratique du Québec took part but Québec solidaire and the Green party were not invited to participate.
    • March 19 - The federal government releases a budget which gives Quebec 2.3 billion dollars.
    • March 23 - There is widespread outcry when poll clerks are instructed on how to let women wearing the niqāb, an Islamic face veil, vote. After the longstanding policy was criticized by all three main parties, the chief electoral officer reversed his decision and stated that all voters would have to show their face, but not before being inundated by complaints from people opposed to this form of reasonable accommodation for the immigrant population. Meanwhile, women who actually wear the niqāb say they were never opposed to showing their face when voting.[15]
    • March 26 - Election date.

Political parties

Major parties

Other parties

Additionally, several other parties were registered as well: Parti conscience universelle,[16][17] Marxist–Leninist Party of Quebec,[16] Equality Party,[16] Bloc pot,[16] and Union des forces progressistes.[16]

Campaign slogans

  • Action démocratique du Québec: Au Québec, on passe à l'action - In Quebec, We're Taking Action
  • Parti libéral du Québec: Unis pour réussir - Moving Forward Together
  • Parti Québécois: Reconstruisons notre Québec - Rebuild Our Quebec
  • Parti vert du Québec: Je vote - I vote
  • Québec solidaire: Soyons lucides, votons solidaire - Let's Be Clear-Eyed, Let's Vote for Solidarity

Incumbent MNAs not running for re-election

Liberals

Péquistes

Independent

Results

The overall results were:[18]

Summary of the 26 March 2007 National Assembly of Quebec election results
PartyParty leaderCandi-
dates
SeatsPopular vote
2003Dissol.2007Change%#%Change
LiberalJean Charest125767248-2838.40%1,313,66433.08%-12.91%
Action démocratiqueMario Dumont1254541+3732.80%1,224,41230.84%+12.63%
Parti QuébécoisAndré Boisclair125454536-928.80%1,125,54628.35%-4.91%
GreenScott McKay108-----152,8853.85%+3.41%
Québec solidaireRégent Séguin123-----144,4183.64%+2.58%
Marxist–LeninistPierre Chénier24-----2,0910.05%-0.02%
Bloc PotHugô St-Onge9-----1,5640.04%-0.56%
Christian DemocracyGilles Noël12-----1,5480.04%-0.05%
 Independents and no affiliation28-1---4,4900.11%-0.11%
 Vacant2 
Total679125125125-100%3,970,618 100% 
Source: (official)

Notes:

"Change" refers to change from previous election
Séguin is officially leader of Québec solidaire, but the main spokespersons for the party are Françoise David and Amir Khadir.
Results for Québec solidaire are compared to the 2003 results for the Union des forces progressistes.
Vote share
PLQ
33.08%
ADQ
30.84%
PQ
28.35%
Green
3.85%
QS
3.64%
Others
0.24%
Seats summary
Liberal
38.40%
ADQ
32.80%
PQ
28.80%

Results by region

Results by region and riding
Party Name0102030405060708091011121314151617
 LiberalSeats:102152050001150160
 Popular Vote (%):32.6732.7028.0229.0334.0947.2045.4230.4121.6432.5241.6728.2539.3517.1323.4128.8626.67
 Action démocratiqueSeats:10741000000705583
 Popular Vote (%):36.8821.8541.5539.0328.0515.1621.4124.9525.0821.4814.9251.6928.4940.3336.2733.4140.42
 Parti QuébécoisSeats:25200803213001270
 Popular Vote (%):26.7941.0923.6328.7029.6324.0322.3639.2248.3541.4139.4216.3625.4036.1534.6530.9827.59
Parties below won no seats
GreenPopular Vote (%):2.101.633.481.374.536.746.7802.4900.581.703.993.413.033.571.01
 QSPopular Vote (%):1.562.692.972.653.586.323.815.422.434.603.421.912.512.982.612.953.80
 M-LPQPopular Vote (%):000.02000.950.2200000.010.05000.010
Bloc PotPopular Vote (%):000000.720000000000.090
 CDPQPopular Vote (%):000.180.0400.48000000.0500000
 IndependentPopular Vote (%):00.040.140.350.170.80000000.03000.040.130.50
Total seats:45115628532148568213

