2006 Florida gubernatorial election

The 2006 Florida gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Governor Jeb Bush was term-limited, and could not run for reelection to a third consecutive term. The election was won by then-Republican Charlie Crist, the state's Attorney General. The election was notable in that for the first time, the state elected a Republican governor in three consecutive elections.

2006 Florida gubernatorial election

← 2002November 7, 20062010 →
Turnout46.8%Decrease8.5[1]
 
NomineeCharlie CristJim Davis
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Running mateJeff Kottkamp Daryl Jones
Popular vote2,519,8452,178,289
Percentage52.20%45.10%

Crist:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Jeb Bush
Republican

Elected Governor

Charlie Crist
Republican

Turnout for the 2006 election was down 8.5% from 2002 and down 2.7% from 1998.[2] With Republicans holding the seat, the state's governorship avoided being part of the wave in which Democrats netted a gain of six governorships across the nation.[3] This remains the last time that Charlie Crist won a statewide election in Florida as well as the last election that he ran as a Republican. This was the last time until 2022 that anyone was elected Governor with a majority of the vote. As of 2024, this is the last time Florida simultaneously elected a United States Senate candidate and a gubernatorial candidate of different political parties.

Democratic primary

Campaign

Jim Davis won the Democratic primary on September 5. Davis was the Congressman from Florida's 11th congressional district and served in the Florida House of Representatives, where he also served as the Majority Leader. On September 13, Davis selected former State Senator and 2002 gubernatorial candidate Daryl Jones of Miami as his running mate.

The Democratic primary turned heated as it approached primary day. Rod Smith attacked Jim Davis for a 1990 legislative vote denying restitution for two black men wrongfully imprisoned for murder.[4] Davis countered that Smith was a "pawn" of the sugar industry, and that "big business" and special interests were funding many of Smith's attack ads.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Davis
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Frank Bruno, Volusia County Council Chairman[12]
  • Steve Feren, Mayor of Sunrise[9]
  • Ilene Lieberman, Broward County Commissioner[9]
  • Scott Maddox, former Mayor of Tallahassee[6]
  • Carl Persis, Volusia County Councilman[12]
  • Diana Wasserman-Rubin, Broward County Commissioner[9]
Other individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Rod Smith
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Sharon Bock, Palm Beach Clerk of Court and Comptroller[17]
  • Howard Finkelstein, Broward County Public Defender[18]
  • Howard Forman, Broward County Clerk of the Court[18]
  • Addie Greene, Palm Beach County Commissioner[17]
  • Ron Greenstein, state representative[18]
  • Carey Haughwout, Palm Beach County Public Defender[17]
  • Barry Krischer, Palm Beach County State Attorney[17]
  • Ed Oppel, Port of Palm Beach Commissioner[17]
  • Ari Porth, state representative
  • Tom Rossin, former State Senator and 2002 Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor[17]
  • Tim M. Ryan, state representative[18]
  • Mike Satz, Broward County State Attorney
  • David Turner, Gilchrist County Sheriff
  • Lois Wexler, Broward County Commissioner[18]
Other individuals
Newspapers
County results
Democratic primary results[19]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticJim Davis 405,879 47.32%
DemocraticRod Smith353,16141.17%
DemocraticCarol Castagnero45,1615.267%
DemocraticGlenn Burkett32,9843.85%
DemocraticJohn M. Crotty20,6292.40%
Total votes857,814 100.00%

Republican primary

Charlie Crist, the Republican candidate, won the primary on September 5 with 64% of the vote.[20] Crist was Florida's Attorney General at the time. Previously he was elected State Education Commissioner, and has served in the Florida Senate. He faced Bob Graham for his seat in the United States Senate in 1998. On September 13, 2006, Crist announced that State Representative Jeff Kottkamp of Cape Coral would be his running mate.

The GOP primary did not end up being very competitive. Crist touted experience in statewide offices, and a strong fundraising capability. He portrayed himself as relatively moderate on social issues, which created some misgivings among conservative Republicans in the state, but not nearly enough to sway the vote to Tom Gallagher.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Bill Balkwill, Sarasota County Sheriff[29]
  • Kevin Beary, Orange County Sheriff[12]
  • Susan Benton, Highlands County Sheriff[29]
  • Rick Beseler, Clay County Sheriff[29]
  • Jim Coats, Pinellas County Sheriff[29]
  • Robert Crowder, Martin County Sheriff[28]
  • Chris Daniels, Lake County Sheriff[12]
  • John Davenport, Charlotte County Sheriff[29]
  • Don Eslinger, Seminole County Sheriff[12]
  • Bill Farmer, Sumter County Sheriff[29]
  • Donald Fleming, Flagler County Sheriff[29]
  • Heather Fiorentino, Pasco County Superintendent of Schools[26]
  • David Gee, Hillsborough County Sheriff[29]
  • Wendell Hall, Santa Rosa County Sheriff[29]
  • Ben Johnson, Volusia County Sheriff[12]
  • Grady Judd, Polk County Sheriff[29]
  • Ronnie Lee, Hendry County Sheriff[29]
  • Jack Mariano, Pasco County Commissioner[26]
  • Paul May, Okeechobee County Sheriff[29]
  • Ron McNesby, Escambia County Sheriff[29]
  • Charlie Morris, Okaloosa County Sheriff[29]
  • Rich Nugent, Hernando County Sheriff[29]
  • Steve Oelrich, Alachua County Sheriff[29]
  • Jed Pittman, Pasco County Clerk of the Court[26]
  • Rick Roth, Monroe County Sheriff[29]
  • John Rutherford, Duval County Sheriff[29]
  • Mike Scott, Lee County Sheriff[29]
  • Tommy Seagraves, Nassau County Sheriff[29]
  • David Shoar, St. Johns County Sheriff[29]
  • Steve Simon, Pasco County Commissioner[26]
  • Doug Smith, Martin County Commissioner[28]
  • Charlie Wells, Manatee County Sheriff[29]
  • Mike Wells, Pasco County Property Appraiser[26]
  • Bob White, Pasco County Sheriff[29]
Newspapers
Organizations
Tom Gallagher
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
  • Dottie Berger MacKinnon, former Hillsborough County Commissioner[31]
  • Jack Parker, Brevard County Sheriff[12]
  • Roy Raymond, Indian River County Sheriff[12]
Other individuals
County results
Republican primary results[36]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanCharlie Crist 630,816 63.98%
RepublicanTom Gallagher330,16533.49%
RepublicanVernon Palmer13,5471.37%
RepublicanMichael W. St. Jean11,4581.16%
Total votes985,986 100.00%

