2007 Cantabrian regional election

The Parliament of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Autonomous Community.^[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 39 members of the Parliament of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.^[1][2]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.^[2][3][4]

The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 May 2007.^[1][2][3][4]

The President of the Autonomous Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.^[1]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 20 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			PRC		Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	72.0	41.5 17	24.5 10	28.6 12	1.9 0	12.9
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1]	27 May 2007	?	?	? 13/14	? 12/14	? 10/12	? 0	?
Thalassa/El Diario Montañés[p 2]	20 May 2007	2,012	?	38.9 16/17	30.3 12/13	23.4 10/11	2.5 0	8.6
Celeste-Tel/Terra[p 3][p 4]	9–15 May 2007	?	?	40.6 17/18	28.8 12/13	22.3 9	3.6 0	11.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 5][p 6]	27 Apr–8 May 2007	400	?	41.3 17/18	31.4 12/13	21.9 9	–	9.9
CIS[p 7][p 8]	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,000	?	39.5 16/17	29.0 12	25.4 10/11	3.3 0	10.5
Thalassa/El Diario Montañés[a][p 9]	29 Apr 2007	660	?	38.4 15/17	30.9 13/14	22.9 9/10	2.9 0	7.5
P&I/Alerta[p 10]	8–16 Feb 2007	405	66.7	36.2 15	31.4 13	26.1 11	1.3 0	4.8
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 11][p 12]	16–24 Nov 2006	?	?	? 18/20	? 12/13	? 7/8	–	?
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	—	51.8	52.5 22	42.3 17	–	2.5 0	10.2
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	—	77.2	51.9 22	40.9 17	–	3.3 0	11.0
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	73.0	42.5 18	30.0 13	19.2 8	3.7 0	12.5

Opinion poll sources

Other