Results by place

Party SeatsSecondThirdFourthFifthSixthSeventhEighthNinthTotal
Liberal483245000000125
Action démocratique414632420000125
Parti Québécois364244300000125
Green03376260000108
 Québec solidaire02142780000123
Marxist–Leninist000001364124
Bloc Pot0000081009
 Christian Democracy00000930012
 Independents000041842028

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2007 Quebec general election[19][20][21]
RidingWinning partyTurnout
[a 1]
Votes[a 2]
Name20031st placeVotesShareMargin
#
Margin
%
2nd place3rd placePLQPQADQQSPVQIndOtherTotal
 
Abitibi-EstPLQPQ8,26237.71%7173.27%PLQADQ67.78%7,5458,2625,0601,04221,909
Abitibi-OuestPQPQ10,98348.38%5,45424.02%ADQPLQ70.75%5,37610,9835,52981422,702
AcadiePLQPLQ17,96260.09%12,99243.46%PQADQ62.03%17,9624,9704,3271,1351,50029,894
AnjouPLQPLQ13,28041.36%4,48513.97%PQADQ72.04%13,2808,7957,4091,1511,3769932,110
ArgenteuilPLQPLQ10,02537.59%2,1197.95%ADQPQ68.52%10,0256,8917,9066001,24426,666
ArthabaskaPLQADQ15,23141.87%4,13311.36%PLQPQ76.00%11,0987,89215,2311,1251,03036,376
Beauce-NordADQADQ19,12762.62%11,07136.25%PLQPQ77.92%8,0562,39219,1273615258330,544
Beauce-SudPLQADQ19,36156.85%9,07826.66%PLQPQ74.09%10,2833,57819,36183434,056
BeauharnoisPQPQ12,96741.08%3,70511.74%ADQPLQ74.09%7,67912,9679,2626001,06131,569
BellechassePLQADQ12,71548.51%3,71114.16%PLQPQ76.77%9,0043,52112,71546051226,212
BerthierPQADQ16,24242.24%2,8887.51%PQPLQ72.73%6,68713,35416,2421,0871,08438,454
BertrandPQPQ13,67237.02%2,4846.73%ADQPLQ71.10%9,08213,67211,1881,2281,76636,936
BlainvillePQADQ17,73141.84%3,5478.37%PQPLQ77.99%8,10914,18417,7318101,54942,383
BonaventurePLQPLQ10,22152.88%4,51123.34%PQADQ67.80%10,2215,7102,3571,03919,327
BorduasPQPQ12,52938.76%2,4067.44%ADQPLQ79.58%7,01012,52910,1239441,45926232,327
Bourassa-SauvéPLQPLQ15,63150.08%8,52627.32%PQADQ63.11%15,6317,1056,3791,04389116031,209
BourgetPQPQ13,42241.26%5,93518.24%ADQPLQ69.89%7,43313,4227,4871,3632,63219532,532
Brome-MissisquoiPLQPLQ14,18239.85%2,9618.32%ADQPQ71.88%14,1827,23811,2211,0321,91735,590
ChamblyPLQADQ18,15438.93%4,70410.09%PQPLQ79.58%11,24013,45018,1541,5272,26546,636
ChamplainPQADQ15,87244.81%5,00114.12%PQPLQ76.54%7,63510,87115,8721,03935,417
ChapleauPLQPLQ14,58145.03%6,51020.10%ADQPQ61.97%14,5817,1378,0717741,7556532,383
CharlesbourgPLQADQ17,20743.36%6,36416.04%PLQPQ78.87%10,8439,82817,20783796839,683
CharlevoixPQPQ9,09937.67%1,6636.88%ADQPLQ73.99%6,5419,0997,43652755324,156
ChâteauguayPLQPLQ15,27937.42%3,0517.47%ADQPQ73.85%15,27911,20812,2289671,15440,836
ChauveauPLQADQ22,01355.59%13,16433.24%PLQPQ77.52%8,8496,68022,0138001,25539,597
ChicoutimiPQPQ13,96539.97%1,0462.99%PLQADQ76.45%12,91913,9656,1551,09380334,935
ChomedeyPLQPLQ18,66754.75%10,73831.49%ADQPQ62.90%18,6675,1807,9296831,23729910334,098