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[37]Lean RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[38]Lean RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[39]Likely RNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics[40]Lean RNovember 6, 2006

Opinion polling

Polling for the 2006 Florida Gubernatorial Election
SourceDateCrist (R)Davis (D)
Survey USANovember 6, 200649%47%
Strategic VisionNovember 6, 200651%44%
Orlando SentinelNovember 3, 200650%43%
Mason-Dixon[permanent dead link]November 3, 200650%43%
Strategic VisionNovember 2, 200650%44%
Zogby/WSJOctober 31, 200649.9%45.1%
St. Petersburg TimesOctober 28, 200648%42%
RasmussenOctober 26, 200652%41%
Strategic VisionOctober 25, 200651%42%
QuinnipiacOctober 23, 200646%44%
Zogby/WSJOctober 19, 200650.2%41%
RasmussenOctober 18, 200646%41%
Rasmussen Archived 2008-10-12 at the Wayback MachineOctober 2, 200654%38%
Strategic VisionSeptember 28, 200650%40%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 25, 200650.1%36.6%
RasmussenSeptember 19, 200645%40%
Zogby/WSJSeptember 11, 200650.6%36.4%
RasmussenSeptember 5, 200645%41%
Strategic VisionAugust 30, 200649%41%
Zogby/WSJAugust 28, 200652.4%38.5%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-08-03 at the Wayback MachineAugust 1, 200647%42%
QuinnipiacJuly 26, 200644%38%
Strategic VisionJuly 26, 200649%39%
Mason-DixonJuly 24, 200648%32%
Zogby/WSJJuly 24, 200642.8%39.0%
QuinnipiacJune 29, 200641%39%
RasmussenJune 29, 200649%35%
Strategic VisionJune 28, 200649%41%
Zogby/WSJJune 21, 200642.5%39.8%
Strategic VisionMay 25, 200648%40%
QuinnipiacMay 24, 200637%40%
RasmussenMay 22, 200644%39%
RasmussenApril 21, 200644%33%
QuinnipiacApril 19, 200637%39%
QuinnipiacFebruary 22, 200640%36%
RasmussenJanuary 6, 200636%35%
Rasmussen Archived 2005-11-25 at the Wayback MachineNovember 16, 200538%41%
QuinnipiacNovember 15, 200539%40%

Results

Charlie Crist won by over 7 points, winning all Republican-leaning areas of Florida, as well as the notable "swing" region along the I-4 corridor (Daytona Beach, Orlando, Tampa/St. Petersburg). Davis performed well in the Democrat-leaning south Florida, Gainesville, and Tallahassee areas. Crist under-performed compared to his predecessor Jeb Bush, but still outpaced Davis, despite the low turnout. Reform Party candidate Max Linn received nearly 2% of the vote, but his sizeable haul of over 92,500 votes was still not enough to sway the election. Crist also won 18% of the African-American electorate, which outpaced previous Republicans' efforts in attracting this voting bloc in statewide elections.

Also on the ballot the same day was a constitutional amendment to raise the requirement for all future ballot initiatives to a supermajority (60%). Previously, constitutional amendments put on the ballot required only a simple majority (50% +1) to be approved, and led to some controversial amendments being put on the ballot. Support and opposition for the amendment fell loosely along party lines with Democrats generally opposing its passage. Both Crist and Davis publicly opposed the measure,[41] but it was passed anyway by the voters with a 55% margin - a higher margin than either candidate received.

2006 Florida gubernatorial election[42]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanCharlie Crist/Jeff Kottkamp 2,519,845 52.20% -3.81%
DemocraticJim Davis/Daryl Jones2,178,28945.10%+1.94%
ReformMax Linn92,5951.90%+1.90%
IndependentJohn Wayne Smith15,9870.30%
IndependentRichard Paul Dembinsky11,9210.20%
IndependentKarl C.C. Behm10,4870.20%
Write-ins1470.00%0
Majority341,5567.10%-5.75%
Turnout4,829,271
Republican holdSwing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

Notes

References

Official campaign websites (Archived)