Chutes-de-la-ChaudièreADQADQ24,37858.92%16,73140.44%PQPLQ81.38%7,2927,64724,3788541,20341,374
CrémaziePLQPQ12,38836.00%1700.49%PLQADQ73.84%12,21812,3885,5402,2181,93411234,410
D'Arcy-McGeePLQPLQ18,41084.21%16,94077.49%PVQADQ53.10%18,4107109343381,47021,862
Deux-MontagnesPQADQ12,41536.32%1,1323.31%PQPLQ76.37%8,18311,28312,4157401,44811434,183
DrummondPQADQ15,34938.50%2,3895.99%PQPLQ71.79%9,53012,96015,3491,64538039,864
DubucPQPQ10,12037.58%1,7196.38%ADQPLQ73.22%7,07710,1208,40172860226,928
DuplessisPQPQ10,20544.75%3,87316.98%PLQADQ62.94%6,33210,2054,95968962122,806
FabrePLQPLQ14,61534.86%1,2082.88%ADQPQ73.33%14,61511,22413,4078821,79541,923
FrontenacPLQPLQ10,44041.07%1,6096.33%ADQPQ77.09%10,4405,2648,83139149625,422
GaspéPQPQ7,66240.96%6403.42%PLQADQ68.04%7,0227,6623,16285818,704
GatineauPLQPLQ13,60244.95%6,39221.12%PQADQ63.41%13,6027,2106,4478961,95814630,259
GouinPQPQ11,31837.25%3,40811.22%QSPLQ70.09%5,61211,3183,5407,9101,75010914730,386
GroulxPLQADQ13,63037.45%3,1178.56%PQPLQ75.35%9,89810,51313,6308501,50336,394
Hochelaga-MaisonneuvePQPQ13,01252.71%9,17637.17%ADQPLQ62.18%3,34713,0123,8362,3881,7499725624,685
HullPLQPLQ12,64342.53%5,52818.59%PQADQ61.26%12,6437,1155,0712,3582,4766729,730
HuntingdonPLQADQ13,11342.76%3,43911.22%PLQPQ70.90%9,6746,92613,11366928130,663
IbervillePLQADQ14,36542.23%5,10315.00%PQPLQ76.13%8,3909,26214,3657761,22434,017
Îles-de-la-MadeleinePQPQ4,82060.39%2,17827.29%PLQADQ76.10%2,6424,8203801397,981
Jacques-CartierPLQPLQ22,48170.24%18,50857.82%ADQPVQ67.35%22,4811,3523,9734913,54516632,008
Jean-LesagePLQADQ13,86539.86%3,68010.58%PLQPQ72.65%10,1857,99013,8651,2361,15913121634,782
Jean-TalonPLQPLQ13,73241.96%3,87311.84%PQADQ79.98%13,7329,8596,0561,4631,5189532,723
Jeanne-Mance-VigerPLQPLQ20,71668.00%16,15153.01%ADQPQ63.26%20,7163,6594,56563579010130,466
JohnsonPQADQ11,51136.02%1800.56%PQPLQ75.01%7,15711,33111,5117701,18831,957
JoliettePQADQ13,80537.08%7502.01%PQPLQ74.76%7,52713,05513,8051,6931,14937,229
JonquièrePLQPQ12,85139.33%1,2753.90%PLQADQ74.87%11,57612,8516,6348397037132,674
Kamouraska-TémiscouataPLQPLQ9,82639.72%7523.04%ADQPQ72.39%9,8264,8049,07452151524,740
LabellePQPQ13,96145.42%6,23720.29%ADQPLQ68.98%6,97013,9617,7248941,18930,738
Lac-Saint-JeanPQPQ14,75046.42%5,57517.55%PLQADQ77.32%9,17514,7506,83753647431,772
LaFontainePLQPLQ16,28162.46%11,52644.22%ADQPQ67.38%16,2813,7154,75555276526,068
La PeltriePLQADQ21,05551.06%9,88423.97%PLQPQ79.76%11,1717,03321,0557721,20341,234
La PinièrePLQPLQ17,78650.44%9,13225.90%ADQPQ66.51%17,7866,2818,6548601,68435,265
LaportePLQPLQ13,24940.97%5,11215.81%PQADQ70.92%13,2498,1377,6991,2561,99832,339
La PrairiePLQADQ14,45333.79%1,2853.00%PQPLQ77.50%12,25113,16814,4538181,60517929842,772
L'AssomptionPQADQ16,51039.20%2,2235.28%PQPLQ76.16%8,23514,28716,5101,3031,77742,112
Laurier-DorionPLQPLQ12,06439.66%1,0963.60%PQADQ65.38%12,06410,9682,8742,4311,63927516630,417
Laval-des-RapidesPLQPLQ11,53234.41%1,4944.46%PQADQ69.67%11,53210,0389,3441,1451,45033,509
LaviolettePLQPLQ10,10040.99%3,27413.29%ADQPQ72.59%10,1006,6876,8264684946624,641
LévisPLQADQ17,38844.14%7,28718.50%PQPLQ79.33%9,92510,10117,3888021,01516339,394
LotbinièreADQADQ15,47259.22%9,75237.33%PLQPQ78.07%5,7204,30515,47263026,127
Louis-HébertPLQPLQ14,41034.54%8161.96%ADQPQ81.33%14,41010,42913,5941,3261,73422541,718
Marguerite-BourgeoysPLQPLQ16,75257.14%11,20538.22%ADQPQ63.13%16,7524,6975,5477171,45415329,320
Marguerite-D'YouvillePLQADQ15,53637.07%2,5216.02%PQPLQ82.63%11,40113,01515,5361,95841,910
Marie-VictorinPQPQ11,05539.61%3,12811.21%ADQPLQ68.54%5,97411,0557,9271,4181,32721127,912
MarquettePLQPLQ14,98547.77%8,52527.17%ADQPQ64.37%14,9856,4486,4609462,31322031,372
MaskinongéPLQADQ14,86240.04%4,09511.03%PLQPQ76.33%10,76710,00814,86269978137,117
MassonPQADQ18,80843.83%3,3947.91%PQPLQ74.30%6,05815,41418,8081,0591,56942,908
MatanePLQPQ7,83039.10%2131.06%PLQADQ72.27%7,6177,8303,98035824020,025
MatapédiaPQPQ9,04143.70%3,60517.42%ADQPLQ70.39%5,1379,0415,43655152620,691
Mégantic-ComptonPLQPLQ8,07132.98%2100.86%ADQPQ73.70%8,0717,0957,86154490424,475
MercierPQPQ9,42633.35%1,1233.97%QSPLQ69.32%5,6019,4262,3818,3032,39815628,265
Mille-ÎlesPLQPLQ15,97838.74%4,64811.27%ADQPQ75.93%15,97811,15911,3301,1691,5119641,243
MirabelPQADQ15,24144.43%3,55010.35%PQPLQ75.27%5,52011,69115,2416201,23334,305
Montmagny-L'IsletPLQADQ10,02243.35%1,1935.16%PLQPQ72.64%8,8293,51210,02231044523,118
MontmorencyPLQADQ20,79651.55%11,67228.93%PLQPQ77.99%9,1248,17120,7967721,17215714940,341
Mont-RoyalPLQPLQ16,05670.50%13,84960.81%PQADQ54.45%16,0562,2071,8938011,71010822,775
NelliganPLQPLQ21,45863.82%15,36245.69%ADQPQ64.16%21,4582,9776,0965322,56033,623
Nicolet-YamaskaPQADQ10,83941.18%3,38412.86%PQPLQ77.73%6,7707,45510,8391,12113826,323
Notre-Dame-de-GrâcePLQPLQ14,07761.43%10,47245.70%PVQPQ58.52%14,0772,4251,6491,0913,6056922,916
OrfordPLQPLQ13,05033.28%1,2523.19%ADQPQ74.08%13,05011,15811,7981,4041,79839,208
OutremontPLQPLQ11,86147.03%5,93323.52%PQPVQ62.69%11,8615,9282,2362,3032,7251016825,222
PapineauPLQPLQ13,55939.05%4,20612.11%PQADQ64.62%13,5599,3539,1151,0391,65434,720
Pointe-aux-TremblesPQPQ13,78447.30%6,07620.85%ADQPLQ72.92%5,31613,7847,7087631,25731129,139
PontiacPLQPLQ14,81758.54%10,87442.96%ADQPQ56.53%14,8173,2573,9437292,4986625,310
PortneufPLQADQ15,49645.92%4,63513.73%PLQPQ77.53%10,8615,66715,4965801,14533,749
PrévostPQADQ15,99939.31%8081.99%PQPLQ72.26%7,92915,19115,9991,57840,697
René-LévesquePQPQ12,16051.78%5,51823.50%ADQPLQ68.61%3,72312,1606,64242653323,484
RichelieuPQPQ11,41138.03%1,9986.66%ADQPLQ75.11%7,27511,4119,41377898614530,008
RichmondPLQPLQ11,25742.32%3,07811.57%ADQPQ74.52%11,2575,4858,17974680512926,601
RimouskiPQPQ12,92540.58%3,53111.09%ADQPLQ74.26%6,98812,9259,3941,89465131,852
Rivière-du-LoupADQADQ15,27658.47%7,88630.18%PLQPQ78.27%7,3902,82115,27663926,126
Robert-BaldwinPLQPLQ22,13274.76%18,89063.81%ADQPVQ58.62%22,1321,5813,2425142,13629,605
RobervalPLQPQ13,50641.75%2,3657.31%PLQADQ72.70%11,14113,5066,6381,06532,350
RosemontPQPQ14,14638.60%4,17511.39%PLQADQ70.86%9,97114,1466,9363,4331,93123136,648
RousseauPQPQ14,67041.78%1,4104.02%ADQPLQ69.03%5,40214,67013,26078999235,113
Rouyn-Noranda-TémiscaminguePLQPQ9,48133.11%1290.45%PLQADQ68.17%9,3529,4817,6872,11728,637
Sainte-Marie-Saint-JacquesPQPQ10,50141.34%4,48017.64%PLQQS60.86%6,02110,5012,7333,5962,4609225,403
Saint-FrançoisPLQPLQ12,52837.86%2,7408.28%PQADQ73.80%12,5289,7887,8921,1111,77233,091
Saint-Henri-Sainte-AnnePLQPLQ11,91538.49%2,7538.89%PQADQ61.04%11,9159,1625,4222,0372,17924430,959
Saint-HyacinthePQADQ13,23335.73%1,3183.56%PQPLQ76.36%9,58411,91513,2331,0341,26737,033
Saint-JeanPLQADQ17,18942.22%5,27312.95%PQPLQ75.03%10,13111,91617,1891,47840,714
Saint-LaurentPLQPLQ19,97067.81%16,54256.17%PQADQ57.87%19,9703,4283,3738561,68114129,449
Saint-MauricePQADQ9,78837.72%1,2944.99%PQPLQ72.57%6,4878,4949,78879638725,952
SheffordPLQADQ16,64342.11%5,74614.54%PLQPQ73.06%10,8979,28016,6431,3101,17821039,518
SherbrookePLQPLQ13,13636.56%1,3323.71%PQADQ74.23%13,13611,8046,4092,2632,20311535,930
SoulangesPLQPLQ10,68936.03%1,4774.98%ADQPQ73.95%10,6897,8219,2124421,38911329,666
TaillonPQPQ14,04035.47%1,4523.67%ADQPLQ71.83%9,10414,04012,5881,8731,97739,582
TaschereauPQPQ12,34037.10%3,1789.56%ADQPLQ70.54%7,07312,3409,1622,7411,8608133,257
TerrebonnePQADQ17,22441.26%2,0644.94%PQPLQ76.51%6,72015,16017,2241,1361,50841,748
Trois-RivièresPLQADQ10,24737.20%2,3858.66%PLQPQ73.49%7,8627,67210,24790773912127,548
UngavaPQPQ4,55541.41%9788.89%PLQADQ46.47%3,5774,5552,36350611,001
VachonPQPQ11,56034.88%2270.68%ADQPLQ75.20%8,18411,56011,3337551,30933,141
VanierPLQADQ20,69951.44%10,96627.25%PLQPQ76.36%9,7337,69420,6998591,14910340,237
VaudreuilPLQPLQ15,46544.20%6,67819.08%ADQPQ72.58%15,4658,2178,7876861,83734,992
VerchèresPQPQ13,81141.25%1,3163.93%ADQPLQ78.46%4,75113,81112,4951,0201,40733,484
VerdunPLQPLQ12,20440.94%3,51611.80%PQADQ64.45%12,2048,6885,2391,4301,8688029829,807
ViauPLQPLQ12,91751.92%7,51130.19%PQADQ59.33%12,9175,4064,1571,2311,16924,880
VimontPLQPLQ14,93635.97%2,0384.91%ADQPQ76.13%14,93611,21512,8988711,60641,526
Westmount-Saint-LouisPLQPLQ13,36867.59%11,03755.80%PVQPQ49.23%13,3681,6461,5548072,3317319,779
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Seats that changed hands

Elections to the National Assembly – seats won/lost by party, 2003–2007
Party2003Gain from (loss to)2007
PLQPQADQ
Liberal76(6)(22)48
Parti Québécois456(15)36
Action démocratique4221541
Total1252815(6)(37)125

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place[19]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
LibPQADQQSPVQ
Liberal1926348
Parti Québécois1420236
Action démocratique182341
Total32424623125
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[19]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
 Liberal483245
 Action démocratique41463242
 Parti Québécois3642443
 Green337626
 Québec solidaire214278
 Independent4


Resulting composition of the National Assembly (2007)[21]
SourceParty
LibPQADQTotal
Seats retainedIncumbents returned3725466
Open seats held9514
Open seat held - taken by previous incumbent from another riding11
Byelection losses reversed11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated63238
Open seats gained44
Byelection gains held11
Total483641125

Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests

Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2007)
Riding1st2nd1st vs 2nd
Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue33.11%32.66%0.45%
Crémazie36.00%36.51%0.49%
Johnson36.02%35.46%0.56%
Vachon34.88%34.20%0.68%
Mégantic-Compton32.98%32.12%0.86%
Matane35.42%33.21%1.06%
Louis-Hébert39.10%38.04%1.96%
Prévost39.31%37.33%1.99%
Joliette37.08%35.07%2.01%
Fabre34.86%31.98%2.88%
Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2007)
Riding1st2nd3rd1st vs 3rd
Mégantic-Compton32.98%32.12%28.99%3.99%
Orford33.28%30.09%28.46%4.82%
La Prairie33.79%30.79%28.64%5.15%
Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue33.11%32.66%26.84%6.27%
Laval-des-Rapides34.41%29.96%27.89%6.52%
Fabre34.86%31.98%26.77%8.09%
Vimont35.97%31.06%27.01%8.96%
Louis-Hébert34.54%32.59%25.00%9.54%
Soulanges36.03%31.05%26.36%9.67%
Marguerite-D'Youville37.07%31.05%27.20%9.87%

Opinion polls

Polling FirmLast Date of PollingLinkLiberalParti QuébécoisAction démocratiqueQuébec solidaireGreen (PVQ)Other
Angus Reid StrategiesMarch 24, 2007

PDF

312930560
Léger MarketingMarch 24, 2007

PDF

352926451
CROPMarch 22, 2007

PDF

342825580
Strategic CounselMarch 21, 2007

HTML

303128560
Strategic CounselMarch 16, 2007

PDF

303226570
Léger MarketingMarch 15, 2007

PDF

333030340
SESMarch 14–15, 2007

HTML

26241545(26 Unsure)
CROPMarch 13, 2007

PDF

303031441
CROPMarch 8, 2007

PDF

332926660
Léger MarketingMarch 1, 2007

PDF

362925550
Léger MarketingFebruary 24, 2007

PDF

372823660
CROPFebruary 20, 2007PDF3532185100
CROPFebruary 15, 2007HTML353319580
Léger MarketingFebruary 10, 2007

PDF

363121552
Léger MarketingJanuary 28, 2007PDF343224550
CROPJanuary 28, 2007HTML373412481
Léger MarketingDecember 5, 2006PDF363520760
EnvironicsOctober, 2006HTML315012340
CROPSeptember 24, 2006HTML373712491
CROPAugust 28, 2006HTML323713792
Léger MarketingJune 25, 2006PDF373317670
CROPJune 25, 2006HTML323516791
Léger MarketingApril 30, 2006PDF[permanent dead link]293415877
Léger MarketingMarch 12, 2006PDF324311680
  • *Swammer performs "live" trend analysis, meaning the results are updated daily.

See also

References

Further reading